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adc年龄确认大驾光临未满十八岁_享受无缝连接的在线体验!
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连云港市(灌云县、赣榆区、海州区、东海县、灌南县、连云区)

特别申明:

本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大证券的客户。

报告摘要

事件:

2024年,公司实现营收500.3亿元,同比+17%;实现归母净利润29.3亿元,同比+5%;实现扣非归母净利润29.5亿元,同比+15%。2024年Q4实现归母净利润1.99亿元,同比-66%。业绩低于预期主要由于冶炼亏损和资产减值。2024年现金分红金额23.83亿元,分红率为81.29%。

点评:

2024年业绩上升主要系铜业务量价齐升

2024年铜精矿产量17.75万吨,同比+35%。2024年铜均价为 74,932元/吨,同比上涨9.7%;铅均价为17,176元/吨,同比上涨10.0%;锌均价为23,398元/吨,同比上涨7.8%。

24Q4业绩不及预期,冶炼亏损和资产减值拖累业绩

2024年青海铜业净利润为-6.88亿元(2021-2023年平均净利润为-0.75亿元)。2024年上半年,青海铜业净利润为-1.2亿元,2024年下半年,青海铜业净利润为-5.7亿元,亏损主要发生在下半年。2024年Q4公司的资产减值损失为3.32亿元。

2024年公司矿产铜产量计划完成率达112%

2024年公司矿产铜产量17.75万吨,计划完成率112%,2024年上半年、下半年,公司矿产铜产量分别为8.52万吨、9.23万吨,计划完成率分别为112%、112%,上下半年产量均超计划完成,产量超预期原因或为出矿量超预期或出矿品位超预期。2024年上半年、下半年铜冶炼产量分别是12.2、14.2万吨。

项目进展:玉龙铜矿扩建稳步进行

随着玉龙铜矿一二选厂改扩建项目的达产达效,铜矿石处理能力已提升至2280万吨/年,2024年矿产铜、钼产量达16.3万吨,同比实现大幅增长,成为公司业绩增长的主要驱动力。此外,玉龙铜业正在开展3000万吨扩能项目前期手续办理工作。双利二号铁矿正在推进露转地改扩建项目,设计年采选能力为340万吨/年。

2025年公司计划生产矿产铜16.8万吨

根据公司生产经营计划,2025年计划生产矿产铜168,208金属吨、矿产锌124,581金属吨、矿产铅65,672金属吨、矿产钼4,005金属吨、矿产镍1,565吨、铁精粉1,457,679吨。

风险提示:金属价格下行超预期,扩产进展不及预期。

发布日期:2025-04-15

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