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余震BY肉酱意面海棠:揭开将军深情面具下的秘密

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连云港市(海州区、赣榆区、灌南县、连云区、东海县、灌云县)

  曾经被严重低估的中国核心资产,正在经历被全球资本重新定价的历史性时刻。Wind数据显示,今年一季度,在“硬科技+新消费”双轮驱动下,恒生科技指数以20.74%的涨幅领涨全球主要股指。(指数过往表现不代表其未来表现,投资须谨慎。)

  尽管近期在美国关税政策扰动下有所波动,但中国资产的价值重估进程远未停止。长城基金国际业务部副总经理曲少杰称,“在中国经济持续复苏的情况下,海外资金开始关注中国的投资机会,并加大对中国资产的投资规模。港股市场作为过去外资主导的市场,这一次同时受到海内外资金的追捧,中国优质资产价值被严重低估的情况将持续改善。”

  由曲少杰担纲的长城港股通价值精选基金(A类:007132、C类:017627),近日披露了2025年一季报。在这份季报中,曲少杰详解了他对港股科技互联网行业以及新消费经济的投资逻辑,以及更重要的,他早在2024年下半年就开始进行左侧布局的核心理由。

  这是一场与时代共振的价值发现之旅。

  港股投资“优等生”

  长城港股通价值精选聚焦港股核心科技资产,基金一季报显示,截至2025年3月31日,长城港股通价值精选A近6个月、近1年收益率为33.63%、57.88%,显著跑赢同期业绩比较基准7.45%、27.83%的收益率表现。(基金过往业绩不代表未来表现,基金有风险,投资须谨慎。)

  与同类产品相比中,长城港股通价值精选也是“佼佼者”,具备领先优势,银河证券数据显示,截至3月31日,长城港股通价值精选A近1年业绩在同类港股通偏股型基金(A类)中位列第2,排在2/41。(基金过往评价不预示其未来表现,基金有风险,投资须谨慎。)

  优异的业绩表现,与基金经理的投资运作策略密不可分。基金经理曲少杰在基金一季报中表示,长城港股通价值精选的良好表现主要归因于两点:

  1、中国经济持续复苏

  去年“9.24”以来,国内经济在政策的持续利好之下呈现出较为明显的复苏信号,工业增加值、消费和固定资产投资全面较上年高增,为港股市场提供了坚实的基本面支撑。

  据国家统计局数据,2025年1月至2月,全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.9%,较上年全年加快0.1个百分点;社会消费品零售总额同比增长4.0%,较上年全年加快0.5个百分点;全国固定资产投资(不含农户)同比增长4.1%,较上年全年加快0.9个百分点。

  2、前瞻布局科技互联网和新消费

  科技互联网和新消费是长城港股通价值精选重点关注的两大赛道:

  一方面,在DeepSeek问世之前,曲少杰便洞察到中国科技互联网的强劲增长动力和中国AI的广阔发展前景,并对相关行业进行了前瞻布局,比如某讯控股、某团等科技互联网巨头,均是长城港股通价值精选持仓中较早且长期持仓的标的。

  另一方面,在曲少杰看来,得益于年轻人群体十足的消费活力,谷子经济等概念进一步加深了消费者对新消费经济的认知,使得新兴消费在整个消费领域中表现突出,长城港股通价值精选也在该领域做了重点布局。(持仓数据及个股不作为投资推荐或投资承诺,不代表现在或未来持仓,基金有风险,投资须谨慎。)

  短期扰动不改港股长期价值

  眼下,港股市场在美国关税政策扰动下频现波动。不过,从多方面来看,港股的长期投资逻辑并未发生改变:

  1、中国科技资产重估

  在AI大模型、人形机器人等领域技术突破和产业应用持续落地背景下,叠加政策大力支持,中国科技资产重估逻辑未发生改变,且将经历较长周期,港股汇聚众多科技互联网标的,具备中长期投资价值。

  2、南向资金持续“扫货”

  2025年以来,南向资金持续涌入,为港股提供资金支持。尤其是4月以来,在港股市场调整之际,南向资金更是加大了“扫货”力度,其中4月9日,南向资金单日净买入额突破300亿港元,达355.86亿港元,创下港股通开通以来最高单日净流入纪录。(数据来源:WIND,截至2025/4/14。)

  3、估值性价比仍存

  对比全球股市,港股市场长期具备估值优势,而经过前期的调整,港股估值水平再度回落到低位,尤其是港股科技,风险或已得到较好释放,配置性价比愈发凸显。

  WIND数据显示,截至4月14日,恒生科技指数PE(TTM)为20.36倍,处于近3年13.38%、近5年8.54%的较低分位水平。

  曲少杰也表示,继续看好港股科技互联网行业的未来发展前景,核心逻辑在于港股科技互联网行业政策较为友好,龙头企业业绩也有望出现向上趋势,叠加未来中国人工智能的发展,中国科技互联网企业有望迎来新的发展机遇。同时,他也持续看好新兴消费的增长潜力。

  基金详细业绩说明:(1)长城港股通价值精选多策略混合型证券投资基金A类成立于2019年6月26日,历任基金经理为曲少杰(2019.6.26至今)、鲁衡军(2020.7.9-2022.8.19),近5年业绩如下:2020、2021、2022、2023、2024年的A类业绩/业绩比较基准涨幅分别为:36.47%/-0.77%、-14.62%/-9.33%、-31.87%/-6.38%、-11.43%/-7.79%、17.41%/17.21%。C类成立于2023年1月18日,曲少杰自基金成立任职,成立以来业绩如下:2023.1.18-2023.12.31、2024年的C类业绩/业绩比较基准涨幅分别为-16.72%/-11.42%、16.49%/17.21%。统计时间截至2025年3月31日。

  风险提示:基金有风险,投资须谨慎,请投资者全面认识本基金的风险特征,听取销售机构的适当性意见,根据自身风险承受能力,在详细阅读《基金合同》、《招募说明书》等信息披露文件的基础上,谨慎投资。本基金经管理人评估风险等级为R4-中高风险,适合风险偏好C4-积极型及以上客户,具体风险评级以代销机构为准。基金管理人承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽责的原则管理和运用基金资产,但不保证本基金一定盈利,也不保证最低收益。我国基金运作时间较短,不能反映股市、债市发展的所有阶段,基金的过往业绩及净值高低并不预示其未来业绩表现,基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成本基金业绩表现的保证。在做出投资决策后,基金运营状况与基金净值变化引致的投资风险,由投资人自行负担。投资者进行投资时,应严格遵守反洗钱相关法规的规定,切实履行反洗钱义务。本基金可投资于境外证券,除了需要承担与境内证券投资基金类似的市场波动风险等一般投资风险之外,本基金还面临汇率风险等境外证券市场投资所面临的特别投资风险。本投资观点并不构成对投资者实质性的投资建议或长城基金最终的投资观点。本公司不就任何依赖本文观点作出的投资行为承担责任。本产品由长城基金管理有限公司发行与管理,代销机构不承担产品的投资、兑付和风险管理责任。本资料仅为宣传用品,不作为任何法律文件。

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