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  杰富瑞全球股票策略主管ChristopherWood表示,美股的市值已见顶,股票、美债和美元可能进一步回调。

  Wood在接受电话采访时说,投资者在重新平衡投资组合时应考虑增加中国、印度和欧洲资产。他表示,美股的市值占MSCI全球指数的比重在12月底达到了峰值,将其比作20世纪80年代末的日本市场。

  “美国资产已经触及历史高位,”他指出。“美元已经开启长期走弱之势,这将降低美股的市值在全球的比重。”

  这位资深策略师对美国市场的看跌观点与全球市场弥漫的悲观情绪遥相呼应。自特朗普推出混乱的关税政策后,许多人认为美国例外论正在终结。

  “这不仅仅是美国走下坡路的问题,而是欧洲、中国和印度崛起的问题,”他说。

  日本债券和股票吸引的海外资金流入总额势将创单月最高纪录,进一步表明全球资金正在寻找美国资产的替代品。

  据日本财务省周四公布的每周初步数据,海外投资者4月以来已净买入9.64万亿日元(675亿美元)的日本债券和股票。根据可追溯至1996年的数据,这一规模已经是有记录以来的最高水平。

  随着关税上升引发对潜在滞胀的担忧,最新的资金流入数据支持了全球资金正在从美国市场撤出的猜测。而且在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普要求美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔降息之后,中央银行的独立性也出现不确定性。

  “可以想象海外投资者将日本金融资产视为安全资产,因此扩大了持仓,”瑞穗证券驻东京首席策略师ShokiOmori表示。“日元仍然相对疲软,可能导致人们认为日本金融资产被低估了。”

  大约三分之二的流入资金涌向了债券,购买规模创下历史高位。对本地股票的买入规模也触及两年高位。

  Omori表示,由于特朗普最近的言论较为温和,本周资金流入可能有所停顿。

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