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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82
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大连市(庄河市、甘井子区、长海县、西岗区、金州区、普兰店区、中山区、瓦房店市、旅顺口区、沙河口区)  汕头市(潮南区、金平区、南澳县、潮阳区、濠江区、澄海区、龙湖区)








四平市(铁西区、伊通满族自治县、铁东区、双辽市、梨树县)








铜川市(宜君县、印台区、王益区、耀州区)








大同市(阳高县、左云县、新荣区、广灵县、浑源县、云州区、云冈区、平城区、灵丘县、天镇县)珠海市(金湾区、香洲区、斗门区)








南昌市(进贤县、红谷滩区、安义县、青山湖区、青云谱区、西湖区、南昌县、东湖区、新建区)








焦作市(武陟县、博爱县、沁阳市、温县、马村区、孟州市、中站区、修武县、解放区、山阳区)








深圳市(盐田区、宝安区、坪山区、南山区、龙岗区、龙华区、罗湖区、福田区、光明区)








咸宁市(赤壁市、嘉鱼县、通城县、通山县、咸安区、崇阳县)








成都市(青白江区、金牛区、新都区、双流区、邛崃市、新津区、彭州市、金堂县、锦江区、崇州市、都江堰市、郫都区、大邑县、青羊区、龙泉驿区、温江区、成华区、蒲江县、武侯区、简阳市)








宁波市(鄞州区、慈溪市、奉化区、余姚市、海曙区、江北区、北仑区、镇海区、象山县、宁海县)








广安市(前锋区、华蓥市、邻水县、武胜县、岳池县、广安区)








平顶山市(卫东区、汝州市、湛河区、郏县、宝丰县、叶县、舞钢市、鲁山县、石龙区、新华区)








淮安市(盱眙县、涟水县、清江浦区、洪泽区、金湖县、淮阴区、淮安区)








潍坊市(高密市、诸城市、青州市、奎文区、寒亭区、临朐县、坊子区、昌乐县、潍城区、寿光市、昌邑市、安丘市)








许昌市(长葛市、魏都区、建安区、襄城县、禹州市、鄢陵县)








兰州市(榆中县、安宁区、城关区、西固区、皋兰县、红古区、永登县、七里河区)








儋州市








十堰市(郧西县、张湾区、竹山县、郧阳区、茅箭区、丹江口市、房县、竹溪县)








岳阳市(君山区、湘阴县、岳阳县、华容县、平江县、临湘市、云溪区、岳阳楼区、汨罗市)








荆门市(沙洋县、掇刀区、东宝区、京山市、钟祥市)

  市场回顾与分析

  一级市场回顾

  上周一级市场国债、地方债和政策性金融债发行规模分别为4350亿、2006亿和1406亿,净融资额为3800亿、1227亿和1406亿。金融债(不含政金债)共计发行规模302亿,净融资额-224亿。非金信用债共计发行规模4082亿,净融资额920亿。暂无可转债新券发行。

  二级市场回顾

  上周债市窄幅震荡,曲线整体走平。主要影响因素包括:资金面、经济金融数据、美国政策波动等。

  流动性跟踪

  上周央行净投放流动性,对冲MLF到期和税期,资金面表现均衡。最终R001和R007分别较前周上行3.8BP和上行1BP。

  政策与基本面

  3月经济金融数据表现超预期,但市场对二季度后经济走势仍有担忧。高频数据来看:高频生产指标分化中上游强下游弱,房地产、出口景气度下行,油价回升、金价上涨。

  海外市场

  美与多国贸易谈判开始,海外市场波动率有所回落。10年期美债收盘在4.34%,较前周下行14BP。

  权益市场

  上周上证指数周一至周四连阳,国家队托底意图明显,相比之下,创业板表现稍弱。具体看,上周万得全A上涨0.39%,上证50上涨1.45%,沪深300上涨0.59%,创业板指下跌0.64%。上周A股成交量大幅缩量,日均成交额1.11万亿,周度日均成交量大幅减少5023亿。截至2025年4月17日,全A融资余额18023.00亿,较4月10日减少85.99亿元。

  债市策略展望

  债市再度进入观察震荡期,等待海内外事件的进一步发酵。当前宏观面较为复杂,市场缺乏明确方向。二季度将持续跟踪两件重点事项,一是中美关税谈判的后续进展,随着双方关税上升至100%以上,关税进一步加码已无实际意义,市场更关心中美潜在的协商进程,中美双方已阶段性释放谈判善意;二是,国内政策潜在加码的力度和方向,4月政治局会议作为季初讨论经济的会议,将成为市场观察年中政策基调的重要窗口,相比于往年的货币先行财政后至,本次财政可能更为积极,而货币的宽松更多是配合和被动的。在市场等待期间,市场偏好趋于摇摆,债市或维持震荡运行。考虑到二季度资金松紧情况一般好于一季度,对于负债端稳定的机构可关注5Y及以上长久期信用债的配置机会,当前长久期信用利差仍有较高压缩空间,信用债行情有望从中短久期轮动到长久期。转债方面,短期消息面频繁出现,给市场带来扰动。在进入到基本面定价阶段之前,市场阶段性的定价可能集中在关税博弈的拉扯摇摆、国内货币和内需政策的期待上,关注政策演绎。

  风险提示:本材料的信息均来源于已公开的资料,对信息的准确性、完整性或可靠性不作任何保证。本材料中的观点、分析仅代表公司研究团队观点,在任何情况下本文中的信息或表达的意见并不构成实际投资结果,也不构成任何对投资人的投资建议和担保。任何媒体、网站、个人未经本公司授权不得转载。

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