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空姐被不断抽插捏奶,竟然引发了一场啼笑皆非的误会,真相 - 骤变网络
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空姐被不断抽插捏奶,竟然引发了一场啼笑皆非的误会,真相

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  据Hartnett领导的团队称,美元正处于长期贬值过程中,而投资者撤离美国资产的趋势还将进一步延续。这种趋势将持续,直到美联储开始降息、美国达成贸易协议以及消费者支出保持韧性。

  策略师们在一份报告中写道:“当前的‘痛苦交易’无疑是由‘七巨头’引领的、幅度有限的美国股票市场和美元的上行挤压行情。”他们表示,决定性地突破当前的关键支撑位和阻力位(据估算,标准普尔500指数的关键位在5690点,接近50周移动平均线)将取决于上述条件是否得到满足。

  美国资产在2024年达到极高估值后,今年以来表现不佳,因为投资者在激进的贸易政策出台后削减了对美国资产的持仓。关税正威胁着全球经济增长,且可能会加剧美国的通货膨胀,促使资产配置者分散投资。

  标准普尔500指数从2月的峰值一度暴跌了19%,之后逢低买入者入场,收复了近一半的跌幅。彭博美元指数今年已下跌6.3%。

  Hartnett认为,美元贬值是“最明确的投资主题”。他认为,“深度搜索”(DeepSeek)是美国例外主义的巅峰,特朗普的政策是欧洲财政过度的导火索,而他宣布的关税政策则是全球化衰退的开端。

  Hartnett表示:“美元走弱的过程要么伴随着收益率下降缓慢展开,要么伴随着收益率上升迅速到来。金价飙升已经强烈地预示了这一点。”

  他补充称,美元走弱的主题有利于增加全球资产对大宗商品、新兴市场和国际股票的配置,比如中国的科技股以及欧洲和日本的银行股。

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