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  本报记者 丁 蓉 见习记者 张美娜

  近日,多家氟化工上市公司披露一季度业绩预喜公告。其中,浙江巨化股份有限公司(以下简称“巨化股份”)、浙江三美化工股份有限公司(以下简称“三美股份”)、浙江永和制冷股份有限公司(以下简称“永和股份”)、广东东阳光科技控股股份有限公司(以下简称“东阳光”)等多家公司预计一季度归母净利润同比增超100%。

  具体来看,巨化股份预计2025年一季度归母净利润为7.6亿元到8.4亿元,同比增长145%到171%;三美股份预计一季度实现归母净利润3.69亿元到4.28亿元,同比增长139.41%到177.71%;永和股份预计一季度实现归母净利润9100万元到1.03亿元,同比增长144.49%到176.74%;东阳光预计一季度实现归母净利润2.53亿元到3.23亿元,同比增长156.17%至227.05%。

  上述公司均在业绩预增公告中提及,核心业务氟制冷剂价格同比大幅上涨。

  东阳光相关人士向《证券日报》记者表示,配额管控和需求增长并存的背景下,制冷剂价格持续上涨,根本性扭转了第三代制冷剂的供需格局。

  氟化工产业链覆盖广泛,上游主要包括萤石等基础原料的开采与加工,中游是氟化物的合成与加工,下游则广泛应用于制冷、军工、电子、新能源等多个行业。

  中国大宗商品市场信息供应商北京百川盈孚科技有限公司网站显示,截至3月31日,三代制冷剂 R32、R125、R134a产品价格分别为47000元/吨、45000元/吨和46500元/吨,较2月底分别上涨 5.62%、2.27%、3.33%。R22价格为36000元/吨,环比上涨5.88%。

  从政策端来看,去年12月份,生态环境部发布了《关于核发2025年度消耗臭氧层物质和氢氟碳化物生产、使用和进口配额的通知》,分别向多家公司核发2025年度氢氟碳化物生产配额和内用生产配额,其中就包括了上述多家预计今年一季度业绩大幅增长的上市公司。

  针对制冷剂的后续价格走势,东海证券股份有限公司相关分析师向《证券日报》记者表示,制冷剂相关产品价格在二季度有望继续上涨,空调长期协议订单价格的落实或起到关键推动作用。随着空调长期协议订单价格落实,市场信心得到极大提振,制冷剂的价格也随之水涨船高。

  开源证券股份有限公司、方正证券股份有限公司等多家机构研报认为,2025年以来,下游空调行业排产大幅提升,需求旺盛,推动制冷剂价格继续上行,制冷剂行业有望维持高景气度,相关制冷剂生产企业盈利能力有望大幅提升。

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