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  每经编辑黄胜    

  北京时间4月16日晚,美股三大指数集体低开,截至22点55分左右,道指跌0.44%,纳指跌1.98%,标普500指数跌1.15%。

  值得注意的是,芯片股集体下挫,截至22点55分左右,阿斯麦跌超5%,超威半导体跌近7%,英伟达跌近7%,台积电跌超3%。

  消息面上,芯片股遭遇多重利空。据上海证券报,英伟达当地时间15日发布8-K文件称,公司日前收到美国政府通知,H20芯片和达到H20内存带宽、互连带宽等的芯片向中国等国家和地区出口需要获得许可证。据悉,英伟达主要生产支持AI大模型训练及推理所需要的GPU加速计算处理器,H20是公司为应对美国对华高性能AI芯片出口禁令推出的特供版产品。

  英伟达预计,公司将在第一季度业绩中计入大约55亿美元的费用,这些费用与H20系列芯片相关的库存、采购承诺及相关储备有关。

  另一半导体公司AMD表示,美国出口管制政策适用于公司MI308系列产品,预计将申请相关许可证,但尚不能保证获准,预计出口管制可能导致最高约8亿美元的费用。 

  此外芯片行业“风向标”阿斯麦最新财报指引不及预期。阿斯麦财报显示,公司在2025年第一季度实现营收77.4亿欧元,符合市场预期;净利润为23.6亿欧元,同比增长92.4%,好于市场预期。但是公司2025年第二季度预计收入为72亿至77亿欧元,低于市场预期的77.6亿欧元。

  此外,阿斯麦还表示,关税增加了其2025年和2026年前景的不确定性。阿斯麦首席财务官戴厚杰表示,关税会带来间接影响,如对全球经济增长、整体市场需求的冲击。现在讨论这些影响还为时尚早,因此很难给出一个确切的数字。

  央视新闻消息,美国多家小企业14日联合在美国国际贸易法院起诉政府,认为在没有国会批准的情况下,美国政府无权宣布全面加征关税的措施,要求阻止政府依据《国际紧急经济权力法》实施关税措施。

图片来源:视觉中国-VCG31N2202607825

  诉讼由美国非营利、无党派诉讼机构自由正义中心等代表美国五家小企业发起。该中心表示,美国商品贸易逆差已经存在数十年,既不构成紧急事件也不构成异常威胁。《国际紧急经济权力法》并未授权美国总统实施全面关税措施,甚至根本没有授权征收关税的内容。而这些发起诉讼的企业受到了加征关税的“严重损害”。

  美国总统特朗普4月2日签署行政令,援引《国际紧急经济权力法》,宣布美国进入紧急状态,对所有贸易伙伴征收所谓“对等关税”。

  五家企业之一特里精密骑行服装公司表示,今年企业已经为进口商品多支付2.5万美元关税,2026年企业预计将面临120万美元关税成本,关税重负让企业难以生存。

  据媒体报道,另一名小企业主日前在佛罗里达州联邦法院对特朗普政府提起一项类似诉讼。法律界人士认为,政府加征关税是否合法最终将由美国最高法院决定,最高法院很可能会作出对政府不利的判决。

  4月以来,110家上市公司发布回购预案或增加回购金额。

  美股芯片股集体大跌

  昨日晚间,美股三大股指集体低开低走,道指跌1.73%;纳指盘中最大跌幅4.5%,收盘跌3.07%;标普500跌2.24%。

  消息面上,据央视新闻援引《华盛顿邮报》报道,美联储主席鲍威尔就美总统特朗普贸易政策的通胀效应发出了强烈警告。鲍威尔表示,特朗普的关税政策“极有可能”刺激通胀暂时上升,并警告称这些影响可能会持续很长时间。鲍威尔还表示,政府在贸易、移民、财政事务和监管方面的许多政策仍在演变中,但通胀上升和经济增长放缓可能即将到来。

  美股半导体股集体下跌,费城半导体指数收盘大跌4.1%,年初至今已累计下跌22.55%。个股中,英伟达盘中最大跌幅超过10%,收盘跌6.87%;阿斯麦、AMD跌幅均超过7%;台积电、德州仪器、英特尔等个股跌幅均在5%以上。

  英伟达日前发布公告,当地时间4月9日,美国政府通知公司,要求其向中国及其他部分国家出口H20集成电路及相关产品时,必须获得许可证。4月14日,美国政府进一步通知公司,该许可证要求将无限期有效。受此通知影响,英伟达预计在2026财年第一季度(截至2025年4月27日)将产生高达约55亿美元的支出,涉及H20产品的库存、采购承诺及相关储备费用。

  AMD亦发布公告,公司完成美国政府对中国及D:5国家或总部位于这些国家的公司出口特定半导体产品新许可要求的初步评估,该出口管制适用于公司的MI308产品。公司计划申请出口许可证,但无法保证获得批准,公司预计出口管制可能导致约8亿美元的库存和采购承诺等相关损失。

  万联证券研报认为,此次美国政府对H20进行许可证管理,表明贸易管制力度加大,H20在中国市场的销售或将面临较大限制。同时,贸易管制或导致英伟达在中国市场份额有所流失,国内AI芯片厂商有望承接更多市场份额。

  4月以来超百家上市公司

  发布回购相关预案

  4月以来,市场较为波动,为保护投资者权益,彰显公司长期发展信心,A股市场再迎一波“回购潮”,回购预案密集发布。

  据证券时报·数据宝统计,剔除定向回购后,4月以来共有110家上市公司发布回购预案或增加回购金额,超过2月—3月发布预案上市公司数量之和。

  按公告回购金额上限来看,包括回购已完成的紫金矿业在内,上市公司公告回购金额上限合计达到406.98亿元;其中10家回购金额上限在10亿元及以上,宁德时代、徐工机械、美的集团公告回购金额上限均在30亿元及以上。

  宁德时代公告回购金额上限最高。公告显示,公司拟使用不低于40亿元且不超过80亿元自有或自筹资金回购;公司本次回购股份用于实施股权激励计划或员工持股计划,将进一步健全公司长效激励机制,充分调动公司员工的工作积极性,有利于促进公司长期、持续、健康发展,增强投资者对公司的信心。

  紫金矿业发布回购预案后,3个交易日即完成了回购。公告显示,公司4月8日首次实施回购股份,4月10日完成回购,使用资金总额近10亿元。公司回购预案发布后股价快速回升,回购均价15.55元/股,最新价较回购均价已累计上涨14.08%。

  从业绩上来看,发布回购预案的个股中,15股发布了一季度业绩预告或一季报。按一季报归母净利润同比增幅、预告归母净利润同比增长下限顺序计算,12股净利润预增或扭亏,报喜比例达到八成。

  新和成归母净利润增幅最高,公司预计一季度实现归母净利润18亿元—19亿元,同比增长107%—118%。公司抢抓市场机遇,营养品板块主要产品销售数量、销售价格较上年同期增长,实现经营业绩提升。公司回购预案显示,拟回购资金总额为3亿元—6亿元。

  消费电子龙头集体回购

  分行业来看,电子行业发布回购预案的上市公司数量最多,合计26家;电力设备、机械设备、汽车、计算机行业紧随其后,分别有12家、11家、10家、10家。

  电子行业细分领域中,消费电子发布回购预案的上市公司数量最多,共10家。近期,消费电子板块深度回调,概念指数4月以来下跌18.94%,工业富联、蓝思科技、领益智造、歌尔股份等行业龙头纷纷发布回购预案,传递积极信号,稳定投资者信心。

  近期,消费电子概念股回调主要受到美国关税影响,多家上市公司及时作出回应。

  领益智造在调研活动中表示,公司主要产品不直接从中国大陆出口美国,具备消化供应链波动的强大能力。龙旗科技在投资者互动平台上表示,公司出口美国的产品收入占比不足5%,本轮关税调整对公司的直接影响低且可控。

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