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专题:聚焦2025年IMF和世行春季年会

  新浪财经北美站康路

  国际货币基金组织(IMF)与世界银行(WBG)2025年春季年会于4月21日至4月26日在位于美国华盛顿特区的两机构总部举办。新浪财经作为官方媒体合作伙伴到会报道。

  春会期间,国际货币基金组织(IMF)总裁克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃在布雷顿森林体系委员会春季峰会(TheBrettonWoodsCommitteeSpringSummit)上表示,基金组织正在采取双重战略:一方面帮助成员国应对当前的宏观经济和债务挑战,另一方面系统性地重塑内部政策工具和全球金融治理架构,以增强中长期的经济韧性和政策有效性。

  格奥尔基耶娃指出,IMF发布的最新一期《世界经济展望》将2025年全球经济增长预测从此前的3.3%下调至2.8%,反映出地缘政治冲击和金融不确定性造成的广泛影响。

  “请注意,这并不是对全球陷入衰退的预测。对于我们的大多数成员国而言,虽然有不同程度的下调,但不意味着全面危机。”她强调,发达经济体与新兴市场均出现约0.5个百分点的增速下调。

  在宏观层面,IMF观察到全球通胀水平整体持续回落,但节奏有所放缓。同时,全球金融环境趋于紧缩,虽然流动性边际收紧,但金融市场运行有序,并未出现系统性混乱。

  格奥尔基耶娃指出,不确定性对增长极为不利。投资者在观望,消费者也在犹豫。谨慎情绪是本轮增速放缓的核心驱动因素。

  她进一步表示,若全球贸易体系长期发生结构性变化,比如更多国家出于安全和战略考虑选择“本土化”生产,那么全球资源配置效率可能下降,从而导致潜在生产率增速放缓。“我们正密切关注全球贸易体系是否将进入一种新的‘半永久性重构’阶段。这对长期增长的代价不容低估。”

  与此同时,格奥尔基耶娃也重申,基金组织未来将新增援助请求或扩大现有支持规模。但她强调,“援助不是单纯给钱,真正起作用的,是条件清晰、改革明确、各方共同承担责任的合作机制。”

  她介绍,IMF正在通过“全球政策议程”推进三项制度性改革,包括监督机制审查、条件性政策复盘与贷款工具体系优化。在此基础上,基金组织还计划重新设计短期与长期援助项目结构,解决个别国家“项目依赖”的长期问题。针对日益严峻的主权债务困境,IMF与世界银行共同推动的全球主权债务圆桌会议(GSDR)即将发布《债务重组操作指南》,为今后的债务处置提供标准化流程、时间表与参与机制。格奥尔基耶娃称这一成果“虽不显眼,但意义重大”,并呼吁各国政府、私营债权人和国际组织共同推动其落地。

  适逢新科技持续影响全球金融系统发展,问及在数字金融领域和数字资产方面IMF是何立场时,格奥尔基耶娃表示:“我们不开发底层技术,但我们帮助各国理解技术的政策含义,包括金融稳定、货币主权和跨境兼容性。”

  格奥尔基耶娃最后指出,全球经济正处于多重风险交汇的时刻,但基金组织的职责不仅是为当下止痛,更是为未来设定新的制度坐标。

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  国富氢能(02582)午前上涨6.27%,现报106港元,成交额2043.97万港元。

  近日,江苏国富氢能技术装备股份有限公司(以下简称“国富氢能”)与香港中华煤气有限公司(以下简称“中华煤气”)于3月28日签署战略合作协议,双方将围绕绿氢供应、液氢应用、城燃掺氢及绿色甲醇生产展开深度协作,以香港与内地多区域市场为支点,共同拓展氢能商业化路径,为国富氢能技术落地与全球化布局注入新动能。

  据介绍,此次合作紧密契合国家“双碳”战略,凸显国富氢能在氢能核心装备与绿氢供应领域的领先地位。作为内地加氢站设备市场占有率连续五年第一的龙头企业,未来将与中华煤气从多方探讨合作,包括国富氢能通过内蒙古可再生能源制氢基地提供国际认证(ISO、ASTM等)的绿氢资源。

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Avantor股价暴跌16% 创5年新低 CEO将离职巴西淡水河谷称目前尚未受到贸易战的实质性影响随着交易周接近尾声,比特币继续上行经济学家下调今明两年美国经济预期 料一年内衰退几率达45%欧洲股市四连涨 财报推动部分个股大幅波动
爱尔兰财长多诺霍称,欧盟将 “不遗余力” 减少贸易相关的不确定性
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  • 爱尔兰财长多诺霍称,欧盟将 “不遗余力” 减少贸易相关的不确定性 特朗普政府称将恢复被终止的外国学生合法身份股东批准家乐福将巴西子公司私有化的提议艾伯维股价因业绩超预期及盈利预期上调而上涨 爱尔兰财长多诺霍称,欧盟将 “不遗余力” 减少贸易相关的不确定性 普京第四次会见特朗普特使 美俄据悉在乌克兰等多个问题上立场靠拢特朗普称其喜欢“百万富翁税”的想法 但也担心政治风险 Avantor股价暴跌16% 创5年新低 CEO将离职巴西淡水河谷称目前尚未受到贸易战的实质性影响随着交易周接近尾声,比特币继续上行经济学家下调今明两年美国经济预期 料一年内衰退几率达45%欧洲股市四连涨 财报推动部分个股大幅波动 若谷歌被迫出售,OpenAI和雅虎都有意收购Chrome浏览器 爱尔兰财长多诺霍称,欧盟将 “不遗余力” 减少贸易相关的不确定性 Avantor股价暴跌16% 创5年新低 CEO将离职巴西淡水河谷称目前尚未受到贸易战的实质性影响随着交易周接近尾声,比特币继续上行经济学家下调今明两年美国经济预期 料一年内衰退几率达45%欧洲股市四连涨 财报推动部分个股大幅波动 爱尔兰财长多诺霍称,欧盟将 “不遗余力” 减少贸易相关的不确定性 Avantor股价暴跌16% 创5年新低 CEO将离职巴西淡水河谷称目前尚未受到贸易战的实质性影响随着交易周接近尾声,比特币继续上行经济学家下调今明两年美国经济预期 料一年内衰退几率达45%欧洲股市四连涨 财报推动部分个股大幅波动 特朗普政府称将恢复被终止的外国学生合法身份股东批准家乐福将巴西子公司私有化的提议艾伯维股价因业绩超预期及盈利预期上调而上涨 爱尔兰财长多诺霍称,欧盟将 “不遗余力” 减少贸易相关的不确定性