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天眼第二卷_探索银幕背后的深刻意义!
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天眼第二卷_探索银幕背后的深刻意义!

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  近期,中国人民银行、金融监管总局、中国证监会、国家外汇局、国家网信办、国家数据局联合印发《促进和规范金融业数据跨境流动合规指南》,促进中外资金融机构数据跨境流动更加高效、规范。中国人民银行表示,下一步将会同相关部门根据《指南》实施情况及效果,不断优化完善,持续推动金融高水平开放。

  指南规则明晰场景清楚

  随着我国金融数据的跨境量日益增大,哪些金融数据可以豁免数据出境安全评估等合规义务自由有序跨境流动?《指南》在数据安全法、个人信息保护法和跨境新规的基础上,出台了规则清晰和场景清楚的规定。

  《指南》首先针对中外资的金融机构开展跨境金融业务时面临的业务场景不一致、数据清单不规范等合规问题,明确:

  不包含个人信息和重要数据的数据满足相关要求可跨境自由流动,并给出47项可免于数据出境合规义务的金融业务场景。

  经济霸凌损害美国国家信誉(钟声)

  “我看到了未来,它不在美国。”美国《纽约时报》专栏作家托马斯·弗里德曼近日的论断,道出了美国有识之士的普遍担忧:大搞“美国优先”并不会“让美国再次伟大”,美国以邻为壑的经济霸凌行径,终将演变为一场反噬自身的政治经济危机。

  美国是战后国际经济秩序和多边贸易体制的主要建立者,也是最大受益者,理应成为多边贸易体制的守护者。经济全球化和自由贸易让美国政府得以持续获得低成本国际融资,使美国企业能够优化全球资源配置,更让普通美国民众享用到物美价廉的全球商品。然而,美国如今滥施关税,大搞“关税讹诈”,这种掀翻“全球化棋盘”的鲁莽行径,不仅严重侵犯各国正当权益,严重冲击全球经济秩序稳定,更将首先冲击美国自身利益和国家信誉。

  美国政府之所以能以较低利息从国际市场举债,在于美国政府信用支撑的美元避险货币地位。但近期美方肆意加征关税已引发美国股市、债市、汇市恐慌。这种透支信用的行为,正在侵蚀全球投资者对美元资产的信心。美国当前36万亿美元债务中,今年到期的就有9.2万亿美元。如果美方一意孤行升级贸易战,美国借新债还旧债的成本将进一步攀升,最终引发美元信用危机。

  美方幻想通过关税壁垒实现制造业回流,但将关税工具化、武器化,只会破坏全球产业链价值链稳定畅通。全球产业分工是美国企业保持竞争力的关键。正是因为全球分工,美国企业才得以享有各国政策优惠和成本优势,并以丰厚利润反哺美国本土研发创新,这种良性循环造就了美国科技领先地位。美方如今对全球绝大多数国家和地区加征关税,美国企业也深受其害。因为关税将通过产业链供应链逐级传导,加剧供应链断裂与产业空心化风险,增大发展制造业难度,从而削弱美国产业基础,降低美国企业竞争力。正如奥地利经济研究所所长加布里埃尔·费尔贝迈尔所言,美国把自己隔离于全球贸易之外,等于主动放弃了国际分工带来的种种优势,最终可能在全球经济中自我孤立。

  关税战对美国民众的冲击更为直接。长期以来,自由贸易为美国带来大量物美价廉的商品,丰富了美国民众的生活,维持了美国较低的物价水平。受加征关税影响,美国食品、服装、电子产品及日用品等日常消费品零售价格上涨压力明显增大。耶鲁大学预算实验室预测,在其他国家采取反制措施的情况下,美国个人消费支出价格涨幅将扩大至2.1%,美国低、中、高收入家庭平均将损失1300美元、2100美元、5400美元。彼得森国际经济研究所数据显示,90%以上的关税成本将转嫁至美国进口商、下游企业和最终消费者。随着越来越多进口商将加征关税体现在美国消费者的购物小票上,美国国内通货膨胀加剧是必然结果。通胀高企将束缚美联储货币政策空间,并进一步提高美国举债成本。

  “关税正在让美国经济进入寒冬”“贸易战或使美国科技界‘倒退10年’”……美国媒体上这样的观点绝非危言耸听。摩根大通、高盛等机构近期均大幅上调美国经济衰退概率。相关研究认为,美滥施关税及相关国家对美反制,可能拉低美国实际国内生产总值增速1个百分点左右。历史终将证明,关税大棒其实是飞向自身的关税“回旋镖”。

  吹灭别人的灯,并不会让自己更加光明;阻挡别人的路,也不会让自己行得更远。美国迷信实力至上,沉迷于丛林法则,大搞经济霸凌,把自身利益凌驾于各国共同利益之上,是在开历史倒车,更在加速消耗美国的国家信誉。美方应正视国际社会的反对和美国国内的理性声音,摒弃错误做法,回归合作轨道。这才是重振美国经济的正道。 天眼第二卷_探索银幕背后的深刻意义!的相关文章 如何看待全红婵跳水世界杯摘银后发声「那咋了这就破防了」?「金牌至上」观念是对运动员的一种捆绑吗?的相关文章
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