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2222eeee|中国老太交granny的智慧与故事 - 骤变网络
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2222eeee|中国老太交granny的智慧与故事

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  花旗集团策略师周三上调了对欧元的汇率预期,理由是美国经济表现相对不佳、政策不确定性加剧推动资本持续回流海外,都对美元构成压力。

  • “我们调整了外汇预测,以反映全球投资者越来越有可能减少对美国资产配置的风险,”花旗策略师DanielTobon、OsamuTakashima和BrianLevine在报告中写道。“周期性增长差异、政策和经济的不确定性,甚至反美情绪,都可能促使资金重新流向本国市场,或者成为降低针对这种不确定性曝险的机会。”
    • “我们并不认为这是真正的‘去美元化’,也不认为美元的储备货币地位面临实质性风险。”
  • 他们将未来三个月的欧元预测从3月20日报告中的1.05上调至1.15,当时他们也曾上调了欧元预期。
    • 对于未来6至12个月,他们将欧元预测从此前的1.10上调至1.20,欧元/美元周三上涨0.8%至1.1373美元;花旗加入高盛行列,预计未来12个月欧元料将达到1.20美元。周一报道,欧元创2009年以来最快涨势交易员押注将进一步升至1.20美元。
  • “我们是带着忐忑而非坚定的信念调整预测的,”他们写道,“资金流动和市场情绪都可能变化无常。”
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