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上流社会百度云 - 的市场影响力剖析
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上流社会百度云 - 的市场影响力剖析

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  美股录得贸易战升级以来首次连续两天上涨,各类资产的波动性有所缓解,因迹象显示特朗普正在重新思考他在贸易和美联储问题上最强硬的立场。

  标普500指数收涨1.7%,盘中一度上涨3.4%,交易员试图判断应多大程度上认真看待特朗普就与贸易伙伴谈判所释放的灵活性信号。

  尽管财报中一系列数据不及预期,特斯拉股价仍然跃升,因马斯克承诺下个月起把“更多时间”投入到这家电动汽车制造商,缓解了投资者对这家公司近年来最糟季度业绩的担忧。

  波音股价走高,该公司公布的第一季度业绩表现超出华尔街预期。

  英特尔股价上涨,该公司预计将在本周宣布计划裁员超过20%。

  “鉴于我们认为政策是当前市场的主导因素,我们并未花太多时间去预测盈利或经济前景,”PiperSandler&Co的MichaelKantrowitz表示,“一旦政策环境变得更加明朗,且对市场的推动作用减弱,有关经济和企业盈利前景的预期将再次变得重要”。

  在当前不确定时期,Kantrowitz仍建议投资者维持一个由基本面较稳健的公司构成的均衡投资组合。

  “虽然我们认为当前尚未完全摆脱困境,但我们必须尊重历史经验,随着主要问题开始‘修复’,市场回调往往会站稳脚跟”。

  尽管标普500指数周二和周三连续两天上涨,但该基准股指自4月2日特朗普宣布关税计划以来仍处于下跌。美股在此期间剧烈波动,标普500指数在短短14个交易日里有五个交易日跌幅超过2%,两个交易日涨幅超过2%。

  截至收盘,标普500指数上涨1.7%,报5375.86点;

  道琼斯工业平均指数上涨1.1%,报39606.57点;

  纳斯达克综合指数上涨2.5%,报16708.05点;

  纳斯达克100指数上涨2.3%,报18693.26点;

  罗素2000指数上涨1.5%,报1919.14点。

  根据美国财政部周三公布的数据,随着总统特朗普的关税措施逐步生效,4月份美国关税收入激增逾60%,至少达到150亿美元。

  最新数据主要反映大型进口商和经纪公司在4月份为3月份抵达美国港口的进口商品支付的关税。

  约三分之二的进口商在次月的第15个工作日按月缴纳关税。此外,4月份按日清关税款(即在进口货物入关时缴纳的税款)较3月份同期也增长了约40%。

  这些关税包含了特朗普自3月12日起征收的25%的钢铝关税,但基本尚未体现特朗普在4月2日宣布的10%对等关税。这意味着5月份的关税收入可能进一步大幅增加。

  财政部的数据显示,4月关税和其他特定商品消费税收入至少将达到154亿美元。根据汇总的数据,以美元计,这将创下单月历史最高纪录。

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  转自:北京商报

  2024年,敷尔佳的净利润依然没有恢复增长。4月23日收盘,敷尔佳股价下跌2.73%。前一晚,敷尔佳发布2024年业务报告,延续了2023年净利润下滑的局面,2024年其净利润下滑11.77%。上市两年净利润下滑两年,营销费用的增加成为影响业绩的因素之一,而在更早之前,营销成功帮助过敷尔佳打响名声,获得销量。如今,随着营销费用的边际效应出现,过多的营销投入反而进一步侵蚀利润,此时的敷尔佳需要找到营销之外的法子。

  净利润连续下滑

  根据敷尔佳最新财报,2024年该公司实现营业收入为20.17亿元,同比增长4.32%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为6.61亿元,同比减少11.77%。这不是敷尔佳净利润首次下滑,根据2023年财报数据,敷尔佳在营收同比增长9.29%的同时,归母净利润出现11.56%的同比下降。

  上市不足两年时间,敷尔佳的盈利能力正在逐渐放缓。对于业绩的放缓,敷尔佳在财报中如此表示:“本期净利润下降,主要系销售推广投入增加所致。”

  这样的解释在2023年财报中也同样存在。在2023年财报中,敷尔佳对于净利润下滑给出的解释为“线上销售增长带动相关销售费用增加,以及产能扩建的折旧摊销”。

  从财报数据看,连续两年被敷尔佳提到的销售费用确实以不小的速度在增加。2024年,敷尔佳销售费用为7.48亿元,同比增长40.53%;2023年,敷尔佳销售费用为5.32亿元,同比增长36.44%。根据招股说明书数据,2020—2022年,敷尔佳销售费用分别是2.65亿元、2.64亿元、3.9亿元。

  美妆资深评论人、美云空间电商创始人白云虎表示:“敷尔佳盈利能力减弱的核心原因,是当前的商业竞争环境,依赖于流量运营和低价竞争导致成本上涨、利润空间下降。”

  敷尔佳也在2024年财报中提及:“线上市场波动幅度颇为显著,呈现出过度依赖大促及达人营销模式的特点。达人营销作为当下化妆品行业主流推广模式之一,虽在短期内能实现品牌曝光与产品销量提升,但长期来看,其整体运营成本持续增加,给企业带来沉重负担。”

  就业绩发展相关问题,北京商报记者对敷尔佳进行采访,但截至发稿未收到回复。

  高增长神话

  敷尔佳品牌创立于2015年,隶属于哈尔滨敷尔佳科技股份有限公司,该公司于2017年成立。回溯当时的发展,不难发现,曾经的敷尔佳凭借着在医用敷料领域的优先布局,短短几年跃升为美妆行业头部公司。

  根据公开资料,敷尔佳主营产品包括医疗器械类敷料以及面膜、爽肤水、精华、乳液等化妆品。尤其是其布局医用类敷料产品(当时也被称为“医美面膜”)颇受欢迎。

  根据招股书信息,在2018年,敷尔佳医疗器械类产品仅3款,分别为医用透明质酸钠修复贴(白膜)、医用透明质酸钠修复贴(黑膜)、医用透明质酸钠修复液。同样是在这一年,敷尔佳近90%的营业收入来自医疗器械类业务,但凭借着对医用敷料的布局,敷尔佳的医疗敷料类的营收实现上涨。根据招股书数据,2019—2021年,敷尔佳医疗器械类敷料的收入分别为9.18亿元、8.8亿元和9.28亿元,营收占比分别为68.38%、55.54%和56.25%。与此同时,敷尔佳的毛利率不断升高。公开数据显示,2020年到2022年,敷尔佳的毛利率分别为76.47%、81.95%和83.07%,堪比茅台。

  另从营收规模来看,敷尔佳从2018年的3.74亿元迅速增长到2019年的13.42亿元,再到2020年15.85亿元;2023年8月,敷尔佳登陆资本市场,成为“医美面膜第一股”。而在该年年底,其营收达到19.34亿元。

  不过敷尔佳的这种高增长并没有持续多长时间,2023年、2024年两年净利润的持续下滑被业界认为是敷尔佳医用敷料神话正在破灭。

  白云虎认为,单从政策方向来看,医美敷料领域的监督加强,在一定程度上导致产业成本增加,产业利润空间也会降低,而这对于敷尔佳来说不仅影响到企业高增长态势,还会对后期发展有一定影响。

  2020年,国家药监局发布公告称,不存在“械字号面膜”的概念,不论是械字号面膜还是医美面膜,都是医用敷料,属于医疗器械范畴,且医用敷料不能作为日常护肤产品长期使用。只有当皮肤受到创伤、感染,以及手术后的修复时才被使用,用于覆盖伤口,起到促进愈合、控制感染、缓解瘙痒和疼痛的作用。

  研发占比低于同行

  随着医美行业的快速发展,医美术后的修复与护理成为消费者关注的重点。来自弗若斯特沙利文的数据显示,预计到2026年国内医美术后使用的医用敷料类产品市场规模将达到253.8亿元,年均复合增长率达30%。

  不断扩大的市场吸引众多品牌加入。如华熙生物此前在财报中透露,已在国内取得5个二类医疗器械注册证,涵盖重组胶原蛋白创面敷料、重组胶原蛋白创面敷贴等多种医疗器械产品。同时在2024年9月,华熙生物旗下品牌夸迪推出医用敷料系列产品,聚焦皮肤问题的术后修复、辅助治疗等。此外,像巨子生物旗下可复美、创尔生物旗下创福康等品牌均有相关布局。

  在深圳市思其晟公司CEO伍岱麒看来,敷尔佳在医用敷料领域虽然有先发优势,但如果企业在这一领域的核心竞争力不高,那么随着后续多品牌布局竞争,其拥有的先发优势可能会消失。再加上企业在该领域没有持续性且较强的创新、研发输出,那么业绩下滑、品牌竞争力减弱都会慢慢出现。

  谈及竞争力、创新,必然和研发的投入分不开。其实,近两年,敷尔佳在研发领域的投入增速并不慢。根据公开数据,2021年,敷尔佳研发费用为524.29万元,同比增长约255%;2022年研发费用为1542.61万元,同比增长约198%;2023年研发费用为3283.88万元,同比增长约113%。不过在2024年,敷尔佳研发费用的投入增速大幅放缓。2024年其研发费用为3482.28万元,同比增长6.04%。此外,从研发费用的整体营收占比来看,相比较同行业其他美妆企业,敷尔佳的占比仍然很低,如其2024年研发费用占总营收的比例不足2%。相比较华熙生物、锦波生物超5%的研发投入相对较低。

  “2025年,公司将坚定不移地延续医疗器械与化妆品双线并行的研发战略。一方面,持续加大在科研领域的投入力度,聚焦前沿技术探索与创新应用。另一方面,秉持品牌建设长期主义理念,深度挖掘品牌内涵,优化品牌形象塑造与传播路径,通过精细化运营与卓越的产品品质,稳步拓展市场版图,提升品牌在行业内的市场份额与影响力。”敷尔佳如此表示。

  在白云虎看来,医美敷料类的品类竞争内卷严重。对于敷尔佳而言,首发优势在逐渐消失,其需要找到合适的差异化,可能敷尔佳需要走出“舒适圈”,发展和“美容仪器”相关的赛道。

  北京商报记者张君花

  韩国第一季度意外萎缩,凸显在特朗普关税措施全面来袭之前韩国经济活动已显疲态。

  根据韩国央行周四公布的数据,今年第一季度GDP环比萎缩0.2%,而经济学家的预估中值为增长0.1%。去年12月初,前总统尹锡悦的戒严令风波引发了韩国数十年来最严重的政治危机,严重打击消费者信心,导致内需疲软。

  最新经济数据凸显了韩国决策者维持经济增长所面临的巨大挑战。当前,不断加剧的贸易紧张局势对韩国等出口导向型经济体构成尤为严峻的威胁。本周早些时候发布的贸易数据显示,韩国4月份前20天对美出口同比大幅下滑14.3%。

  建筑投资下滑3.2%,连续第四个季度下降。韩国央行行长李昌镛上周表示,当前经济信心恢复缓慢,建筑业尤其表现疲弱。

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  卡罗特(02549)发布公告,于2025年4月23日斥资40万港元回购10万股。

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