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专题:聚焦2025年IMF和世行春季年会

  欧洲央行管委RobertHolzmann称,美国关税的影响可能会是压低欧元区消费者价格,而不是造成新一轮通胀。

  这位立场一向鹰派的决策者还表示,形势不明朗意味着欧洲央行的下一次利率决定是“完全开放的”。

  “我们不知道最终会走向何方,”Holzmann在华盛顿出席国际货币基金组织(IMF)春季会议时接受了采访。但他表示,他同意行长拉加德的看法,即到目前为止,美国关税消息产生的净影响似乎是推低而非推高通胀。”

  自去年6月以来欧洲央行已降息七次,该行官员正在考虑下一步如何行动,他们必须评估各种因素,包括商业信心恶化、欧元走强以及未来几周关税将如何演变。 

  在Holzmann发表了偏鸽派的言论后,交易员们加大对欧洲央行的降息押注,笃定6月会议将降息25个基点。掉期市场走势显示年底前该央行将降息65个基点,意味着还将有两次25个基点的降息,而第三次降息的概率为60%。

  来源:华夏时报

  今年一季度,银行显著加快了对不良贷款的处置力度。

  据银行业信贷资产登记流转中心(下称“银登中心”)近日发布的《2025年一季度不良贷款转让业务统计》显示,一季度不良贷款转让业务总成交额达483亿元(按未偿本息统计口径,下同),其中银行机构作为出让方的交易占比70.23%。具体而言,个人不良贷款批量转让业务(下称“批量个人业务”)规模达到了370.4亿元,同比激增761%,批量个人业务中个人消费贷款占比超七成。

  记者在上述报告中注意到,一季度批量个人业务平均折扣率远低于对公业务,仅为4.1%,多数资产包以低于1折的价格成交。

  对此,受访人士普遍认为,由于结构性差异,部分个人还款能力持续承压,导致违约率攀升。而个贷不良资产普遍收债难度大、成本高且周期长,多重因素导致转让价格的走低。

  个贷不良平均折扣率低于1折

  4月24日,河北银行发布今年首期个人不良贷款(信用卡透支)转让公告,该笔不良贷款未偿本息总额为3832.98万元,公开竞价起始价仅为153.82万元,相当于打了0.4折。

  同日,平安银行发布的关于个人不良贷款(个人消费贷款)转让公告显示,其转让的一笔个人不良贷款未偿本息总额达1.77亿元,公开竞价起始价仅为180万元。

  据银登中心数据显示,批量个人业务的平均折扣率及平均本金回收率进一步走低,相关数据水平远低于对公业务。

  具体来看,今年一季度批量个人业务平均折扣率为4.1%,较去年同期的4.6%下降0.5个百分点;平均本金回收率为6.9%,较去年同期的8.8%下降1.9个百分点。从资产类型来看,个人消费贷款平均折扣率低至3.8%,平均本金回收率为6.5%。一季度成交的128个项目中,有88个项目的折扣率低于10%。而批量对公业务方面,今年一季度平均折扣率为15%,平均本金回收率为31.7%。

  “个贷不良资产主要是无抵押的债权,收债难度较大,成本高且周期长。逾期时间越长,回收可能性越低,价格折扣也越大,件均越大,同样会影响回款效果。此外,市场供需关系也是影响转让价格的重要因素,当前市场面临较大的处置压力,也导致了转让价格的走低。”新智派新质生产力会客厅联合创始发起人袁帅向《华夏时报》记者表示。

  “深度逾期回收难度非常大,像河北银行的这笔转让,加权平均逾期天数已经超过2500天了,这都对资产包价格有影响!”某农商行人士向记者解释道。他亦表示,个贷不良主体多,借款分散,催收不易,“低价转让也算是‘及时止损’了!”

  银行加大不良处置力度

  今年两会期间,国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽向媒体表示,2024年不良资产处置力度进一步加大,全年共处置不良资产3.8万亿元,“创历年之最,守住了不发生系统性风险的底线”。

  银登中心数据显示,今年一季度不良贷款转让业务总成交额达483亿元,其中批量个人业务转让规模达到了370.4亿元,相较于2024年同期的43亿元同比激增761%。

  记者致电该中心获悉,批量个人业务数据未就出让方性质进一步划分,相关数据涵盖了银行及消费金融公司。但从整体数据看,483亿元的成交总额中银行机构(包括国有银行、股份银行、城商行、农村中小银行机构)成交总额达339.2亿元,占比超七成。

  多家银行在2024年年报中明确表示将进一步加大不良贷款处置力度。

  如平安银行在年报中表示,2024年国内经济整体向好,但呈现结构性差异,部分个人客户的还款能力仍持续承压,个人贷款不良率较年初上升。该行持续升级风险模型,提升客户识别能力,实现更精准的客群分类,同时主动调整客群和资产结构,实施差异化风险管理政策,推进优质资产投放,加大不良贷款处置。

  宜宾银行亦在年报中表示,该行的不良贷款率由截至2023年年底的1.76%下降至截至2024年年底的1.68%,主要是由于其加大信用风险管理力度,改善了资产质量。此外,该行亦在收回个人不良贷款方面进行了持续努力,根据各类不良贷款的实际情况,采取谈判清收、司法处置、以物抵贷等措施加大不良贷款处置。

  “银行加速出清不良贷款主要受市场环境和政策推动因素影响。”袁帅表示。市场方面,部分个人资产状况恶化,导致个人业务不良资产增多,推动了转让需求的上升;政策方面,个人不良贷款批量转让试点机构范围扩大,更多银行获得批量转让许可,提升了银行处置不良资产的积极性。“同时,金融机构处置不良贷款的理念发生转变,从以往倾向自行催收转变为提高效率而选择批量转让。”

  “从内部因素看,不良贷款对银行利润的侵蚀不容小觑,大量个贷不良贷款积压,使得银行资金被长期占用,资金周转效率大幅降低。”中国投资协会上市公司投资专业委员会副会长支培元提到。他表示,在当前日益激烈的市场竞争环境下,资产质量已经成为衡量银行竞争力的重要指标。因此,银行通过进一步清理不良贷款来提升自身竞争力显得尤为重要。

  彭博新闻社周五报道,丰田汽车公司董事长丰田章男提议以一项可能价值6万亿日元(420亿美元)的交易收购供应商丰田工业公司。这将成为日本企业界一项关键的收购案,并重塑日本最具实力的企业集团。

  彭博社援引知情人士的话称,为丰田汽车制造零部件的丰田工业公司在收到该提议后已成立了一个特别委员会,并聘请了顾问来评估这项收购要约。

  如果这笔交易得以实施,身为丰田汽车创始人孙子的丰田章男将全面掌控庞大的丰田集团旗下的一家重要企业。丰田工业公司最初是一家纺织织机制造商,全球销量最大的汽车制造商丰田汽车正是从这家公司发展而来,这使其在丰田集团内部具有特殊的象征意义。

  如今,丰田工业公司仍在生产纺织机械、汽车发动机、汽车电子设备以及冲压模具。

  在正常工作时间之外,丰田汽车公司和丰田工业公司均无人能立即对此事发表评论。

  彭博社称,如果该交易继续推进,资金将来自丰田章男个人的投资,以及日本各大“巨型银行”提供的贷款。

  根据路孚特(LSEG)的数据,这一6万亿日元的报价较丰田工业公司周五的收盘价高出约40%。

  近年来,日本的管理层收购和企业并购数量激增。许多此类交易的背后,是人们预期企业治理改革将带来更好的股东回报,同时也基于这样一种信念,即日本经济在经历多年痛苦的通缩后终于出现了转机。

  然而,并非所有的交易都能成功。零售商柒和伊控股公司(Seven&iHoldings)的创始家族在今年2月放弃了对该公司580亿美元的管理层收购要约,原因是未能为这笔交易获得融资。柒和伊控股公司拥有7-Eleven连锁便利店。该交易的失败为其加拿大竞争对手阿尔imentationCouche-Tard提供了新的契机,后者正在对柒和伊发起收购要约。

  为进一步加强对上市公司信息披露暂缓与豁免行为的监管,保护投资者的合法权益,证监会制定了《上市公司信息披露暂缓与豁免管理规定》(以下简称《规定》),自2025年7月1日起实施。

  《规定》的主要内容,一是明确两类豁免范围,一类是国家秘密或者其他公开后可能违反国家保密规定、管理要求的信息,另一类是商业秘密或者保密商务信息。二是规定三种豁免方式,包括豁免按时披露临时报告,豁免披露临时报告,以及采用代称等方式豁免披露定期报告、临时报告中的有关内容。三是压实公司责任,要求制定披露豁免制度,不得以涉密为名进行宣传,对豁免披露事项进行登记管理并定期报送登记材料。四是强化监管约束,对未按规定建立制度、不符合条件豁免披露,甚至利用豁免披露从事内幕交易、操纵市场的,依规处理。

  前期,证监会就《规定》向社会公开征求意见。从反馈情况看,市场总体给予认可,涉及与条文有关的主要意见已采纳。后续,证监会将进一步指导上市公司规范稳妥运用好《规定》。(证监会网站)

  为进一步加强对上市公司信息披露暂缓与豁免行为的监管,保护投资者的合法权益,证监会制定了《上市公司信息披露暂缓与豁免管理规定》(以下简称《规定》),自2025年7月1日起实施。

  《规定》的主要内容,一是明确两类豁免范围,一类是国家秘密或者其他公开后可能违反国家保密规定、管理要求的信息,另一类是商业秘密或者保密商务信息。二是规定三种豁免方式,包括豁免按时披露临时报告,豁免披露临时报告,以及采用代称等方式豁免披露定期报告、临时报告中的有关内容。三是压实公司责任,要求制定披露豁免制度,不得以涉密为名进行宣传,对豁免披露事项进行登记管理并定期报送登记材料。四是强化监管约束,对未按规定建立制度、不符合条件豁免披露,甚至利用豁免披露从事内幕交易、操纵市场的,依规处理。

  前期,证监会就《规定》向社会公开征求意见。从反馈情况看,市场总体给予认可,涉及与条文有关的主要意见已采纳。后续,证监会将进一步指导上市公司规范稳妥运用好《规定》。

  原标题:证监会发布《上市公司信息披露暂缓与豁免管理规定》

  新浪科技讯4月25日晚间消息,广汽集团(601238.SH,02238.HK)发布2025年第一季度报告。报告期内,广汽集团营业收入196.50亿元,全集团汽车销量37.11万辆,其中3月环比增速达76.2%,旗下车企环比增速均超60%。

  产品方面,自主品牌昊铂、传祺、埃安已逐渐补齐插混及增程等产品矩阵。2月以来,全集团上市包括AIONUT、传祺向往S7、昊铂HL、广丰铂智3X、广本P7等多款新车型,其中传祺向往S7上市12小时大定订单突破10258辆,激光雷达版占比超过80%;广丰铂智3X累计订单已突破2万辆,交付近万辆;此外,搭载华为乾崑智驾ADS4和鸿蒙座舱HarmonySpace5的传祺向往S9、全球首款前装量产L4Robotaxi等多款全新车型已在上海车展发布。

  市值方面,今年第一季度,广汽已制定估值提升计划,将结合公司发展规划,拟在公司治理、经营提升、并购重组、股权激励及员工持股、现金分红、股份回购及股东增持等领域采取措施,提升公司投资价值。目前广汽已实施首次回购股份方案,截至第一季度,累计完成回购股份约2.99亿股,占总股份2.93%。其中,A股、H股回购金额分别超过1亿元人民币及近8.6亿港元。广汽集团表示,基于对未来发展及公司价值的信心,将在本次回购期限内,结合市场情况按计划加快实施回购方案,维护广大投资者的利益,增强投资信心。

  研发层面,继去年启动“番禺行动”、推动自主品牌一体化改革后,今年第一季度,广汽集团已实现研产供销统一调度,降本增效明显。同时,为推进IPD变革提升产品成功率,广汽已着手将产品本部与研究院重组为“大研发体系”,强化用户研究,从研发源头提升广汽车型成功率。

  今年第一季度,广汽集团已推行领导干部“竞聘上岗”公开选拔机制,重点提拔年轻骨干担任关键岗位,同时向全球公开招聘集团首席营销官及华望汽车总经理、广汽资本总经理、广汽汇理总经理等多个经营层重要岗位。

  广汽与华为合作的GH项目在一季度取得新进展。3月18日广汽投资15亿元成立华望汽车,以此为载体推进GH项目。按照规划,华望汽车将创建独立高端汽车新品牌,全新车型搭载华为智驾软件、智能座舱、智能车控等解决方案,首款产品定位于30万级豪华智能新能源车。

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