Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82
谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!
随机图片

谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!

更新时间: 浏览次数: 271

400电话:123456(点击咨询)
谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!各观看免费《今日汇总》
谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!各热线观看免费2025已更新(2025已更新)








谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!观看免费电话:(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)








谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!观看免费热线(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)




谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!各区点热线观看免费《今日发布》
Random Image 谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!电话








7天观看免费人工电话为您、谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!团队在调度中心的统筹调配下,线下专业及各地区人员团队等专属,整个报修流程规范有序,后期同步跟踪查询公开透明。








所有团队均经过专业培训、持证上岗,所用产品配件均为原厂直供,








谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!各观看免费《今日汇总》2025已更新(今日/推荐)








谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!电话区域:








宣城市(泾县、广德市、宣州区、宁国市、旌德县、绩溪县、郎溪县)








恩施土家族苗族自治州(建始县、来凤县、鹤峰县、咸丰县、恩施市、巴东县、利川市、宣恩县)








成都市(大邑县、郫都区、简阳市、武侯区、龙泉驿区、邛崃市、温江区、青羊区、双流区、锦江区、新津区、金牛区、青白江区、蒲江县、彭州市、金堂县、新都区、崇州市、成华区、都江堰市)








龙岩市(漳平市、上杭县、永定区、长汀县、连城县、武平县、新罗区)  塔城地区(托里县、和布克赛尔蒙古自治县、裕民县、沙湾市、额敏县、塔城市、乌苏市)








荆州市(沙市区、松滋市、监利市、石首市、江陵县、洪湖市、荆州区、公安县)








汕尾市(陆河县、海丰县、城区、陆丰市)








黑河市(孙吴县、爱辉区、逊克县、北安市、五大连池市、嫩江市)








运城市(临猗县、闻喜县、夏县、万荣县、盐湖区、垣曲县、平陆县、永济市、稷山县、绛县、河津市、芮城县、新绛县)  张掖市(肃南裕固族自治县、临泽县、甘州区、高台县、民乐县、山丹县)








和田地区(于田县、洛浦县、策勒县、民丰县、和田县、皮山县、和田市、墨玉县)








深圳市(罗湖区、光明区、南山区、宝安区、盐田区、龙华区、福田区、龙岗区、坪山区)








鸡西市(恒山区、鸡冠区、密山市、鸡东县、虎林市、梨树区、麻山区、滴道区、城子河区)








天津市(河西区、和平区、东丽区、静海区、河北区、红桥区、滨海新区、北辰区、宝坻区、武清区、西青区、河东区、宁河区、津南区、蓟州区、南开区)








镇江市(丹阳市、京口区、丹徒区、句容市、润州区、扬中市)








呼伦贝尔市(扎赉诺尔区、鄂温克族自治旗、牙克石市、新巴尔虎左旗、陈巴尔虎旗、莫力达瓦达斡尔族自治旗、海拉尔区、鄂伦春自治旗、额尔古纳市、阿荣旗、扎兰屯市、新巴尔虎右旗、满洲里市、根河市)








西藏自治区








白银市(会宁县、景泰县、靖远县、平川区、白银区)








景德镇市(昌江区、乐平市、珠山区、浮梁县)








松原市(乾安县、扶余市、前郭尔罗斯蒙古族自治县、宁江区、长岭县)








南昌市(西湖区、青云谱区、红谷滩区、安义县、青山湖区、新建区、东湖区、进贤县、南昌县)








衢州市(开化县、龙游县、常山县、柯城区、江山市、衢江区)








锡林郭勒盟(多伦县、苏尼特右旗、西乌珠穆沁旗、阿巴嘎旗、镶黄旗、正镶白旗、二连浩特市、东乌珠穆沁旗、太仆寺旗、锡林浩特市、正蓝旗、苏尼特左旗)








通化市(东昌区、辉南县、集安市、柳河县、梅河口市、二道江区、通化县)








枣庄市(市中区、薛城区、峄城区、台儿庄区、滕州市、山亭区)








咸宁市(咸安区、崇阳县、嘉鱼县、通山县、通城县、赤壁市)








青岛市(城阳区、市北区、黄岛区、即墨区、崂山区、平度市、胶州市、莱西市、市南区、李沧区)








黄石市(阳新县、铁山区、西塞山区、黄石港区、下陆区、大冶市)








肇庆市(广宁县、德庆县、端州区、封开县、高要区、怀集县、鼎湖区、四会市)
400电话:123456(点击咨询)
谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!各观看免费《今日汇总》《今日发布》
谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!各观看免费《今日汇总》(2025已更新)








谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!观看免费电话:(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)








谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!观看免费热线(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)




谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!各观看免费《今日汇总》【2025已更新列表】
谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!电话








7天观看免费人工电话为您、谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!团队在调度中心的统筹调配下,线下专业及各地区人员团队等专属,整个报修流程规范有序,后期同步跟踪查询公开透明。








所有团队均经过专业培训、持证上岗,所用产品配件均为原厂直供,








谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!中心2025已更新(今日/推荐)








谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!电话区域:








乌兰察布市(丰镇市、察哈尔右翼后旗、化德县、四子王旗、察哈尔右翼中旗、卓资县、察哈尔右翼前旗、兴和县、集宁区、凉城县、商都县)








北海市(海城区、银海区、合浦县、铁山港区)








晋中市(太谷区、介休市、左权县、平遥县、和顺县、榆次区、灵石县、榆社县、祁县、寿阳县、昔阳县)








广西壮族自治区  宁德市(柘荣县、霞浦县、古田县、寿宁县、周宁县、蕉城区、屏南县、福安市、福鼎市)








日喀则市(岗巴县、白朗县、拉孜县、定结县、江孜县、吉隆县、仁布县、亚东县、桑珠孜区、昂仁县、定日县、萨嘎县、康马县、仲巴县、南木林县、萨迦县、聂拉木县、谢通门县)








仙桃市(神农架林区、天门市、潜江市)








吉安市(井冈山市、吉州区、永丰县、遂川县、万安县、泰和县、永新县、青原区、新干县、吉水县、吉安县、峡江县、安福县)孝感市(大悟县、应城市、汉川市、孝南区、云梦县、孝昌县、安陆市)








河源市(紫金县、源城区、和平县、龙川县、东源县、连平县)  北京市(怀柔区、延庆区、朝阳区、顺义区、密云区、石景山区、大兴区、门头沟区、东城区、房山区、丰台区、昌平区、平谷区、西城区、海淀区、通州区)








开封市(兰考县、禹王台区、祥符区、顺河回族区、龙亭区、杞县、通许县、鼓楼区、尉氏县)








德州市(宁津县、乐陵市、武城县、庆云县、夏津县、陵城区、临邑县、齐河县、平原县、禹城市、德城区)








泸州市(泸县、龙马潭区、古蔺县、叙永县、纳溪区、合江县、江阳区)陇南市(西和县、宕昌县、武都区、成县、文县、康县、徽县、两当县、礼县)








淄博市(沂源县、淄川区、临淄区、桓台县、高青县、张店区、周村区、博山区)








阿里地区(改则县、札达县、普兰县、噶尔县、措勤县、革吉县、日土县)








巴彦淖尔市(五原县、杭锦后旗、乌拉特前旗、乌拉特后旗、临河区、磴口县、乌拉特中旗)








阿克苏地区(拜城县、库车市、沙雅县、柯坪县、阿克苏市、阿瓦提县、乌什县、温宿县、新和县)








蚌埠市(蚌山区、龙子湖区、怀远县、禹会区、固镇县、淮上区、五河县)








马鞍山市(博望区、花山区、雨山区、当涂县、含山县、和县)








南京市(浦口区、六合区、玄武区、雨花台区、建邺区、江宁区、溧水区、高淳区、鼓楼区、秦淮区、栖霞区)








海西蒙古族藏族自治州(茫崖市、乌兰县、格尔木市、天峻县、都兰县、德令哈市)








兴安盟(突泉县、扎赉特旗、乌兰浩特市、科尔沁右翼前旗、阿尔山市、科尔沁右翼中旗)








湘潭市(雨湖区、湘乡市、岳塘区、湘潭县、韶山市)








东莞市








昭通市(绥江县、盐津县、永善县、威信县、彝良县、镇雄县、巧家县、昭阳区、水富市、鲁甸县、大关县)








新疆维吾尔自治区








绍兴市(柯桥区、上虞区、诸暨市、越城区、嵊州市、新昌县)








丽水市(景宁畲族自治县、遂昌县、龙泉市、缙云县、青田县、莲都区、庆元县、松阳县、云和县)








聊城市(茌平区、东阿县、阳谷县、冠县、莘县、东昌府区、高唐县、临清市)

美国真正想要的是什么?是保住名义规模最大经济体的名头,还是为其国民提供财富和繁荣?

自去年美国总统大选以来,我一直在定期评论特朗普议程的各个方面以及它对美国、金融市场和世界其他地区可能意味着什么。该议程引发了不少混乱,但鉴于总统的政策制定“手法”粗笨且反复无常,这在很大程度上是意料之内的。

正如我在2月份和3月的评论中所指出的那样,其他经济体可能会通过提振内需、减少对美国消费者和金融市场的依赖来应对特朗普的冒犯。如果说目前的混乱局面尚有一些积极之处的话,那就是欧洲和中国已经开始寻求这种改变。德国正在放松“债务刹车”并允许实施急需的投资,而中国正在研究各类刺激国内消费选项。

对于所有依赖国际贸易和市场的国家来说,即便能够说服美国收敛其贸易战政策,新的贸易安排显然也是很有必要的。许多国家已经在想方设法增加彼此之间的贸易,同时针对迅速增长的服务贸易制定各类新安排以降低其非关税壁垒。

G7(七国集团)其他成员(加拿大、法国、德国、意大利、日本和英国)的合共体量几乎与美国一样大。再加上英国首相斯塔默“意愿联盟”的其他参与者,这些美国昔日盟友可以抵消特朗普关税造成的大部分损失。同理,如果中国能与印度和其他较大型新兴经济体密切协调去重新设计“一带一路”倡议,那也可能是变革性的。

这些举措将减轻美国关税政策和威胁的影响,但想实现它们可不容易——如果容易的话早就实现了。当今的贸易和金融安排包含了各种政治、文化和历史因素,而任何有利于中国的现状变化都将受到特朗普政府的阻挠。

因此重要的是其他大型经济体如何刺激内需、动员投资和建立新贸易纽带。在智库布鲁盖尔和荷兰央行最近主办的“全球化与地缘经济碎片化”研讨会上,我再次意识到,自本世纪初以来全球GDP的增长究竟失衡到了什么程度。对2000~2024年的年度名义GDP数据进行的简单分析表明,美国、中国、欧元区和印度合计贡献了全部增长的近70%,而美中两国又几乎占据了其中50%。

这一发现进一步凸显了一个事实,那就是美国的关税威胁必须以其他地区更高的国内需求来应对。但这里有一个现实问题:唯一能凭一己之力将自身需求和进口提高到足以弥补美国在全球经济中所流失份额的其他国家就是中国。

但如果中国并不是单打独斗呢?正如我们已经看到的那样,欧洲人已经在采取措施增加投资和国防开支,这既有利于欧盟经济,也有利于英国等其他国家。当然印度近年来的经济增长速度也快于许多其他国家,这表明该国具备一定空间来出台更多国内刺激措施。那如果所有这些经济体都能将自身政策与他人协调起来呢?

这种协调可能无法产生2009年伦敦G20(20国集团)协议那样的全球影响——该协议引入了广泛的全球改革和新机构以解决全球金融危机的成因及其后果。但如果这些国家能向世界其他国家发出信号,表明它们正在进行某种磋商以协调其经济政策并推进共同目标,这可能会产生相当积极的影响。

最后,布鲁盖尔研讨会上的另一项内容让我思索良久。布鲁盖尔高级研究员安德烈·萨皮尔在会上重点指出了日本的崛起(上世纪90年代日本GDP增长到相当于美国的70%左右)与当前中国崛起之间的相似之处。而如同现在一样,当时美国最担心的是自己会被“超越”。但美国真正想要的是什么?是保住名义规模最大经济体的名头,还是为其国民提供财富和繁荣?

这两者并不一定是一回事。美国现政府没搞明白的是其他国家的增长和发展其实可以让美国人自己变得更加富裕。也许有一天美国人能选出能够理解这一基本经济观点的领导人,但现在他们似乎注定要经历多年的动荡和持续的不确定性。

(作者系高盛资产管理公司前主席、英国前财政大臣)

谁是最可爱的人 原文_让你畅享无广告、无延迟的观影体验,尽情沉浸在精彩内容中!的相关文章 女生反复长痘 老中医开2块红砖方子的相关文章
关税战下美国富人也扛不住了
广东一地蚊子聚集飞舞似龙卷风
中韩自贸协定谈判“移师”北京
老板悄悄将消防员餐食换成超大份
TVB资深演员回应在演唱会当保安
大妈逗黔灵山猴子玩被抓掉假发
巴拿马总统驳斥美方炒作巴拿马运河
因婆家太好女子把亲妹介绍给小叔子
格力地产完全退出地产行业
反网络霸权 网警在行动
曝三星芯片部门获准每周工作64小时
英贸易大臣:希望加深与中国合作
  • 友情链接:
  • 大盘缺口尚未补完 市场为何缩量 “毛子一家生活点滴”曝男方家暴 昆明火灾8名遇难者是一家人 男子成年后长高20cm 骨龄仅13到15岁 大妈逗黔灵山猴子玩被抓掉假发 240小时过境免签政策带动入境游 日本通胀挂钩债券遭抛售 媒体人:邵佳一在防守方面还需锤炼 关税战下美国富人也扛不住了 男子花155万买迈巴赫S480跑滴滴 中央巡视组已进驻6省区 组长亮相 为挽救客源 加州州长录旅游宣传视频

    查看更多评价 ∨