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  汇通财经APP讯——堪萨斯城联储主席施密德周三(4月16日)发出重磅警告,直言美联储正面临前所未有的政策挑战。在与达拉斯联储主席洛根的公开对话中,这位拥有丰富农业州经济观察经验的政策制定者强调,当前需要保持耐心以观察特朗普关税政策的实际影响。这番表态紧随美联储主席鲍威尔“经济面临双重风险”的警告之后,凸显出货币政策制定者们的集体焦虑。

  政策困境:通胀与就业或现“双杀”风险

  施密德在对话中揭示了当前经济面临的两难处境:

  一方面,能源价格下跌带来的通缩压力正在显现;另一方面,农业等关键行业已因关税政策陷入紧张。这种矛盾局面使得美联储在评估政策影响时需要格外谨慎。施密德特别强调,美联储将“积极应对任何可能影响双重职责的干扰因素”,暗示在价格稳定和充分就业这两个目标可能发生冲突时,联储已做好准备采取行动。

  独立性挑战:美联储防火墙变“纱门”

  在谈及美联储独立性时,施密德用形象的比喻道出了当前困境:“我们原本以为拥有的防火墙都变成了纱门。”这番言论直指特朗普政府不断施压货币政策的政治现实。不过,施密德仍保持谨慎乐观,表示通过与各界人士的交流,发现多数人对现有货币政策架构仍抱有信心。这种表态既是对政治干预的委婉回应,也展现了联储维护政策独立性的决心。

  市场影响:政策不确定性持续发酵

  施密德的讲话延续了鲍威尔引发的市场担忧。周三早些时候,美联储主席明确表示,特朗普关税政策可能导致通胀和失业率同时上升,这种“双杀”局面将迫使联储做出艰难抉择。两位官员的连续表态已引发市场剧烈波动,投资者开始重新评估美联储政策路径。分析人士指出,这种政策不确定性可能持续压制风险资产表现,同时提升黄金等避险资产的吸引力。

  总结:耐心成核心原则

  在充满不确定性的经济环境下,施密德强调的“耐心”可能成为美联储未来政策制定的核心原则。随着关税政策影响逐步显现,联储官员们需要在政治压力和市场波动中保持定力。施密德最后表示的对现行制度架构的乐观,或许正暗示着美联储将继续坚持数据驱动的决策方式,在复杂局面中寻求平衡。这场高层对话揭示出,在贸易政策剧烈变动的时代,央行的政策智慧正面临前所未有的考验。

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