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今天到上午收盘的时候市场跌得最惨了,下午主要还是靠国家队在沪深300ETF等大盘股ETF中买入把市场拉起来了,虽然小票今天没国家队,但还是受影响拉了点起来。

主流宽基指数中领涨的上证50涨0.91%、科创50涨0.81%;领跌的微盘股指数跌1.99%、中证2000跌1.71%。

申万一级行业指数中领涨的交通运输涨1.15%、银行涨1.00%、煤炭涨0.66%;领跌的综合跌1.84%、机械设备跌1.64%、汽车跌1.55%。

953只个股上涨、4105只个股下跌,涨幅中位数-1.68%。

万华化学、新产业、*ST海越、*ST等4只个股盘中吉药创出最近一年新低,其中2只ST股票创出历史新低。

建设银行、农业银行、中国银行、上海银行、东鹏饮料、百利天恒、宁沪高速、成都银行、渝农商行、山金国际等39只个股盘中创出最近一年新高。

其中建设银行、农业银行、中国银行、上海银行、东鹏饮料、百利天恒、宁沪高速、成都银行、山金国际、赤峰黄金等11只个股盘中创出历史新高。

潍柴重机、泰豪科技、东方通(维权)、金河生物、润都股份、中交地产、ST证通、ST高鸿、ST东时、ST联合等16只个股跌停。

华贸物流、连云港、华建集团、贝因美、特力A、红宝丽、翠微股份、重庆港、维维股份(维权)、国芳集团等54只个股涨停。

475只可转债平均下跌0.86%,对应正股平均下跌1.46%。我的主仓20只可转债平均下跌1.22%,对应正股平均下跌2.72%。账户合计实际下跌1.25%。

今天虽然可转债很抗跌,特别是我的主仓,可转债跌幅和正股相比少跌了1.50%,但今天还是大幅度跑输了可转债等权指数,不过本周和本月还是跑赢了。

10年前我得了一场大病,患上了严重的抑郁症,在生病的时候,就老是想负面的东西,老是否认自己,比如说做菜老是和饭店比,怎么做都没饭店里的做的好。

当然客观的说,业余做菜和专业的比,差异的原因除了厨艺外还有一项是调料,家里做菜除了经常用盐、味精、酱油等外就很少有各种丰富的调料了,不像饭店里总能做出你家里难以做出的味道。

老子在《道德经》里说过:“治大国若烹小鲜”,其实投资也是一个道理。在指数投资蓬勃发展的当下,以最近两年流行的红利类(单因子)指数为例,在以高股息率为底料(单因子)的基础上,加上了低波动、高质量等各种其他调料(多因子),效果可能比单纯红利更加好点。

比如以今年大放异彩的港股为例,在港股通标的中,按照净股息率由高到低排名的75只股票——这就是第一步选出了“红利”,再按照其波动率由低到高排列——这便是第二步选出了“低波”,第三步选取排名靠前的50只作为成份股,这就是恒生港股通高股息低波动指数(HSHYLV)

再比如说在A股过去三年稳定分红且平均股利支付率适宜的股票中,按照过去三年平均现金股息率由高到低排名,选出排名前50%的——这就是第一步选出了“红利”,再按照过去三年ROE的标准差由低到高排名,选出前80%,并根据ROE、现金流、杠杆率等质量因子由高到低打分——这便是第二步选出了“质量”,第三步选取综合得分最高的50只作为样本,这就是中证全指红利质量指数(932315)

就像每个人的口味不同,加上不同的调料后总有人觉得不好吃一样,加上了各种因子后短期也有可能跑输,我们以中证红利全收益和加上质量因子的中证红利质量全收益为例:

分年度来看,2014年、2015年、2018年、2021年、2022年、2023年红利质量是跑输红利因子的。类似添加了调料只能照顾大部分人的口感,要使所有人都满意是很难的。但拉长周期,7年多来,中证红利全收益指数的累计收益率是269.22%,而中证红利质量全收益的累计收益率是446.10%,年化收益也从12.28%大幅提升至16.25%。加上质量因子后明显收益率提高了不少,究其实质,质量因子选出了那些在长期维度更具有盈利稳定性和护城河的优秀公司,而且无论何种红利类的投资,都应当是长线的。

显然,这种“多因子”的添加对长期投资还是有利的。当前,跟踪恒生港股通高股息低波动指数和中证红利质量的ETF中, $港股红利低波ETF(SH520550)$和$中证红利质量ETF(SZ159209)$值得密切关注,在保留指数优秀基因的基础上,ETF设计为“0.15%+0.05%”的全市场最低费率组合,且分红条款方面设置成月月评估分红,作为优质的多因子红利品种,极致低费率+分红现金流回报,让长期持有的体验进一步提升。

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