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大团圆结局一家亲,如何选择好的国产电影

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  一季度,“冠军基”“季军基”规模双双破百亿元!

  4月21日,今年一季度公募基金业绩排名第一的鹏华碳中和主题A、排名第三的永赢先进制造智选A相继披露了2025年一季报。两只基金规模均在一季度实现大规模增长,从2024年末的10亿级别规模,增长至百亿元规模,截至一季度末,两只基金规模分别达108.96亿元、115.18亿元。

  两只基金均在一季度重仓人形机器人板块,基金经理在一季报中对该板块做出解读。

  其中,鹏华碳中和主题基金基金经理闫思倩认为,2025年将成为具身智能发展元年,随着中国制造与AI快速发展,具身智能在未来几年将提升各制造业行业生产效率,大幅降低制造成本,目前仍处于从0到1的起步阶段,空间巨大却也还有很长的路要走。永赢先进制造智选基金经理张璐认为,机器人板块是未来10年大级别beta机会,机器人板块会持续活跃,但随着量产的逐步落地,个股可能会去伪存真,分化可能加剧,波动会有所增加。

  一季度绩优基金规模双双破百亿

  4月21日,今年一季度公募基金业绩排名第一的鹏华碳中和主题A和排名第三的永赢先进制造智选A双双披露一季报。

  因重仓机器人板块,鹏华碳中和主题A、永赢先进制造智选A今年一季度业绩表现亮眼,收益率分别为60.26%、52.32%。一季度,两只基金规模大增,鹏华碳中和主题基金份额由2024年末的10.51亿份增至今年一季度末的69.13亿份,规模达108.96亿元;永赢先进制造智选基金份额由2024年末的14.01亿份增至今年一季度末的60.11亿份,规模达115.18亿元。

  从具体持仓来看,今年一季度,鹏华碳中和主题较2024年末大幅增持了双林股份、中大力德、五洲新春(维权)、震裕科技、华辰装备、汉威科技、中坚科技、兆威机电、绿的谐波等个股,并新买入捷昌驱动;截至一季度末,该基金前十大重仓股分别为双林股份、中大力德、五洲新春、震裕科技、华辰装备、汉威科技、捷昌驱动、中坚科技、兆威机电、绿的谐波。

  永赢先进制造智选增持了北特科技、浙江荣泰、震裕科技、斯菱股份、兆威机电、中大力德、伟创电气、肇民科技、蓝黛科技,并新买入凌云股份。截至一季度末,该基金前十大重仓股分别为北特科技、浙江荣泰、震裕科技、斯菱股份、凌云股份、兆威机电、中大力德、伟创电气、肇民科技、蓝黛科技。

  2025年是人形机器人量产元年

  对于年内热门赛道机器人板块,基金经理在一季报中给出详尽分析认为,2025年是人形机器人量产元年,未来渗透率的天花板高且想象空间大。

  回顾一季度机器人板块的亮眼表现,永赢先进制造智选基金经理张璐表示,机器人板块近期有四个维度的积极变化:1.机器人板块在持续扩圈,从以前的机器人主机厂单一映射到现在有了国内外多个机器人主机厂衍生的多个产业链共同映射。个股方面,大量传统电新、汽车、机械等板块公司开始涉及机器人相关业务,机器人相关个股数量增加明显;2.整个一季度机器人板块有较密集的催化,各主机厂机器人新视频的不断推出、春晚机器人节目出圈、英伟达CES大会等事件使得机器人板块持续维持着高关注度和高热度;3.政策端方面,广深、江浙沪、川渝、安徽等几个省市陆续发布了机器人产业支持政策,对于机器人产业链,政策层面有超预期的扶持力度;4.产业链进展方面,2025年是人形机器人量产元年,全球范围内可能会有革命性的机器人产品发布,产业将开启量产时刻。

  鹏华碳中和主题基金经理闫思倩在一季报中表示,2025年以来,多家汽车及零部件公司公告转型具身智能,主流车企都在加入机器人产业化阵营。两会期间,全国人大代表、小鹏汽车董事长何小鹏预计未来将在人形机器人领域投资500亿—1000亿元。互联网巨头像当年涌入互联网造车一样,纷纷涌入人形机器人领域。2025年将成为具身智能发展元年,随着中国制造与AI快速发展,具身智能在未来几年将提升各制造业行业生产效率,大幅降低制造成本。但目前仍处于从0到1的起步阶段,空间巨大却也还有很长的路要走。

  人形机器人赛道分化可能加剧,投资需注意风险

  展望二季度,张璐认为,人形机器人产业链依然在快速地发展,行业日新月异。机器人板块会持续活跃,但随着量产的逐步落地,个股可能会去伪存真,分化可能加剧,波动会有所增加。

  机器人板块是未来10年大级别beta机会。它的闪耀登场远不止解放双手那么简单,无论从情感陪伴还是物理支持都将全方位赋能人类的生活。特斯拉公司首席执行官埃隆·马斯克多次阐述愿景:未来人类和人形机器人的比例将不止1:1,有较大可能超过人类数量,渗透率的天花板高且想象空间大。人形机器人相较于其他行业壁垒较高,涉及多学科的融合、软硬件的协同,所以对入局的资金、技术、资源整合都有相对较高的要求。而且产业链从上游到核心零部件和系统零部件,到中游的机器人本体和系统集成,到下游的终端应用,产业链长且复杂。机器人,可能是未来不可多得的,如同当年消费电子中苹果产业链、特斯拉电动车产业链——现象级的长坡厚雪大赛道。

  “板块短期上涨较多后,我们也在机器人细分领域内做出取舍,例如市场对可能面临快速通缩、同质化竞争激烈的品种的定价较为充分后,我们更愿意把仓位布局在感知类零部件、新制造工艺、潜在新型电机方案、整机组装代工商、积极拓展机器人业务且估值相对偏低的公司等。”一季度“亚军基”平安先进制造的基金经理张荫先在一季报中表示,本产品一贯的投资方法:一方面布局确定性,寻找在机器人业务中较高概率进入供应链的公司,另一方面挖掘弹性,积极寻找主业基本面有支撑或改善、同时新拓展机器人业务的优秀公司,这类标的一旦实现0—1的新突破,有望获得估值及业绩的双击机会。

  需要注意的是,永赢先进制造智选一季报特别提示,永赢智选系列作为聚焦新质生产力的工具型产品系列,其高成长性决定了必会伴随较大的市场波动。对于该产品来说,面对人形机器人这样一个具有长期向好逻辑的板块,单纯地追高或在市场波动时恐慌离场都不是最优策略。投资者在初次接触相关行业时,不妨将其纳入关注列表,深入了解和研究该行业及工具型产品的风险收益特征,基于真正看好时再做出投资决策,而不要仅仅因为热度高就跟风购买。若看好板块未来发展,可以考虑采用定投方式与行业共同成长,熨平短期波动,力争享受行业长期发展的红利。同时,也希望大家能够适当分散投资,从更理性、更长期的角度做好资产配置,不要把资金全部押注到单一产品。

  来源:证券日报之声

  本报记者方凌晨

  黄金继续“吸睛”。

  4月21日,截至记者发稿时,现货黄金价格一度高达3396.07美元/盎司,创历史新高。

  受黄金现货价格持续创新高影响,黄金相关股票基金纷纷大涨,多只黄金股ETF收盘涨幅居前,国泰黄金股票ETF、华夏黄金股ETF涨停。

  图片来源:Wind

  在业内人士看来,本轮黄金价格持续上涨,是多方面因素综合的结果。广发证券研报分析称,黄金价格的上涨主要受到金融属性、避险属性和货币属性三方面的影响。

  华安基金相关人士认为,黄金具备重要配置优势。全球央行购金逻辑将长期持续,是推动金价不断创新高的重要动力。美联储年内降息预期利好不生息资产黄金。

  同日,上海黄金交易所发布通知提示,近期贵金属价格波动剧烈。请会员提高风险防范意识,继续做好风险应急预案,维护市场平稳运行。同时,提示投资者做好风险防范工作,合理控制仓位,理性投资。

  图片来源:上海黄金交易所

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