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  来源:东外滩技术派

  昨天跟读者做交流时,这位读者说看到最近有人在传某知名公募基金正在大批量裁员,问我是不是真的。

  我问这位读者信息源是什么,他给了我一张微博截图,内容如下:

  “来自多方信源爆料,某纯外资公募基金(中国)正在大批量裁员,渠道销售已经裁了一大半,还在进行中,据说中后台也马上要轮到了……”

  这微博还捎带手鼓励了一下二级狗们:

  “万物皆周期,公募基金正处于行业下行周期,兄弟姐妹们,挺住!”

  根据我了解到的情况,微博里说的事儿,是真的。

  但是,互联网就是这样,很多事会越传越离谱。

  微博里的关键词是“纯外资”,这家“纯外资”在国内市场上没啥影响力,总盘子应该也不到百亿。

  结果市场上很多人就传成了另一家合资、头部、总盘子大几千亿的公募基金。

  两者的共同点是名字里有三个字重合。纯外资是三个字,合资是五个字(后三个字重合)。

  但我要多说一句的是:

  合资头部公募基金目前也在经历一些人员调整。

  实际上这种类型的人员调整,我在之前跟读者们做交流时也说过,叫做:反向晋升。

  意思就是:

  (1)投资总监降为基金经理;

  (2)基金经理降成研究员,覆盖自己原先看的行业;

  (3)而如果研究员被领导顶得没行业可看了,那就淘汰,直接被顶出公司。

  这不只是在一家公募基金中发生的事情,而是行业当前普遍的生态趋势。越市场化的机构,越是明显。

  因为,市场规模在收缩,不需要这么多基金经理去管钱了。

  更何况不止盘子变小,费率还在降低。

  我在《公募基金的最后一抹余晖》这篇文章里说过:

  公募基金改革会在5-10年的维度上,较大程度重塑行业的生态,当然也会非常显著得影响二级市场的市场风格。

  这种改革不只是监管要求,也是顺应市场规律。打破“管理费旱涝保收”的盈利模式,倒逼机构从“销售驱动”转向“业绩驱动”。

  封闭基金大多3年期或5年期,而国内公募基金的辉煌(与金融行业其他许多细分赛道一样)恰恰是2020-2022年。

  那时候有多风光,现在的感受就有多惨淡和凋敝。

  熬吧,还能有什么办法呢?

  总不能再拉下脸去二级卖方吧?

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