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抗日之幸存者,深入剖析这一现象的成因与影响
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  来源:中国银行保险报

  4月以来,多家商业银行陆续下调存款利率,这一趋势已从农商行蔓延至城商行和股份行。

  《中国银行保险报》记者在采访中注意到,光大银行、平安银行、恒丰银行等近期先后下调了部分特色存款产品的定存利率,有银行存款利率下调幅度高达40个基点,还有部分银行上调了3年期、5年期存款产品起存门槛。

  今年以来,金融管理部门多次提出“择机降准降息”。一位银行客户经理在向记者发送利率下调提醒时直言:“且存且珍惜”。

  1

  长端存款利率回落明显

  整体来看,期限较长的存款产品利率再度成为本轮调整的重点。

  “我行目前3年期定存利率最高是1.65%,2年期定存利率最高是1.7%,1年期定存利率最高是1.6%,利率是不久前刚刚下调的。”平安银行北京地区一网点工作人员告诉记者,3年期定存产品利率年初时还是2.05%。

  光大银行北京地区一理财经理向记者介绍,该行也在近期下调了特色存款产品利率。其中,5万元起存、期限3年的定存产品利率由2.14%降至2.05%。该理财经理同时表示,目前该行利率在“2字头”的大额存单产品颇受客户欢迎,额度相对紧俏。

  恒丰银行4月15日发布的最新“臻享存款”利率表显示,起存金额5000元的3年期、2年期、1年期定存产品利率分别为2.15%、1.80%和1.65%,较2月时分别调降20个基点、15个基点和15个基点。

  广西巴马农商行发布通告称,从4月16日起将3年期、5年期人民币存款挂牌利率均降至2%,降幅达35个基点。

  除了下调存款利率,还有银行通过调整存款“门槛”、下架长期限产品来管控付息成本。

  记者注意到,浦发银行广州分行4月公布的大额存单产品取消了“50万元起存,存期3年,年利率2.15%”一项。目前该分行仅面向新客户的3年期起存大额存单利率最高能达到2.15%,起存金额为20万元。

  北京银行一理财经理向记者表示,目前该行手机银行中“京惠存”特色存款产品已没有5年期;3年期定存利率最高可至2.1%,仅面向新客户及已办理最新三代社保卡客户。对于一般客户而言,3年期、5万元起存定存利率为1.9%。

  2

  优化存款付息率仍在进行时

  当前,在贷款利率维持低位、降准降息依然可期的背景下,银行通过主动优化调整包括定期存款在内的负债结构来稳定息差,无疑仍是2025年的重要工作之一。

  《中国银行保险报》记者注意到,在刚刚过去的2024年度业绩发布会上,多家银行高管均透露今年将继续优化存款付息率。

  浦发银行副行长张健表示,2025年前3个月,浦发银行个人存款付息率下降15个基点,降幅超过2024年全年。

  杭州银行副行长章建夫谈到,从商业银行发展角度看,各商业银行应自主加强定价管理。杭州银行将减少和控制低效资产和高息负债,促进信贷资产尽早投放,推动存款付息率快速下降。

  兴业银行计划财务部总经理林舒认为,银行业息差虽然普遍下行,但保持较稳定息差、较合理分红水平的银行股还是目前市场投资者追逐的标的。2025年该行存款付息率大概还有20个基点的下降空间。

  招联首席研究员、上海金融与发展实验室副主任董希淼在接受《中国银行保险报》记者采访时表示,部分银行近期主动下调存款利率,顺应存款利率下降的总体趋势,有助于进一步压降负债成本、维持息差基本稳定,符合金融管理部门政策导向。未来一段时间,市场利率将仍然处于下行趋势,存款利率还有可能继续下降。

  来源:华夏时报

  对等关税风波之下,对银行外贸相关业务影响有多大?近期,已有多家中小银行对此回应了市场关切。

  结合银行的公开回应和采访,《华夏时报》记者了解到,已有多家银行对相关情况进行了摸底和调研,但由于相关政策影响传导到银行端链条较长,具有一定的滞后性,从银行的角度来看,当前影响较为有限且整体可控,已有银行针对可能产生的影响制定了相应举措。

  多家中小银行表示“影响有限”

  浙江绍兴柯桥区是瑞丰银行的总部所在地,也是该行的主要展业区域之一。4月16日,谈及对等关税政策的影响,瑞丰银行党委书记、董事长吴智晖在2024年业绩说明会上表示,将以区域经济的共生能量,应对外贸冲击。他指出,2024年瑞丰银行国际结算等业务增量迅猛,对等关税风波之后,该行已经主动开展了摸底和调研,了解辖内外贸企业情况和相关信贷情况。

  数据显示,美国是浙江第一大出口国,2024年浙江对美出口达6316.8亿元,占全省出口总额的16.2%。

  “关税政策对区域内的企业影响肯定是深远的,但相对来看,我们主要展业的区域影响可能并不会比大家想象中大。”瑞丰银行相关负责人告诉《华夏时报》记者,2024年柯桥区对美直接出口总额占该区出口总额的比重不足4%,从数据的层面来看,柯桥区虽为出口导向型经济,但对美直接出口的占比相对较低。

  除了瑞丰银行,浙江省内多家银行都在近期针对等关税政策回应了市场关切。其中,宁波银行、浙江泰隆银行、温州民商银行等多家银行都表示,目前关税的影响还是可控,对未来影响还需要继续观察。

  浙商银行则称,该行正在内部梳理应对关税战的举措,将于近日对外公布。

  从沿海地区来看,山东地区的青岛银行表示,关税政策对该行业务影响有限。虽然国际业务是青岛银行过去三年战略规划的重点板块之一,但青岛银行认为,从国际结算业务规模看,行内涉美贸易结算占比相对较低,涉美业务集中度不高,对涉美资产业务的影响有限,部分客户已采取拓展新渠道、平摊关税成本等应对措施,影响范围相对有限。

  福建地区的厦门国际银行告诉记者,关税战爆发后,该行第一时间组织机构调研外贸企业受影响情况,全面排查并跟进现有企业的金融需求,深入了解了企业在外贸政策、结算、融资等方面的金融需求。

  《华夏时报》记者同时询问了湖北、山西、四川等地的多家中小银行,银行均回复称当前对业务影响较小。

  多家机构也在相关研报中指出,由于传导链条较长,“关税战”对银行业的影响相对有限。中泰证券认为,对等关税使经济压力增加,对银行的贷款需求和净息差带来额外压力,但总体上银行资产质量能保持稳健,行业息差也已接近底线,影响相对可控。

  多家中小银行已有对应举措

  凭借全球化布局和综合化服务能力,国有大行、股份制银行在外贸业务的跨境综合服务中更具优势,在跨境结算、国际融资等领域具有较大业务量。而中小银行受限于全球网络和资本规模,通常与地方经济联系紧密,更多服务于本地中小外贸企业的境内融资需求,以本地化、普惠性信贷为主。在调研过程中,记者注意到,多家中小银行在回应关税战的影响时提到,“外贸相关客户不多”“客户体量较小”,因此影响有限。

  “关税政策对银行端的影响相对后置,我行服务的中小微企业较多,外贸相关客户主要分布在小微制造业和电商类型的企业,客群规模小,在行内占比不高,监管方面已经就此调研了相关情况。”有浙江地区银行工作人员告诉《华夏时报》记者。

  中金公司银行团队也在近期研报中指出,(历史经验来看,出口增速下滑时期)对于国企和基建敞口占比相对更高的国有大行和区域银行而言,资产质量表现相对更加稳健,对于位于沿海省份、出口产业链敞口占比较高的区域银行资产质量影响相对较大。

  记者注意到,针对可能产生的影响,多家中小银行已制定了对应举措。

  江苏地区的江阴银行在近期回复投资者提问时表示,当前“我行已充分认识到美国关税政策可能对贷款需求和净息差带来的压力,正通过优化资产结构、加大内需信贷投放和积极响应政策导向等措施,有效应对外部挑战,确保经营平稳、稳健、高效发展”。

  瑞丰银行相关负责人告诉记者,在应对关税影响的具体举措上,该行会加大政策分析及对客指导、充分运用汇率避险产品、持续开展减费让利行动,加强对客户的走访跟进及贷后管理,也会针对企业收款异常等情况进行实时监测,做好紧急预案。

  厦门国际银行相关工作人员也向《华夏时报》记者表示,本轮关税政策和汇率波动是主要的影响因素,该行一方面强化对客汇率避险产品服务体系,助力外贸企业做好汇率“风险中性”管理;其次是推出包括境外贷款、跨境并购贷款、跨境银团、中长期项目贷款等,满足外贸企业短期资金周转压力及拓展新兴市场需求,帮助外贸企业应对关税战影响。

  为传递对资本市场发展前景的坚定信心,关税战以来,已有多家银行股东、高管增持股票,为市场注入“真金白银”。分析人士指出,对等关税政策对银行业的冲击有限,在此背景下,银行股红利价值凸显,高管和大股东的增持传递出对银行发展前景、业绩增长以及股价稳定的长期信心。

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