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于世沉浮 玉隐,揭开忍者世界的情感与战斗,感受音乐的力量!
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于世沉浮 玉隐,揭开忍者世界的情感与战斗,感受音乐的力量!

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  瑞士3月对美国的黄金出口下降32%,但仍保持在103.2吨的高位,价值约110亿美元。

  根据瑞士海关网站的数据,瑞士黄金出口总量环比下降27%,至150.3吨。

  瑞士黄金进口量环比增长4%至210.2吨。

  欧洲央行下调存款利率的幅度符合经济学家的预期。

  存款利率下调至2.25%,预估为2.25%;接受调查的62位经济学家中有60位预期为2.25%;预估区间为2.00%-2.50%。

  主要再融资利率下调至2.40%,预估为2.40%;接受调查的50位经济学家中有48位预期为2.40%;预估区间为2.15%-2.65%。

  边际贷款利率下调至2.65%,预估为2.65%;接受调查的21位经济学家中有19位预期为2.65%;预估区间为2.40%-2.90%。

  4月17日金融一线消息,华夏银行今日发布2024年度报告。数据显示,报告期末,集团资产规模43,764.91亿元,同比增长2.86%;贷款总额23,663.17亿元,同比增长2.46%;存款总额21,513.70亿元,同比增长1.01%。

  报告期内,实现利润总额358.79亿元,同比增长1.24%;实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润276.76亿元,同比4.98%。

  报告期末,集团不良贷款余额379.14亿元,同比下降1.53%;不良贷款率1.60%,比上年末下降0.07个百分点;拨备覆盖率161.89%,比上年末上升1.83个百分点。

  美国4月份费城联邦储备银行制造业指数降至-26.4预估为2.2。

  28名经济学家的预估区间为-10.5至11.4。

  费城联邦储备银行公布,前月整体企业活动状况指数为12.5。

  支付价格指数4月份增至51,前月为48.3。

  新订单指数降至-34.2,前月为8.7。

  雇员数量指数降至0.2,前月为19.7。

  出货指数降至-9.1,前月为2。

  交付时间指数降至-2.6,前月为4.1。

  库存指数增至-0.9,前月为-5.7。

  要点

  周四,土耳其央行将其关键利率,即一周期回购利率从42.5%上调至46%,这一举措令市场感到意外。

  此前,土耳其3月份的年通货膨胀率为38.1%。

  在美国实施关税以及伊斯坦布尔市长、反对派领导人埃克雷姆・伊玛莫格鲁被捕后出现重大政治动荡的背景下,土耳其一直在应对经济混乱局面。

2024年3月4日日落时分,土耳其伊斯坦布尔的城市景观。

  周四,土耳其央行将其关键利率,即一周期回购利率从42.5%上调至46%,结束了自去年12月开始的宽松周期,这一举措令市场感到意外。

  这一决定是在美国关税导致经济混乱,以及3月份伊斯坦布尔市长、反对派领导人埃克雷姆・伊玛莫格鲁被捕后出现重大政治动荡和投资者外逃的背景下做出的。

  土耳其货币政策委员会在随决定发布的声明中写道:“在收紧货币政策方面的果断态度,正通过抑制国内需求、土耳其里拉实际升值以及改善通胀预期,来推进去通胀进程。”

  该委员会提到“全球贸易中不断上升的保护主义可能会通过全球经济活动、大宗商品价格和资本流动,对去通胀进程产生影响”,并表示“在通过持续降低通胀实现价格稳定之前,将维持收紧的货币政策立场”。

  土耳其3月份的年通货膨胀率为38.1%。

  此次加息是在外汇储备大幅减少的情况下进行的。3月19日伊玛莫格鲁被捕及随后的抗议活动发生后,土耳其央行为了捍卫里拉,在三天内动用了高达250亿美元的资金,里拉曾一度短暂跌至创纪录低点,超过40里拉兑换1美元。伊玛莫格鲁被捕的消息传出后,土耳其市场最初大幅下挫,该国政府于3月23日禁止卖空,并放宽了股票回购规则,以提振股票市场。

  3月20日,里拉贬值促使央行紧急加息200个基点,将其隔夜贷款利率提高至46.00%,达到利率区间的上限。

  杰富瑞(Jefferies)外汇业务全球主管布拉德・贝希特尔(BradBechtel)表示,因此,周四的加息在很大程度上是3月份一系列事件发生后的技术性调整。

  贝希特尔在央行周四宣布加息后的一份报告中写道:“我们将看看(土耳其总统雷杰普・塔伊普・)埃尔多安对央行举措的看法,但到目前为止,央行在应对政治噪音、持续抗击通胀方面做得相当不错。”

  凯投宏观(CapitalEconomics)新兴欧洲经济学家尼古拉斯・法尔(NicholasFarr)周四在分析报告中写道,央行的这一举措“将使上个月实施的紧缩政策正式化,表明政策制定者对通胀的上行风险更加担忧”。

  法尔写道,货币政策委员会的声明“强调了里拉走弱带来的风险,以及政策制定者将在当前美国贸易保护主义存在不确定性的情况下,密切关注资本流动情况”。

  凯投宏观的分析师预计,未来几个月土耳其的通胀率将呈下降趋势,并且认为不会再有进一步的紧缩政策出台。

  报告还补充称:“但很明显,央行的宽松周期遇到了重大阻碍,重启宽松周期可能还需要一段时间。我们现在预计,一周期回购利率到年底将维持在40.00%(此前预测为35.00%)。”

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