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  来源:证券之星

  市场全天低开后震荡反弹,三大指数涨跌不一,沪指止步8连涨。

  盘面上,银行股维持强势,中、农、工、建四大行续创历史新高。地产、城镇化概念股集体走强,渝开发等多股涨停。5G概念股表现活跃,通宇通讯等涨停。下跌方面,大消费股集体调整,贝因美等多股跌停。

  截至收盘,沪指跌0.11%,深成指涨0.23%,创业板指涨0.27%。市场热点较为杂乱,个股跌多涨少,全市场超2700只个股下跌。沪深两市全天成交额9147亿,较上个交易日缩量848亿,创年内地量。

  01. 银行股攻势再起

  今日,A股市场震荡调整,沪指小幅收跌,两市成交额较之昨日再度萎缩,显示出资金仍然保守,观望情绪浓厚,整体操作偏向防御。

  首先,银行股再度逆势活跃,中、农、工、建四大行续创历史新高。

  今年以来,险资频频举牌银行股,背后或是红利属性凸显、战略协同需求和防御性配置多重因素共振。中国银河证券表示,降准降息预期增强,低利率环境延续,叠加全球政治经济环境不确定性,资金避险属性提升,银行股息率性价比凸显。

  其次,6G概念、通信设备等板块同样于盘中活跃。

  消息面上,工信部表示,下一步将在推动科技创新和产业创新融合的深度上下功夫,凝聚产学研用各方力量,加快推进6G技术研发、标准制定、中试验证和产业落实,加强通信、感知、智能、计算等融合技术突破,前瞻布局和培育面向6G的应用产业生态。

  此外,近期强势的大消费方向陷入整理,旅游酒店与乳业等方向领跌,贝因美跌停。

  本轮大消费行情演绎至今,几乎扩散至各个细分。而昨日加速的上涨后情绪端或趋于高潮,以目前市场整体的量能水平而言,存在着一定的买盘承接不足疑虑。分析人士预计,后续内部的分化可能会有所加剧。

  整体而言,在市场持续缩量环境下,板块轮动较快,资金更便宜防御板块和消息面催化方向,因此,大消费在昨日高潮遭遇调整仍在情理之中,分析人士建议,后续可关注资金对于消费方向的回流强度,一方面继续聚焦前排核心标的,另一方面关注在一众低位补涨个股中能够脱颖而出的个股。

  02. 增量资金加速涌入市场

  近期,受海外扰动,投资者情绪较为脆弱,资金观望意味浓厚,成交额再创年内地量,也令市场担忧交易额又会长期萎缩。

  事实上,当前A股市场面临的增量资金依然充足——今年以来,随着各项政策举措的逐步落地实施,包括保险资金、银行理财资金、各类养老金等在内的增量资金入市进程加快。

  首先,今年1月份,《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》出台,主要举措包括要求公募基金持有A股流通市值未来三年每年至少增长10%;大型国有保险公司自2025年起每年新增保费的30%用于投资A股,对国有保险公司、社保基金、养老金等全面实施三年以上长周期考核,降低短期业绩权重。

  其次,国家金融监督管理总局近日发布《关于调整保险资金权益类资产监管比例有关事项的通知》,上调保险资金权益资产配置比例上限、提高投资创业投资基金的集中度比例、放宽税延养老比例监管要求。

  第三,4月份以来,稳股市“组合拳”协同发力,增量资金全面入市。央行、中央汇金、沪深两市公司及股东等多方行动,齐心协力为A股市场提供增量资金支持,用实际行动表达对中国资本市场的坚定信心。

  此外,社保基金、公募基金、私募基金、证券公司、银行理财等各方联手加仓,形成协同效应;龙头企业“大额+高频”回购,产生示范效应,如三一重工、海尔智家等单笔回购规模均超10亿元。截至目前,已有483家A股上市公司累计披露511单股票回购增持贷款计划,拟申请贷款金额上限合计1020.584亿元。

  展望未来,证券日报刊文评论称,随着相关政策措施效果陆续显现,预计会有更多增量资金进入A股市场。

  03. A股行情或迎“多点开花”

  对于A股后市,内外资机构近期也是联合看好。

  外资方面,对于近期市场担忧的关税风波,摩根大通分析师在最新发布的报告中表示,特朗普政府的新一轮关税政策对于中国互联网公司的影响并不直接,对于中国线上消费的影响更是微乎其微,预计可能不到0.5%。

  对于A股投资机会,高盛在最新的报告中表示,中资股估值吸引,叠加经济刺激政策预期,势有资金重投中国。考虑到A股气氛更受惠于政策刺激,策略配置上较H股看高一线。高盛预计,未来12个月内,MSCI中国指数有12%的上涨空间,沪深300指数有15%的上涨空间。

  内资方面,睿远基金傅鹏博认为,这次关税之“危”会转化为“机”,推动一系列改革,如提振内需,以国内消费市场带动经济增长。资本市场或迎来从“科技牛”的局部行情到多点开花的局面。

  睿远基金赵枫也认为,伴随着外部环境的变化和投资者预期的波动,二季度市场表现也许会比较颠簸,但结合当前的估值水平和较为宽裕的政策空间,我们认为中国权益资产的价格存在较为坚实的基本面支撑,对全年表现仍可保持乐观。

  具体配置上,高盛看好消费板块的表现,认为消费和地产领域的进一步改善将推动市场上涨。高盛还表示,小盘股可能表现更佳,特别是科创50、创业板指和中证1000等指数。

  新华社快讯:习近平结束对越南、马来西亚和柬埔寨国事访问回到北京。

  来源:财联社

  4月18日,金融监管总局发布《关于推动深化人身保险行业个人营销体制改革的通知》(以下简称《通知》)。

  其中,在深化个人营销体制改革方面,《通知》提出建立以业务品质、服务质量为导向的佣金激励设计和递延发放机制,引导保险销售人员长期留存;在强化管理和监督力度方面,《通知》将建立保险销售人员违法违规导致经济损失的佣金薪酬追索扣回机制,防范销售误导和套利风险,对违反要求的机构和个人严肃查处追责。值得注意的是,此次《通知》还提出,将推动建立有中国特色的保险销售人员荣誉评价体系,提升保险销售人员的职业认同感和归属感。

  对外经济贸易大学保险学院教授王国军对财联社记者表示,《通知》的印发将有助于推动保险公司转变经营发展模式,改革完善体制机制,强化保险销售人员管理,建立管理体系科学、利益分配公平、激励机制有效的营销体制。其次,《通知》还将促进培养笃守诚信理念、明悉客户需求、具备专业知识、提供优质服务的高素质保险销售人才队伍,在保护消费者合法权益同时,更好满足消费者日益增长的保险保障和财富管理需求。

  以业务品质、服务质量为导向,建立佣金激励设计和递延发放机制

  自1992年个人保险代理人模式引入我国保险市场以来,个人代理渠道迅速发展,多年来已成为人身保险行业增长的主要动力,在服务客户需求、推动行业发展、解决社会就业等方面作出了积极贡献。

  近年来,随着我国经济快速发展和社会大众保险意识的提升,个人营销体制潜在问题日益凸显。比如,传统营销体制激励约束不足,个人保险代理人专业化程度不高、职业归属感不强,保险公司管理不到位等,无法适应人身保险行业高质量发展需求。

  针对个人营销体制当前存在的主要问题,《通知》在深化个人营销体制改革方面,提出四个方面的要求。

  一是提升保险销售人员专业化水平。强化保险公司对保险销售人员的全流程管理,健全完善招募选任、岗位培训、行为管控、激励约束等制度体系。

  二是引导保险销售人员职业化发展,优化人员管理机制,逐步构建支持保险销售人员长期服务的组织架构、晋升体系和佣金薪酬激励制度。

  三是鼓励保险公司创新保险销售人员管理体制,支持公司员工依法自愿转换为保险销售顾问,在取得相应销售资质后销售本公司保险产品,发掘个人营销渠道新动能。

  四是优化佣金激励分配机制,增强长期服务能力。建立以业务品质、服务质量为导向的佣金激励设计和递延发放机制,引导保险销售人员长期留存,持续为客户提供良好服务。对于不同类型销售人员,建立平衡合理的激励分配机制,保障保险销售人员合法权益。

  防范销售误导和套利风险,将建立佣金薪酬追索扣回机制

  在强化管理和监督力度方面,《通知》提出三个方面的要求。

  一是全面强化渠道管理。压实保险公司主体责任,明确公司内部在个人营销体制规划、实施以及销售人员队伍管理等方面相应责任;要求深化执行“报行合一”,加强费用预算管控,做到精算假设费用、预算费用和考核费用相统一;强化风险监测、预警和干预,建立保险销售人员违法违规导致经济损失的佣金薪酬追索扣回机机制,保护消费者合法权益;建立健全适当性管理制度,更好满足消费者需求。

  二是进一步从严监管。监管部门依法严格监管,加强法人监管,落实属地监管责任,强化行为监管,防范销售误导和套利风险,对违反监管要求的机构和个人,依法依规严肃查处追责。

  三是统一监管要求,要求保险专业代理机构、保险经纪人等参照《通知》执行,确保对各渠道保险销售人员的监管要求一致。

  代理人分级、产品分类,推动建立有中国特色的保险销售人员荣誉评价体系

  此外,为夯实行业发展基础,《通知》要求发挥行业组织、监管部门等合力,共同推动个人代理渠道转型升级。

  一是支持中国保险行业协会建立人身保险产品分类和保险销售人员分级标准,实现保险销售人员分级、产品分类、差异授权。

  二是由保险业协会建立健全保险销售人员诚信信息管理和运用机制,各保险公司做好保险销售人员诚信信息登记及管理工作,规范销售人员在市场主体间的合理有序流动。

  三是推动支持为保险销售人员按照灵活就业人员相关政策参加社会保险、办理居住证等,建立有中国特色的保险销售人员荣誉评价体系,提升保险销售人员的职业认同感和归属感。

  普华永道金融业合伙人周瑾对财联社记者表示,《通知》以制度规范督促保险公司加强对保险销售人员的约束和引导,推动个人代理渠道转型升级,从而为保险行业高质量发展夯实基础。

  对于保险机构而言,需要以客户的需求为出发点,动态评估客户的风险承受力,针对性开发和适当匹配产品,并采用适当的销售模式、策略和流程。因此,保险机构要完善内控和合规体系,采用低成本高效率强体验的客户洞察与风险评估方式,适时调整产品和渠道策略。

  据商务部网站消息,2025年1-3月,全国新设立外商投资企业12603家,同比增长4.3%;实际使用外资金额2692.3亿元人民币,同比下降10.8%。3月当月实际使用外资同比增长13.2%。

  从行业看,制造业实际使用外资715.1亿元人民币,服务业实际使用外资1933.3亿元人民币。高技术产业实际使用外资786.1亿元人民币,其中,电子商务服务业、生物药品制造业、航空航天器及设备制造业、医疗仪器设备及器械制造业实际使用外资分别增长100.5%、63.8%、42.5%和12.4%。

  从来源地看,东盟地区实际对华投资增长56.2%,欧盟地区对华投资增长11.7%,瑞士、英国、日本、韩国实际对华投资分别增长76.8%、60.5%、29.1%和12.9%(含通过自由港投资数据)。

  李强主持召开国务院常务会议,研究稳就业稳经济推动高质量发展的若干措施。

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