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  由于避险需求升温、美元下跌以及科技股重挫,黄金周三飙升至新高,此前美国总统唐纳德·特朗普下令展开一项调查,可能在全球贸易战中开辟新战线。

  现货黄金周三一度上涨3.2%,首次突破每盎司3300美元,超过周一创下的历史纪录。由于特朗普启动针对关键矿产是否需要加征关税的调查,关税相关消息令交易员应接不暇,美元也跌至六个月低点。

  随着贸易战升级引发全球衰退担忧,加之美国关税政策变动频繁令投资者难以建立长期仓位,黄金今年已累计上涨超过26%,并连续刷新纪录高点。

  “过去几周,黄金价格不断创出新高,”贝莱德主题与行业投资全球主管EvyHambro在接受采访时表示。“黄金市场在这个不确定性的时期欣欣向荣,但其上涨基础是实实在在的。”

  在投资者持续增持黄金ETF、各国央行继续购金的背景下,大型银行对未来几个季度黄金的前景依然保持乐观。高盛集团预测,到2026年年中,金价将上涨至每盎司4000美元。

  美国银行本周发布的一项全球基金经理调查显示,42%的受访者预计黄金将成为2025年表现最好的资产类别,比例远高于3月的23%。

  近一半的受访者还认为,做多黄金目前是市场上最拥挤的交易,取代了做多科技股七巨头连续两年保持的这个地位。

  本周,美国政府还宣布对半导体和药品进口展开调查,此前已对钢、铝、汽车及零部件等实施了有针对性的行业关税。同时,美国政府表示正与数十个贸易伙伴谈判,以关税减免为条件换取降低贸易壁垒。

  银河期货驻上海分析师LuchenWang表示,主要国家之间的博弈还将持续,“而黄金作为避险资产的吸引力意味着其在短期到中期内更有可能上涨而非下跌。”

  交易员也在押注美联储年内至少降息三次。通常情况下,货币政策放松对黄金构成利好。

  截至纽约时间中午12点32分,黄金上涨3.1%,报每盎司3330.28美元,盘中一度触及纪录高点3333.08美元。彭博美元现货指数下跌0.6%。白银和铂金上涨,钯金则变化不大。

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