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  在用户和营收增长上承压的爱奇艺急于寻找破局之道。

  在2025爱奇艺世界·大会上,爱奇艺对外公布了在用户产品以及商业模式方面的变化:

  在用户产品上,爱奇艺发布新的观影功能“跳看”。用户在爱奇艺App选择一部剧集横屏打开后,用手指靠近屏幕边缘处上下滑动,即可切换进入在播内容不同的剧情点。这意味着,用户心急想了解后续剧情进展走向时,向上一滑就能进入下一个剧情点。

  在商业模式上,爱奇艺改变原有以会员付费和广告为主的商业模式,上线电商业务。根据爱奇艺CEO龚宇在现场介绍,爱奇艺将依托于IP(知识产权)内容、艺人明星以及会员等资源做直播带货。爱奇艺电商是内容电商,而不是货架电商,目前仍在试运营状态。

  这是爱奇艺最近几年以来在产品和业务模式上最激进的改变。

  财报显示,爱奇艺2024全年收入292.3亿元人民币,同比下降8%。其中,会员服务收入同比下降13%,在线广告服务收入同比下降8%。

  业绩出现下滑,表层的原因是爱奇艺去年在剧集和综艺上表现平平,没有现象级破圈的作品出现,导致用户付费意愿和广告主的投放意愿均出现了下滑,更为深层的原因是,在短视频的冲击下,长视频在吸引用户注意力上越来越力不从心。

  面对压力,爱奇艺给出的破局之道便是内容和商业模式越来越像短视频看齐。

  面对短视频的冲击,爱奇艺在过去很长一段时间都选择置之不理,继续做高品质的长视频内容。

  当时,爱奇艺给出的理由是短视频行业存在很多低质量内容,爱奇艺希望提供基于正版的、高质量内容,而且短视频的审美、商业模式和影视行业也有较大差异。

  但这种判断和用户的真实选择并不一致。用户的时间和注意力越来越碎片化,但长视频行业经历了粗放式增长之后,剧集和综艺都存在冗长、注水等问题,导致用户流失。QuestMobile的报告显示,2024年12月,爱奇艺月活跃用户为3.54亿,同比下降16%。

  爱奇艺也意识到了问题。从去年下半年,爱奇艺开始转变此前对长短视频差异的看法,并积极拥抱短剧。

  今年,爱奇艺投入更大的资源和精力让长视频变短。在2025爱奇艺世界·大会上,爱奇艺基础架构与智能分发事业群总裁刘文峰透露,这是为了更好地适应用户注意力变化,把观看的选择权交给用户。如何在每一个屏幕上都能牢牢抓住用户,成为了这个时代内容创作者必须要面对的问题。

  AI大模型能力的提升让爱奇艺看到了把长视频变短的新思路。随着越来越多用户的真实观看行为被“喂”给AI大模型,大模型识别高能片段的准确度也越来越高,跳看功能正是基于大模型的能力推出。

  在跳看功能推出之前,用户也有快进的需求,但只能通过手动拉进度条完成,很难拉得精准。但跳看功能上线后,用户在横屏状态上下滑屏幕就能切换片段,相当于像看微剧一样看长视频,实现了长剧“短看”。

  刘文峰表示,速看和短视频内容为故事叙述提供了新的表达形式。爱奇艺也希望把这些用户观影行为数据反馈给创作者(制作方),让他们从用户注意力的角度出发来思考内容的创作和产品的设计。

  在发布会上,龚宇也呼吁全行业都要因为用户注意力的变化而做出改变。比如人物故事线更直接简单,铺垫更短,以前用3集,现在只用30分钟。“集数减少,时长减少,但是项目数和预算要增加。”

  在2025爱奇艺世界·大会召开的同时,爱奇艺电商也正式上线。

  目前,爱奇艺电商在爱奇艺网站和App首页还没有正式的入口,用户搜索“爱奇艺电商”会出现直播带货的页面。

  界面新闻搜索发现,创作者“食力研究所”已进行了首场直播。两位主播在4个多小时的直播中主要售卖了酸奶、方便面、饮料等产品。但由于大部分用户还很难找到直播带货入口,整场直播的用户评论、点赞等数据表现较为一般。

  龚宇表示,电商的货币化能力是非常高的。爱奇艺希望今年能奠定好发展的基础,让电商在明年有更高更快地增长。

  根据龚宇的构想,会员是爱奇艺电商最主要的潜在用户。爱奇艺利用资源的优势,也就是IP内容、艺人明星以及会员,像筛子一样,把互联网上消费力最强的用户筛出来。

  此前,直播电商模式在抖音、快手等短视频平台已经被验证。据36氪报道,2024年抖音电商GMV突破3.5万亿元,同比增长30%,稳坐国内电商“第三把交椅”。而快手财报显示,快手电商2024年全年GMV达1.39万亿元,同比增长17.3%。

  艾媒咨询CEO张毅对界面新闻表示,他对爱奇艺涉足直播带货并不意外,因为最近几年爱奇艺的业绩增长出现了瓶颈,急需要寻找新的增长点。爱奇艺的用户中,女性用户占比较高,有较强的购买力。

  但他认为,爱奇艺做直播电商的挑战也是显而易见的。一方面,爱奇艺需要找到主播和选品的突破口,形成自己的差异化辨识度;另一方面,供应链以及整个电商服务体系的构建更为关键,也是爱奇艺面对的主要难点。

  电商分析师李成东则表示不看好爱奇艺做直播电商。在他看来,爱奇艺更多是迫于营收压力,寻找新的增长点。但这个时候才下场做直播带货,时间有些晚了,而且需要大量优秀主播,才能有转化率,挑战会非常大。

北京时间4月24日凌晨,美联储公布了最新一期的美国经济状况报告(简称《褐皮书》),这是“关税风暴”后的第一份《褐皮书》,因此备受市场关注。

《褐皮书》显示,随着经济不确定性加剧,尤其是关税方面的不确定性,几个地区的前景“显著恶化”。各地区价格均有所上涨,大多数地区指出,企业预计关税将导致投入成本增长加快。

据统计,该报告107次提及关税,是上一份褐皮书的两倍多;“不确定”一词出现了89次。美联储指出,在最近一个报告周期内,“国际贸易政策的不确定性”在美联储12个地区的报告中“普遍存在”。

《褐皮书》显示,美国各地区物价普遍上涨,企业预计关税导致投入成本上升。许多公司报告称,其供应商已发出成本上涨的通知,大多数企业表示将计划把更高的价格转嫁给消费者。企业报告称已增加关税附加费或缩短定价周期,以应对不确定的贸易政策。

特朗普的关税计划变化频繁,为进口产品和原材料的企业带来了极大的不确定性。特朗普暂停了对几十个国家征收所谓“对等关税”的计划,但仍实施了统一的10%关税。这些关税是在此前对钢铁、铝和汽车进口产品征收的基础上追加的。

《褐皮书》显示,美国就业总体保持不变或略有上升。报告指出,美国政府职位和依赖政府资金的机构职位出现下降。这很可能反映了特朗普政府缩减联邦劳动力人员并削减成本:几个地区报告称,企业在招聘方面采取观望态度,在经济形势更明朗前暂停或放缓了招聘。此外,零星报告显示企业正在为裁员做准备。

报告还提到,消费者在关税相关价格上涨前赶紧购买车辆和非耐用品,同时国际游客数量下降。此外,非汽车类消费整体下降。

《褐皮书》还显示,运输活动略有增长。制造业表现不一,但三分之二的地区表示制造业活动变化不大或有所下降。能源行业略有增长,多个地区的农业状况相对稳定。

另外,近期关于解雇美联储主席鲍威尔的风波持续搅动美国市场。美国总统特朗普最新表示:“我认为鲍威尔不降息是在犯错误,我可能会给鲍威尔打电话。”

在此之前,特朗普表示他“从没有打算”解除鲍威尔的职务。据知情人士透露,特朗普改变主意与美国财政部长贝森特和商务部长卢特尼克有关,知情人士称,他们警告特朗普罢免鲍威尔或引发市场动荡和法律纠纷。

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