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  来源:证券日报之声 

  本报记者李万晨曦

  据通达信数据,截至4月17日收盘,食品饮料板块整体飘红,安记食品(股票代码:603696)、五芳斋(股票代码:603237)、惠发食品(维权)(股票代码:603536)等多只个股涨停,该板块中,一致魔芋(股票代码:839273)涨幅格外夺目,其股价收盘涨19.73%,报79元/股。

  在近期交易中,4月15日尾盘,一致魔芋强势涨停。从月内表现来看,一致魔芋涨幅超100%。近一年来,一致魔芋股价涨势更是喜人,2024年4月16日,其收盘股价仅为9.33元/股,而到了2025年4月17日收盘,股价已攀升至79元/股,累计涨幅超7倍,成为资本市场中的一匹“黑马”。

  消息面上,近日,商务部等九部门联合印发《服务消费提质惠民行动2025年工作方案》(以下简称《工作方案》)。《工作方案》全面贯彻落实党中央、国务院关于发展服务消费的决策部署,推动扩大服务供给、创新多元化消费场景、提升服务品质、改善消费体验,释放服务消费发展潜力,为经济高质量发展提供有力支撑。

  一致魔芋主要从事魔芋精深加工以及魔芋相关产品的研发、生产和销售。公司主要产品分为魔芋粉、魔芋食品以及魔芋美妆用品三个大类。

  北京艾文智略投资管理有限公司首席投资官曹辙在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,一致魔芋的上涨是多种因素共振的结果。从行业角度看,食品饮料属于大消费领域,在当前消费刺激政策频出的背景下,整个板块都迎来了发展机遇。魔芋作为健康食品原料,契合了当下消费者对健康饮食的追求,市场需求呈现增长态势。从公司自身来看,一致魔芋在行业内具有一定的领先优势,其业绩的快速增长以及在产品研发、市场拓展方面的积极举措,都得到了市场的认可。

  4月11日下午,一致魔芋召开了2024年年度报告业绩说明会,与投资者分享公司魔芋产品在食品业务领域的发展以及公司2025年的规划。

  2024年,一致魔芋实现营收净利双增长,营业收入为6.17亿元,同比增长28.76%,归属于上市公司股东的净利润为8671.66万元,同比增长64.41%,归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为8288.43万元,同比增长164.70%。

  分产品来看,魔芋粉销售收入增长贡献较大,魔芋食品销售增速较快。一致魔芋董事、董事会秘书唐华林向记者表示,2024年魔芋粉增长主要驱动场景包括:魔芋素毛肚等休闲食品需求爆发;魔芋茶饮小料市场拓展以及魔芋粉、胶在食材加工领域的应用深化。

  对于2025年的工作重点及发展规划,唐华林向记者表示,公司将加速募投项目建设;加大食品魔芋粉应用领域的研发投入,拓展魔芋在更多领域的应用;继续拓展魔芋胶及其它协同胶体的市场销售,提高市场占有率,巩固魔芋粉全球销量第一地位;重点拓展魔芋膳食纤维、魔芋素毛肚、魔芋茶饮小料及魔芋食材市场;深化与头部客户合作,强化复配胶体技术优势;还要推进自有品牌“魔乐哥”在旅游渠道及线上平台的平稳增长。

  中信证券研报称,魔芋富含膳食纤维葡甘聚糖,具备低热量、通肠道以及良好的加工延展性特点,作为一种超级食材在食品领域得到较好的应用。据测算,魔芋终端行业规模269亿元,其中魔芋休食、魔芋素食零食行业规模为183亿元、85亿元。卫龙魔芋爽破局推动魔芋休食行业过去10年CAGR(复合年均增长率)20%,盐津魔芋素毛肚切入加速推动魔芋休食行业规模增长。看好国内魔芋休食市场规模,未来具备1—2倍增量空间。

  “从目前的发展态势来看,一致魔芋有望继续受益于行业的发展红利,进一步巩固其在魔芋加工产业的地位。”广东省食品安全保障促进会副会长、中国食品产业分析师朱丹蓬在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,“随着公司募投项目的逐步推进,产能的提升将为其业绩增长提供有力支撑。同时,在消费升级的大背景下,公司加大研发投入,拓展魔芋在更多领域的应用,有望打开新的增长空间。”

4月17日,FPG盛财国际表示,近期国际油价虽有复苏迹象,但整体形势依然脆弱,关税政策的不确定性仍是影响油价的关键因素。尽管本周油价有所回升,但与四个月前相比,仍有较大差距,这对许多依赖石油出口的国家来说是个严峻挑战。

  FPG盛财国际认为,安哥拉、尼日利亚、沙特阿拉伯等石油出口国正面临巨大压力,油价下跌威胁到其财政预算和金融稳定。例如,安哥拉因油价波动不得不应对来自摩根大通的2亿美元追加保证金通知。此外,沙特阿拉伯的预算赤字可能因油价持续低迷而扩大至750亿美元。这些国家的经济高度依赖石油出口收入,油价下跌直接导致其外汇收入减少,财政压力增大。

  FPG盛财国际进一步分析,尽管3月原油进口量激增,为油价复苏带来一丝曙光,但美国对进口关键矿产的关税调查,再次给市场蒙上阴影。市场担忧,如果美国继续推进关税政策,全球贸易紧张局势将进一步升级,导致石油需求下降,进而拖累油价。

  FPG盛财国际还提到,对于石油出口国而言,当前最紧迫的问题是关税战将持续多久。如果关税战能迅速结束,石油出口国或许能迎来转机;但如果拖延数月甚至数年,全球经济衰退风险将大幅上升,石油出口国的财政赤字也将进一步扩大。

  与此同时,FPG盛财国际认为,尽管石油出口国面临困境,但石油进口国却因油价下跌而受益,但这种好处可能无法抵消贸易战带来的负面影响。国际货币基金组织(IMF)也警告称,关税战可能导致全球经济衰退风险增加。

  FPG盛财国际总结认为,无论是石油出口国还是进口国,当前都寄希望于关税战能尽快结束。如果能在未来几周内达成贸易协议,市场信心将得到恢复,油价有望进一步回升,这将为出口国带来急需的喘息空间,同时也能确保进口国继续享受相对较低的油价。然而,如果关税战持续拖延,石油市场将面临更多不确定性,出口国和进口国都将承受更大的经济压力。

  4月17日,贝壳公告称,已接获董事会主席、首席执行官及控股股东彭永东先生的通知,其拟捐赠9,000,000股A类贝壳普通股。在承担相应的纳税义务后,50%税后资金将用于居住行业服务者及其家庭成员的医疗健康福利,50%税后资金将用于应届毕业生等租客群体的租房帮扶。

  行业分析人士看来,此次捐赠将助益于居住行业,同时也用事实破除了外界关于“天价年薪”的误解。

  2022年5月贝壳香港上市时,根据联交所的上市规则,具有同股不同权(WVR)架构的公司,WVR持有人(即超级投票权持有人)的股份所对应的经济利益占比不得低于10%。贝壳具有此架构,且上市前超级投票权持有人之一贝壳董事会主席、首席执行官及控股股东彭永东持有的权益相对较低。因此为了满足该上市规则的要求,在联交所批准的前提下,公司向彭永东授予限制性股票。该限制性股票,在会计规则上采用“直线摊销法”,因此在每年的“股权薪酬”科目产生了较大数额,但并非一般理解的年薪。

  奇瑞汽车董事长尹同跃今晚在智界品牌之夜表示,智界的智能化水平之高无需多言。“很多人都说自己是智驾第一梯队,在这里我们有信心的说,我们就是第一,不存在梯队的说法”。 

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