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苏杳 顾君亦免费阅读,你不知道的背后故事

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  财联社4月24日讯(编辑潇湘)城堡投资创始人兼首席执行官肯·格里芬(KenGriffin)周三表示,美国总统特朗普挑起的全球贸易争端,正在损害美国的国家形象及美国国债市场的声誉。

  这位曾投票支持特朗普的共和党“大金主”,当天在华盛顿出席一场经济峰会时警告称,“美国不仅是一个国家...它更是一个全球性品牌。无论是我们的文化、金融实力还是军事实力,美国早已超越普通国家的范畴,并成为世界大多数国家的向往目标。而如今我们正在侵蚀这个品牌。”

  本月早些时候,特朗普祭出了美国几代人以来最高的进口关税税率,此举震惊了全世界,并引发了金融市场的剧烈波动。而在上周,特朗普又一度威胁将解雇美联储主席鲍威尔,引发了人们对美联储独立性动摇的担忧。

  受政治紧张局势影响,美国国债收益率本月早些时候一度大幅攀升,美元兑主要非美货币则全线重挫,显示投资者正在撤离美国这个传统“最安全”的投资目的地。

  对此,格里芬指出,“在金融市场上,没有任何能与美国国债市场、美元的实力相提并论。美国国债的信用价值曾无可匹敌,但现在我们正在让这个金字招牌承担风险。”

  格里芬旗下的城堡基金在2025年初管理着超过650亿美元的资产。在去年的大选中,格里芬曾投票支持特朗普,他也是共和党政客背后的巨额资助者。不过,他一直对特朗普的贸易政策持严厉批评态度,称总统的言论存在“夸夸其谈”倾向。

  格里芬强调,“总统、财政部长和商务部长需要深刻认识到,当你拥有一个品牌时,你需要以尊重该品牌、加强该品牌的方式行事,因为当你玷污该品牌时,要修复已经造成的损害可能需要一辈子的时间。”

  无独有偶,纽约梅隆银行美洲宏观策略师JohnVelis在周二发布的客户报告中也曾指出,“美国国债的避险属性正遭受日益严峻的质疑,我们的数据清晰印证了这一趋势转变。”

  Velis通过图表展示了跨境美国国债资金流动的情况:截至4月11日当周,外资抛售规模“接近偏离正常值一个完整标准差”,创下近年来最剧烈的单周抛售纪录。

  投资公司St.James‘sPlace的首席投资官JustinOnuekwusi则表示,“人们对美国国债和美元的看法可能已经发生了变化,如果美国政客和政策制定者继续做出不合常规的决定,有些人就会认为市场会更加动荡,从而减少持有这些资产。”

  欧洲央行执委连恩周三也表示,近期资产组合配置中美元资产配置降低,可能意味着从对美元资产超配转向更自然的配置比例,即在美元资产与其他货币(包括欧元)资产之间达到更平衡的状态。

  连恩在国际金融协会(IIF)会议的小组讨论中表示,自去年特朗普总统当选以来,美国资产的“定价已经反映了完美预期”。他补充道,近期资金流出美债或许可以被视为一种重新配置,“要么会稳定下来,要么会引发更深入的反思”。

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