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一边往下面伸一边发出声响,家中静谧的时光让我反思,分享我的感悟与心声!

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  当大卫·所罗门向肯·格里芬坦言对今年企业上市潮的预期“惨淡落空”时,房间里响起一阵略显尴尬的笑声。

  不过,这还称不上是上周阿布扎比聚会上最令人揪心的时刻。据知情人士透露,就在所罗门发言的前一天,ElliottInvestmentManagement创始人保罗·辛格警告在场人士,他担心美元可能会失去储备货币地位。

  这些对冲基金巨头齐聚阿联酋首都的一家豪华酒店,参加由高盛集团召集的一场闭门活动。这场会议的召开正值全球因关税政策动荡不安之时,一些几周前还坚定看好特朗普经济议程的机构如今已开始蒙受损失。

  包括格里芬的城堡投资在内,部分与会者安然度过这波动荡。但对于许多对冲基金来说,他们的目光集中在同一个方向:中东日益壮大的资金池。在美国投资者为潜在衰退风险做准备之际,中东资产正变得愈发具有吸引力。

  高盛、城堡投资和Elliott均拒绝就此次会议置评。

  此次峰会旨在为对冲基金与实力雄厚的潜在出资方牵线搭桥。这也是高盛在该地区首次举办官方“资金引介”活动,共吸引约100名交易员与资产配置人士齐聚阿布扎比素有“对冲基金岛”之称的AlMaryah岛。

  此次活动凸显出阿布扎比作为全球新兴金融中心的地位日益提升。该酋长国拥有全球6%的石油储量,主权财富基金规模高达1.7万亿美元,其雄厚的资本正在成为全球投资者的“磁场”。MubadalaInvestmentCo.首席执行官KhaldoonAlMubarak是出席活动的最受瞩目嘉宾之一。该公司也是2024年全球最活跃的主权财富基金之一。

  在格里芬与高盛CEO所罗门的炉边对话中,这位亿万富翁对冲基金经理谈到了关税政策对市场造成的连锁反应,尤其强调理解并应对美债市场动荡的重要性。

  格里芬批评欧洲过度依赖美国的国防支出,称这一安排严重失衡,他附和了特朗普一贯的观点,即欧洲国家享受美国的安全保护,却没有承担应有的责任。他还批评美国政府效率低下,并再次盛赞由马斯克推动设立的“政府效率部”。

  格里芬在上一次大选期间曾向亲共和党的政治行动委员会捐赠至少1亿美元,尽管其中没有一分钱流向特朗普的竞选阵营。他也是少数几位公开对特朗普关税风险提出警告的知名金融界人士之一。

  此次会议上,高盛的全球事务总裁、前美国国务院官员贾里德·科恩也陪同出席。自2022年加入高盛以来,他在帮助公司应对地缘政治不确定性方面发挥了关键作用。

  科恩在今年早些时候的一次讨论中表示:“就阿联酋而言,它仍然是国际企业设立总部的首选地,同时也是该地区最具吸引力的居住地。阿联酋希望保持自己的先发优势。”

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