Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82
百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间
随机图片

百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间

更新时间: 浏览次数: 172

400电话:123456(点击咨询)
百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间各观看免费《今日汇总》
百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间各热线观看免费2025已更新(2025已更新)








百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间观看免费电话:(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)








百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间观看免费热线(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)




百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间各区点热线观看免费《今日发布》
Random Image 百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间电话








7天观看免费人工电话为您、百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间团队在调度中心的统筹调配下,线下专业及各地区人员团队等专属,整个报修流程规范有序,后期同步跟踪查询公开透明。








所有团队均经过专业培训、持证上岗,所用产品配件均为原厂直供,








百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间各观看免费《今日汇总》2025已更新(今日/推荐)








百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间电话区域:








长沙市(长沙县、岳麓区、浏阳市、开福区、芙蓉区、望城区、天心区、宁乡市、雨花区)








巴音郭楞蒙古自治州(若羌县、轮台县、库尔勒市、和静县、且末县、博湖县、尉犁县、焉耆回族自治县、和硕县)








乌海市(海勃湾区、乌达区、海南区)








衢州市(开化县、江山市、衢江区、龙游县、柯城区、常山县)  萍乡市(上栗县、莲花县、芦溪县、湘东区、安源区)








昌吉回族自治州(吉木萨尔县、阜康市、木垒哈萨克自治县、昌吉市、呼图壁县、玛纳斯县、奇台县)








邵阳市(隆回县、邵东市、洞口县、城步苗族自治县、新宁县、双清区、大祥区、北塔区、邵阳县、新邵县、武冈市、绥宁县)








淄博市(高青县、桓台县、沂源县、淄川区、周村区、博山区、临淄区、张店区)








广安市(邻水县、前锋区、华蓥市、岳池县、武胜县、广安区)  朔州市(应县、平鲁区、怀仁市、右玉县、朔城区、山阴县)








益阳市(南县、安化县、桃江县、赫山区、沅江市、资阳区)








克拉玛依市(乌尔禾区、白碱滩区、独山子区、克拉玛依区)








防城港市(东兴市、防城区、上思县、港口区)








襄阳市(保康县、枣阳市、樊城区、谷城县、南漳县、襄城区、宜城市、老河口市、襄州区)








阜新市(阜新蒙古族自治县、清河门区、海州区、太平区、彰武县、细河区、新邱区)








巴中市(平昌县、巴州区、南江县、恩阳区、通江县)








鹤壁市(浚县、山城区、淇县、鹤山区、淇滨区)








荆门市(东宝区、京山市、钟祥市、沙洋县、掇刀区)








南阳市(宛城区、镇平县、西峡县、方城县、南召县、邓州市、唐河县、新野县、社旗县、内乡县、卧龙区、桐柏县、淅川县)








永州市(蓝山县、祁阳市、道县、冷水滩区、东安县、新田县、宁远县、江永县、零陵区、江华瑶族自治县、双牌县)








沧州市(沧县、青县、任丘市、南皮县、孟村回族自治县、盐山县、海兴县、献县、肃宁县、东光县、吴桥县、黄骅市、河间市、泊头市、新华区、运河区)








三门峡市(义马市、卢氏县、灵宝市、渑池县、湖滨区、陕州区)








漯河市(源汇区、郾城区、召陵区、舞阳县、临颍县)








大庆市(让胡路区、肇源县、龙凤区、肇州县、红岗区、林甸县、杜尔伯特蒙古族自治县、萨尔图区、大同区)








上海市(杨浦区、松江区、青浦区、黄浦区、宝山区、金山区、静安区、普陀区、徐汇区、虹口区、崇明区、浦东新区、奉贤区、嘉定区、闵行区、长宁区)








鄂尔多斯市(鄂托克旗、准格尔旗、东胜区、康巴什区、达拉特旗、杭锦旗、鄂托克前旗、伊金霍洛旗、乌审旗)








商洛市(商南县、柞水县、商州区、洛南县、山阳县、丹凤县、镇安县)








赣州市(安远县、龙南市、上犹县、于都县、定南县、章贡区、崇义县、赣县区、石城县、南康区、大余县、会昌县、宁都县、兴国县、信丰县、全南县、寻乌县、瑞金市)








迪庆藏族自治州(德钦县、香格里拉市、维西傈僳族自治县)
400电话:123456(点击咨询)
百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间各观看免费《今日汇总》《今日发布》
百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间各观看免费《今日汇总》(2025已更新)








百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间观看免费电话:(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)








百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间观看免费热线(1)123456(点击咨询)(2)123456(点击咨询)




百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间各观看免费《今日汇总》【2025已更新列表】
百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间电话








7天观看免费人工电话为您、百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间团队在调度中心的统筹调配下,线下专业及各地区人员团队等专属,整个报修流程规范有序,后期同步跟踪查询公开透明。








所有团队均经过专业培训、持证上岗,所用产品配件均为原厂直供,








百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间中心2025已更新(今日/推荐)








百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间电话区域:








香港特别行政区








齐齐哈尔市(克东县、龙江县、碾子山区、富裕县、富拉尔基区、讷河市、甘南县、梅里斯达斡尔族区、克山县、泰来县、昂昂溪区、建华区、依安县、铁锋区、龙沙区、拜泉县)








德阳市(什邡市、中江县、绵竹市、罗江区、旌阳区、广汉市)








驻马店市(新蔡县、西平县、正阳县、汝南县、泌阳县、上蔡县、平舆县、驿城区、确山县、遂平县)  南通市(如东县、启东市、崇川区、海安市、如皋市、海门区、通州区)








牡丹江市(西安区、东安区、海林市、绥芬河市、东宁市、阳明区、穆棱市、宁安市、爱民区、林口县)








海东市(互助土族自治县、民和回族土族自治县、化隆回族自治县、乐都区、平安区、循化撒拉族自治县)








桂林市(七星区、恭城瑶族自治县、灌阳县、永福县、秀峰区、全州县、临桂区、灵川县、象山区、荔浦市、平乐县、雁山区、兴安县、龙胜各族自治县、阳朔县、叠彩区、资源县)白城市(通榆县、洮北区、镇赉县、洮南市、大安市)








宣城市(泾县、绩溪县、宣州区、郎溪县、广德市、旌德县、宁国市)  甘孜藏族自治州(石渠县、九龙县、乡城县、丹巴县、新龙县、理塘县、炉霍县、康定市、白玉县、稻城县、甘孜县、泸定县、巴塘县、色达县、道孚县、雅江县、德格县、得荣县)








宁德市(周宁县、霞浦县、蕉城区、柘荣县、福鼎市、福安市、寿宁县、屏南县、古田县)








温州市(瑞安市、泰顺县、苍南县、龙湾区、瓯海区、永嘉县、洞头区、乐清市、鹿城区、龙港市、文成县、平阳县)








铜仁市(德江县、碧江区、玉屏侗族自治县、江口县、松桃苗族自治县、思南县、印江土家族苗族自治县、石阡县、万山区、沿河土家族自治县)黔西南布依族苗族自治州(兴仁市、晴隆县、望谟县、普安县、兴义市、册亨县、安龙县、贞丰县)








朝阳市(凌源市、北票市、喀喇沁左翼蒙古族自治县、龙城区、双塔区、建平县、朝阳县)








红河哈尼族彝族自治州(泸西县、蒙自市、弥勒市、河口瑶族自治县、开远市、元阳县、建水县、个旧市、绿春县、红河县、金平苗族瑶族傣族自治县、石屏县、屏边苗族自治县)








佳木斯市(桦南县、东风区、桦川县、同江市、前进区、郊区、富锦市、抚远市、汤原县、向阳区)








雅安市(荥经县、名山区、雨城区、天全县、芦山县、宝兴县、石棉县、汉源县)








抚州市(东乡区、南丰县、金溪县、临川区、广昌县、南城县、宜黄县、黎川县、崇仁县、资溪县、乐安县)








漳州市(诏安县、芗城区、华安县、龙文区、东山县、漳浦县、云霄县、平和县、龙海区、南靖县、长泰区)








锦州市(凌河区、古塔区、义县、凌海市、黑山县、北镇市、太和区)








台州市(椒江区、温岭市、玉环市、仙居县、三门县、黄岩区、临海市、天台县、路桥区)








昭通市(绥江县、永善县、鲁甸县、威信县、大关县、昭阳区、镇雄县、水富市、盐津县、彝良县、巧家县)








玉林市(福绵区、玉州区、容县、博白县、兴业县、陆川县、北流市)








铜川市(耀州区、宜君县、王益区、印台区)








通辽市(科尔沁左翼后旗、奈曼旗、开鲁县、扎鲁特旗、霍林郭勒市、科尔沁左翼中旗、科尔沁区、库伦旗)








嘉兴市(秀洲区、南湖区、平湖市、嘉善县、海盐县、桐乡市、海宁市)








菏泽市(郓城县、曹县、定陶区、牡丹区、成武县、鄄城县、巨野县、东明县、单县)








山南市(洛扎县、加查县、琼结县、乃东区、隆子县、贡嘎县、桑日县、浪卡子县、曲松县、扎囊县、措美县、错那市)








包头市(石拐区、昆都仑区、达尔罕茂明安联合旗、青山区、白云鄂博矿区、固阳县、东河区、土默特右旗、九原区)

美国真正想要的是什么?是保住名义规模最大经济体的名头,还是为其国民提供财富和繁荣?

自去年美国总统大选以来,我一直在定期评论特朗普议程的各个方面以及它对美国、金融市场和世界其他地区可能意味着什么。该议程引发了不少混乱,但鉴于总统的政策制定“手法”粗笨且反复无常,这在很大程度上是意料之内的。

正如我在2月份和3月的评论中所指出的那样,其他经济体可能会通过提振内需、减少对美国消费者和金融市场的依赖来应对特朗普的冒犯。如果说目前的混乱局面尚有一些积极之处的话,那就是欧洲和中国已经开始寻求这种改变。德国正在放松“债务刹车”并允许实施急需的投资,而中国正在研究各类刺激国内消费选项。

对于所有依赖国际贸易和市场的国家来说,即便能够说服美国收敛其贸易战政策,新的贸易安排显然也是很有必要的。许多国家已经在想方设法增加彼此之间的贸易,同时针对迅速增长的服务贸易制定各类新安排以降低其非关税壁垒。

G7(七国集团)其他成员(加拿大、法国、德国、意大利、日本和英国)的合共体量几乎与美国一样大。再加上英国首相斯塔默“意愿联盟”的其他参与者,这些美国昔日盟友可以抵消特朗普关税造成的大部分损失。同理,如果中国能与印度和其他较大型新兴经济体密切协调去重新设计“一带一路”倡议,那也可能是变革性的。

这些举措将减轻美国关税政策和威胁的影响,但想实现它们可不容易——如果容易的话早就实现了。当今的贸易和金融安排包含了各种政治、文化和历史因素,而任何有利于中国的现状变化都将受到特朗普政府的阻挠。

因此重要的是其他大型经济体如何刺激内需、动员投资和建立新贸易纽带。在智库布鲁盖尔和荷兰央行最近主办的“全球化与地缘经济碎片化”研讨会上,我再次意识到,自本世纪初以来全球GDP的增长究竟失衡到了什么程度。对2000~2024年的年度名义GDP数据进行的简单分析表明,美国、中国、欧元区和印度合计贡献了全部增长的近70%,而美中两国又几乎占据了其中50%。

这一发现进一步凸显了一个事实,那就是美国的关税威胁必须以其他地区更高的国内需求来应对。但这里有一个现实问题:唯一能凭一己之力将自身需求和进口提高到足以弥补美国在全球经济中所流失份额的其他国家就是中国。

但如果中国并不是单打独斗呢?正如我们已经看到的那样,欧洲人已经在采取措施增加投资和国防开支,这既有利于欧盟经济,也有利于英国等其他国家。当然印度近年来的经济增长速度也快于许多其他国家,这表明该国具备一定空间来出台更多国内刺激措施。那如果所有这些经济体都能将自身政策与他人协调起来呢?

这种协调可能无法产生2009年伦敦G20(20国集团)协议那样的全球影响——该协议引入了广泛的全球改革和新机构以解决全球金融危机的成因及其后果。但如果这些国家能向世界其他国家发出信号,表明它们正在进行某种磋商以协调其经济政策并推进共同目标,这可能会产生相当积极的影响。

最后,布鲁盖尔研讨会上的另一项内容让我思索良久。布鲁盖尔高级研究员安德烈·萨皮尔在会上重点指出了日本的崛起(上世纪90年代日本GDP增长到相当于美国的70%左右)与当前中国崛起之间的相似之处。而如同现在一样,当时美国最担心的是自己会被“超越”。但美国真正想要的是什么?是保住名义规模最大经济体的名头,还是为其国民提供财富和繁荣?

这两者并不一定是一回事。美国现政府没搞明白的是其他国家的增长和发展其实可以让美国人自己变得更加富裕。也许有一天美国人能选出能够理解这一基本经济观点的领导人,但现在他们似乎注定要经历多年的动荡和持续的不确定性。

(作者系高盛资产管理公司前主席、英国前财政大臣)

百性阁情感,那些令人印象深刻的瞬间的相关文章 你觉得哪种冷兵器最帅而且最实用?的相关文章
为什么年轻人宁愿在游戏里「搬砖」,也不愿加班赚「真」钱?
openai官宣400亿美元最新融资
沃尔沃全新XC90上市47.9万起
ns2定档6月5日正式发售
OpenAI 发布三款 GPT-4.1 系列模型,性能有哪些提升?对行业来说,其最大吸引力是什么?
全球首例基因编辑猪肝脏被移植到人体
《英雄联盟》如果以不能出装备为代价,获得每击杀一个单位升一级且无等级上限,会是什么效果?
Meta 发布 Llama 4 模型
男子成年后长高20cm 骨龄仅13到15岁
32 岁女白领卵巢衰退至 50 岁,具体是什么原因导致的?该如何预防?
母女4人全确诊 肺癌或有家族遗传性
如何评价《棋士》里夏生和夏雨的爱情?
  • 友情链接:
  • 在越南的中国工厂订单激增 你心目中 Top 1 的喜剧演员是谁?为什么? 男子花155万买迈巴赫S480跑滴滴 ns2定档6月5日正式发售 如何评价悬疑剧《沙尘暴》中的刘盈盈这个角色? 海关总署:有信心战胜困难 60岁央视名嘴张泽群晒近况两鬓斑白 羽毛球价格上涨,亚羽联未来赛事考虑新碳音人造球,羽毛球未来发展如何? 撒旦和路西法放在中国神话里是什么级别的神? 如何看待工信部发布《电动汽车用动力蓄电池安全要求》,明年施行,新国标将「不起火、不爆炸」改为强制要求?

    查看更多评价 ∨