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香港特别行政区









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1. 百度集团-SW一季度业绩预期怎么样?

截至2025年04月15日,根据朝阳永续季度业绩前瞻数据:

预测营业收入304.40~310.40亿元,同比变动-3.4%~-1.5%;预测净利润29.92~36.19亿元,同比变动-45.1%~-33.6%;预测经调整净利润41.26~47.06亿元,同比变动-41.1%~-32.9%。

关注后续财报数据披露后能否超预期,朝阳永续港股季度业绩前瞻数据将为投资者提供业绩鉴定。

2. 百度集团-SW最新卖方观点

东吴证券认为:百度集团-SW在2024Q4实现营业收入341亿元,同比下降2%,Non-GAAP经营利润和净利润分别为50亿元和67亿元,均超预期。公司自2024年Q4以来回购股份3.56亿美元,累计超10亿美元,加强股东回报。广告业务面临压力,但预计2025年将逐季改善,得益于经济政策出台和AI技术赋能。非广告业务中,云业务增长加速,智能云业务收入同比增长26%,文心大模型API调用量显著增长,文库AI功能MAU达9400万。智能驾驶业务萝卜快跑订单量同比增长36%,获得香港自动驾驶测试许可。利润率下滑主要受一次性亏损影响,费用管控方向不变。

分业务来说:

1)智能云业务:2024Q4云收入同比增长26%,文心大模型日均API调用量达16.5亿次,环比增长178%,公司计划开源文心大模型4.5系列并免费提供文心一言,提升企业及用户认知度。

2)智能驾驶业务:萝卜快跑Q4订单量超110万单,同比增长36%,获得香港自动驾驶测试许可,商业模式可行性已证明,将继续提高运营效率和用户体验。

(注:本文相关盈利预测数据均来自朝阳永续盈利预测数据库)

风险提示:本文所示数据或案例仅供参考之用,不能作为未来投资依据。投资股票有风险,市场波动、公司业绩、政策因素等都可能导致股票价格波动。请您在投资前充分了解相关信息,并根据自身的风险承受能力做出投资决策。

更多业绩前瞻数据,“码”上了解

上市公司盈利预测数据,是卖方分析师群体对上市公司业绩预测的共识与分歧。盈利预测数据基于各券商分析师对于上市公司“盈利预期数据的研究”,并挖掘产生“一致预期数据”。

朝阳永续盈利预测数据库由盈利预测基础库和盈利预测衍生库构成。首先,基于合法授权的海量卖方研报,朝阳永续形成原始盈利预测数据库,通过直接数据挖掘,提供A股一致预期数据及港股一致预期数据,投资者可以将其作为市场参考基准。其次,针对投资者研究需求,朝阳永续深度挖掘盈利预测数据形成盈利预测因子库及业绩确定性因子,可为投资者提供直接用于研究应用的盈利预测因子和策略。最后,通过对研究成果的衍生挖掘,也可为投资者提供业绩预期挖掘和研究员行为挖掘。

截止目前,朝阳永续盈利预测数据库已覆盖私募、公募、证券、银行、期货、资产管理公司、保险、信托等各类金融投研机构,伴随着香港科技、红利等资产的火热,朝阳永续盈利预测数据库将继续秉持“让数据更有价值”的使命,为投资者持续提供全面、准确、及时的盈利预测数据及服务。

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