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  本报记者 熊 悦

  消费贷不良贷款转让规模水涨船高。近日,银行业信贷资产登记流转中心(以下简称“银登中心”)公布的2025年一季度不良贷款转让业务统计数据显示,今年一季度,不良贷款转让挂牌规模、成交金额(按未偿本息总额统计口径,下同)同比高增。其中,个人消费贷款不良贷款转让成交金额达268.2亿元,占当期个人不良贷款批量转让成交金额的七成以上。

  多位受访专家认为,近年来,银行业零售信贷不良生成风险压力整体有所上升。银行等机构在加大个人消费贷款投放力度,促进扩大内需时,应持续平衡好价格、规模、风险,实现业务可持续发展。

  消费贷不良成交额同比大增

  数据显示,今年一季度,不良贷款转让(包括个人不良贷款批量转让、单户对公不良贷款转让和对公不良资产批量转让)挂牌及成交金额同比高增。其中,不良贷款转让挂牌项目数为206单,金额为742.7亿元,分别同比增长139.53%、190.46%;成交规模相应攀升,不良贷款转让成交项目数为159单,金额为483亿元,分别同比增长140.91%、138.75%。

  具体到细分业务,个人不良贷款批量转让成交项目数及金额同比增长显著,其中,个人消费贷款不良贷款转让成交金额同比大增785.15%,占当期个人不良贷款批量转让成交金额的72.4%。

  银行等机构批量转让个人不良贷款的同时,个人不良贷款“卖不上价”的情况持续。今年一季度,个人不良贷款批量转让业务的平均折扣率(平均转让价格/平均未偿本息费)较上个季度下降0.7个百分点至4.1%,平均折扣率不足1折。

  受访专家分析认为,近年来,银行业零售信贷整体处于风险释放阶段,为维持较优的资产质量,银行等机构不良贷款处置的力度持续加大。

  机构需平衡好业务“量价险”

  当前银行零售业务整体承压的背景下,多数银行重点发力个人消费贷款,与此同时,部分银行的个人消费贷款不良贷款增长也较快,不良率出现上浮。

  以某国有大行为例,截至2024年末,该行个人消费贷款金额较2024年初增长28.3%至4211.95亿元,占该行个人贷款比例为1.5%,较2024年初提升0.2个百分点。同时,该行个人消费贷款不良率较2024年初增加1.05个百分点至2.39%,高于该行整体不良贷款率水平。

  中小银行方面,近日,渤海银行披露的2024年度报告显示,截至2024年末,该行个人消费类贷款金额为375.12万元,较年初下滑,但这类贷款的不良率却从年初的4.44%升至12.37%。

  上海金融与发展实验室首席专家、主任曾刚告诉《证券日报》记者,当前银行积极推动消费贷,此类业务实现快速增长进而拉动银行业绩,但背后也隐藏着值得注意的问题,包括过度扩张带来的信用风险不断聚集,利率“价格战”造成恶性竞争挤压盈利空间等。

  “需警惕消费贷款资金被滥用的可能性上升,如用于投资股票市场等,进而推高贷款机构的资产质量风险。”惠誉评级亚太区金融机构评级董事徐雯超对《证券日报》记者补充道。

  对此,受访专家认为,银行等机构应平衡好“量价险”(即规模、价格、风险)之间的关系,将个人消费贷款利率保持在合理水平,既加大对提振消费的支持力度,又维护良好的市场竞争秩序,保持业务可持续发展,构建“风险可控、质量优先、商业可持续”的发展范式。

  从消费贷利率定价层面而言,招联消费金融股份有限公司首席研究员董希淼在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,银行等机构应将消费贷款利率保持在合理水平,进而增强商业可持续性。总体而言,应坚持“保本微利”的原则,提高自主定价能力,针对不同客群来合理确定个人消费贷款的额度、利率、期限。

  “为了推动消费贷等个贷业务健康发展,银行在追求规模增长的同时,应时刻警惕风险积聚,守住质量底线。”曾刚表示,银行等机构后续还应重点做好以下几方面的工作:一是完善风险控制机制。信贷前端要坚持“穿透式”审查客户资信,杜绝“批量流水线”作业。要利用大数据和AI模型提升风险识别效率,但也需结合人工调查等传统手段,做到技术与经验协同。贷后管理要常态化,持续跟踪还款能力变化,对异常客户及时预警。二是加强资金流向与用途管控。银行要完善消费贷资金流向穿透式监测,依托技术手段掌握贷款实际用途,防范资金被违规挪用至高风险领域。三是推动业务创新和客户分层管理。银行应针对不同消费场景和客户需求,开发多样化、规范化的消费信贷产品。四是提升金融消费者教育,加强对消费者的金融知识普及和风险提示,树立良好还款观念,培育可持续的客户基础。

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