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  来源:财联社

  股票研究公司MoffettNathanson认为,短期内苹果股价的跌势不会迎来任何缓解,尽管年内已经累跌超23%,但“离脱离困境还有很长的路要走”。

  当地时间周一(4月21日),分析师CraigMoffett重申了对苹果的“卖出”评级,并将其目标价从184美元大幅下调至141美元。根据FactSet的数据,华尔街分析师对苹果的平均目标价为241美元。

  鉴于苹果上周四收于196.98美元,这意味Moffett认为该股还有超过28%的下行空间。Moffett还下调了苹果的长期盈利预期,原因是美国总统特朗普征收的关税以及贸易战的持续升温。

  不过,Moffett略微上调了苹果2025财年的短期每股收益预期,从7.18美元提高到7.20美元,但这仅是基于消费者“抢跑”以避开关税影响的预期,他指出这种效应不会持续。

  与之相比,华尔街预期苹果2025财年每股收益为7.26美元(该财年截止至9月)。至于2026财年,Moffett现在预计全年每股收益仅为7.06美元,低于此前预测的7.87美元,也远低于市场8.00美元的平均预期。

  Moffett解释道,虽然对苹果最坏的情况在4月11日美国政府暂停对智能手机加征对等关税后暂时被排除了,但苹果之后还需面临的关税水平在一个月前还是难以想象的。

  自Moffett1月份下调苹果评级至“卖出”以来,苹果股票的远期市盈率已从32倍下降至约27倍。截至发稿,苹果跌超3%,本月累跌逾14%,年内跌幅扩大至23%。

  Moffett指出,考虑到市场对苹果的盈利预期“几乎没有下调”。因此,这些预期尚未充分反映苹果当前面临的诸多问题,未来市盈率可能还会继续下滑。

  “目前,没有简单的解决方案,”Moffett解释道,苹果位于贸易战中心的夹击之中,不论是为高额关税买单,还是为重构供应链支付巨额成本,最终都会导致成本大幅上升,是一个双输的选择题。

  但关税并非苹果面临的唯一阻力,Moffett指出,在人工智能商业化方面,苹果已经落后于同行,未能激发其王牌产品iPhone强劲的换机潮。

  Moffett还提到,谷歌母公司Alphabet正在面对的反垄断案也可能给苹果带来额外风险,“苹果从谷歌收取的搜索引擎分成,占其运营利润的四分之一以上。”

  (财联社赵昊)

  据日经亚洲周二报道,丰田汽车旗下的日野汽车与德国戴姆勒卡车旗下的三菱扶桑卡客车株式会社正着手敲定合并协议。报道称,两家汽车集团计划为卡车部门成立一家控股公司,并于2026年4月在东京证券交易所Prime市场上市,但未透露消息来源。两家公司于2023年5月同意在2024年底前合并卡车业务,但在2024年2月,最终交易被无限期推迟。报道称,预计两家公司最早将于5月敲定合并协议,日本公平贸易委员会的反垄断审查也即将完成。交易完成后,新的控股公司将完全拥有日野汽车和三菱扶桑。

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