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每经记者肖芮冬    每经编辑赵云    

4月21日,市场全天低开后震荡反弹,创业板指领涨,沪指录得7连阳。截至收盘,沪指涨0.45%,深成指涨1.27%,创业板指涨1.59%。

板块方面,黄金、电商、机器人、影视等板块涨幅居前,银行、白酒、港口等板块跌幅居前。

个股涨多跌少,全市场超4300只个股上涨。沪深两市全天成交额1.04万亿元,较上个交易日放量1267亿。

今天,A股继续回暖,盘面上乐观的信号更多了。比如:

1)同样是港股休市,北向“放假”,但全市场成交额重新站上1万亿元,增量均来自内资;

2)同样是超4000家上涨,相较于4月14日的冲高回落,今天指数涨得更坚定,向上补缺意图强烈。

3)科技股人气回暖。全天来看,A股成交额榜上,科技股数量较此前明显增多;拓维信息、寒武纪成交额分列第一、第二位。

这些变化,很大程度上得益于周末热议的利好——国常会强调“持续稳定股市”。其意义在于,不少原本还在迟疑、观望的资金,终于“看懂”了上周“国家队”为何如此强势护盘,纷纷出手,合力促成了今天的格局。

同花顺数据显示,截至收盘,板块涨幅榜上多点开花,科技题材更为主动。如DeepSeek概念、AI智能体和人形机器人、减速器等两大前期主线,今天都录得较大涨幅。

有观点认为,3月中旬以来,由于受到交易拥挤、短期涨幅过大、面临4月业绩期等多重因素影响,以AI为代表的科技股持续调整。眼下,上述因素的制约作用正在减弱,科技龙头股的一季报业绩无疑起到提振作用。

上周五盘后及周末,先后发布财报的寒武纪、中际旭创等多只个股,今天也纷纷上涨。正如市场此前所预期,经历一季报验证,高景气的科技细分赛道后市仍会重拾升势。

消息面上,4月以来,阿里、谷歌、腾讯等宣布上线MCP服务(ModelContextProtocol),即模型上下文协议。开源证券表示,看好2025年AIAgent产业崛起趋势,中美科技巨头密集布局MCP协议,MCP有着更高的工业化程度,激发了协议统一的工具涌现。MCP协议有望显著提升AIAgent与外部工具的配置效率,加快AI应用场景拓展。

体现在场内主题型ETF上,我们也能看到,多个不同领域的产品纷纷收获近期最大(或第二大)单日涨幅。

下图从左往右分别为矿业ETF、机器人ETF和影视ETF。

华安证券研报称,从相对收益角度出发,若市场处于上涨行情中,配置顺序应为小盘>中盘>大盘,侧重配置小盘股以获取更大上涨弹性;而若市场处于下跌行情中,配置顺序则为大盘>中盘>小盘,侧重配置大盘股进行防守以减小下跌亏损。

今天,国际金价再创历史新高。Wind数据显示,COMEX黄金期货价格盘中站上3400美元/盎司。受此带动,A股贵金属板块再度大涨,西部黄金、赤峰黄金、四川黄金等多股涨停。

场内ETF中,多只黄金股ETF尾盘涨停,年内涨幅最高已超42%;跟踪金价本身的多只黄金ETF,年内涨幅也超过30%。

黄金股ETF(517520)最新发布的一季报显示,报告期内,基金份额总额增长显著,利润也大幅提升。其基金经理刘庭宇在“报告期内基金的投资策略和运作分析”中表示:“展望后市,我们认为黄金和黄金股都具备进一步上行的空间,且黄金股有望继续彰显弹性价值。”

其认为,黄金方面,长期资金流入、宏观环境、避险情绪、美元信用削弱将进一步支撑金价继续上行。

“首先新兴市场国家央行的购金动机仍在、购金空间较大,国内保险资金的潜在流入体量同样不容小觑;美国宏观环境目前处于滞胀区间,美联储降息预期再次提升,美国赤字率上行削弱美元信用,基于传统框架的黄金投资者开始回流到黄金资产;最后,从近期特朗普发布的政策来看,未来全球地缘及经济不确定性增加,避险情绪或将进一步抬升。”

中信证券则表示,随着增量项目在2025年集中投产,2025年或成为国内金企的业绩“大年”。流动性整体宽松,ETF加速流入以及“去美元化”的长期叙事或将验证金价高位运行的持续性。基于此,2025年黄金股具备坚实的补涨逻辑,建议从产量成长性和业绩弹性角度选股。

封面图片来源:视觉中国-VCG41N1402492790

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