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专题:2025基金一季报:最新持仓曝光!

  随着上市公司年报密集披露,社保基金2024年末重仓股及2024年四季度持仓变动情况浮出水面。数据显示,截至4月24日中国证券报记者发稿时,已有3049家上市公司披露2024年年报,其中有372家上市公司的前十大流通股东中出现了社保基金的身影;2024年四季度,社保基金新进成为92只个股的前十大流通股东,对106只个股的持股数量增加。

  行业方面,社保基金对银行行业持仓市值超过2300亿元,对非银金融行业持仓市值超过500亿元,对有色金属、机械设备、基础化工、电子行业持仓市值均超过100亿元。

  分析人士认为,以社保基金等为代表的中长期资金持续加大入市力度,市场内在稳定性将不断提升,2025年会有更多的增量资金进入A股市场。

  ●本报记者吴玉华

  持仓农业银行市值超1200亿元

  4月24日,南京化纤、新宏泰、长白山等多家上市公司披露2024年年报。数据显示,截至4月24日记者发稿时,共计3049家A股上市公司已披露2024年年报。在已披露年报的上市公司中,有372家上市公司的前十大流通股东中出现了社保基金的身影,合计持股数量达538.34亿股,持股市值为4150.69亿元(以2024年末收盘价计算)。

  从社保基金持仓市值排名看,社保基金对农业银行的持仓市值达1256.02亿元,高居第一;对工商银行、中国人保的持仓市值分居第二、第三位,分别达853.35亿元、427.15亿元。此外,社保基金对交通银行、方正证券、国信证券、比亚迪、传音控股的持仓市值均超30亿元,分别达241.27亿元、90.77亿元、51.15亿元、31.38亿元、31.19亿元。

  在372只社保基金重仓股中,社保基金对92只个股在2024年四季度新进前十大流通股东。社保基金在2024年四季度新进比亚迪前十大流通股东,中国海油前十大流通股东中社保基金持仓市值超过15亿元,万华化学、顺丰控股、安徽合力、中国人寿等多只股票前十大流通股东中社保基金持仓市值均超5亿元。

  从持股增加数量情况看,数据显示,在372只社保基金重仓股中,社保基金2024年四季度对106只股票持股数量增加。具体来看,持股数量增加股数居首的中国铝业获社保基金加仓4977.50万股,华侨城a获社保基金加仓超4000万股,新兴铸管、广联达、山东黄金、中国巨石、东方雨虹均获社保基金加仓超2000万股。

  从市场表现情况来看,截至4月24日,社保基金重仓的农业银行、工商银行今年以来分别累计上涨7.13%、6.84%,近日股价连创历史新高。

  持仓银行行业市值最高

  从行业板块持仓情况来看,数据显示,在372只社保基金重仓股中,2024年末,社保基金对银行、非银金融、有色金属行业持仓市值居前,分别为2372.38亿元、575.11亿元、139.02亿元。此外,社保基金对机械设备、基础化工、电子行业的持仓市值均超过100亿元。

  从社保基金持仓市值排名看,数据显示,全国社会保障基金理事会2024年末持仓市值最高,达2921.27亿元;全国社保基金114组合、全国社保基金103组合持仓市值分居第二、第三位,分别为123.41亿元、106.35亿元;全国社保基金118组合、全国社保基金413组合、全国社保基金106组合紧随其后,持仓市值均超过60亿元。此外,全国社保基金101组合、全国社保基金112组合、全国社保基金113组合等持仓市值均超过50亿元。

  从社保基金持股数量看,社保基金持仓数量最高的前三只个股分别为农业银行、工商银行、中国人保,持股数量分别达235.21亿股、123.32亿股、56.06亿股。

  从市场表现情况来看,截至4月24日,社保基金第一大重仓行业银行今年以来累计上涨3.60%,走势强于上证指数,今年以来上证指数累计下跌1.63%。

  对于银行板块,中国银河证券银行业分析师张一纬表示,大行注资首期特别国债即将发行,稳步推进增资落地,有助于增强银行风险抵御能力、助力实体经济。降准降息预期增强,低利率环境延续,叠加全球政治经济环境不确定性,资金避险属性提升,银行股息率性价比凸显。市值管理深化,中长期资金力量壮大,推动银行红利价值兑现。2025年一季度经济平稳收官,基本面积极因素累积,利好银行信贷投放和资产质量,看好银行板块配置价值。

  中长期资金持续流入市场

  以社保基金为代表的中长期资金是A股市场的重要机构力量,近年来,社保基金不断加仓A股市场。

  4月8日,全国社会保障基金理事会发布公告,始终坚持长期投资、价值投资、责任投资理念,坚定看好中国资本市场发展前景,主动融入国家发展战略,近日已主动增持国内股票,近期将继续增持。在积极开展股票投资的同时实现基金安全和保值增值。

  此外,中央汇金公司、公募基金、上市公司等各类中长期资金近期也积极入市,A股市场中长期增量资金不断加大。

  在日前召开的上交所专题座谈会上,与会机构纷纷表示,社保基金、保险机构、公募基金等中长期资金持续加大入市力度,中央汇金等战略性稳市力量持续壮大,市场内在稳定性持续增强。

  “近年来国内推动增量资金入市相关政策制度也在不断完善,鼓励耐心资本加大权益投资的措施纷纷出台、不断落地。”方正证券首席经济学家燕翔表示,2025年1月《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》出台,要求公募基金持有A股流通市值未来三年每年增长10%;大型国有保险公司自2025年起每年新增保费的30%用于投资A股,对国有保险公司、社保基金、养老金等全面实施三年以上长周期考核,降低短期业绩权重。随着相关政策措施效果陆续显现,预计2025年会有更多的增量资金进入A股市场。

  瑞银证券中国股票策略分析师孟磊表示,从2025年全年的角度来看,除中央汇金等机构外,其他长线资金也将在监管部门的引导下持续稳定地进入A股市场。估算保险公司、公募基金与社保基金在2025年有望分别为中国股票市场带来10000亿元、5900亿元和1200亿元的净流入。

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