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  尽管当前销售略有回升,但美国房地产建筑商的信心指数本月仅小幅上升。与此同时,对未来需求的预期跌至一年多来的最低水平,而建筑材料价格在关税上升的背景下持续上涨。

  由全美住宅建筑商协会(NAHB)与富国银行联合发布的整体市场状况指数4月上升1点至40,仍徘徊在2023年末以来的低位区间。经济学家此前预期中值为38。

  不过,该指数的各分项表现不一。建筑商对未来六个月销售前景的预期下降4点至43,创下自2023年11月以来的最低水平。与此同时,独栋住宅的当前销售指数以及潜在购房者的看房客流指标则分别略有上升。

  数据表明,在需求和供应两端均面临挑战的背景下,美国新建住宅市场的建设活动将继续受到抑制。购房者正承受高房价和高按揭利率的压力,上周抵押贷款利率跃升至6.81%,而建筑商现在还要应对因关税导致的更高建材成本。

  NAHB估算,特朗普政府施加的关税将使承包商每栋住宅的成本增加10900美元。该机构表示,大约60%的建筑商报告称供应商已因关税上调材料价格,或已宣布即将涨价。

  NAHB首席经济学家RobertDietz在声明中表示:“政策不确定性正对住宅建筑商产生负面影响,使他们难以准确定价并作出关键业务决策。”

  彭博行业研究分析师DrewReading上周在报告中指出,房价接近历史高位,难以负担新房的购房者已习惯于开发商提供丰厚的购房激励措施。NAHB调查显示,4月报告使用销售激励措施的建筑商比例上升至61%,而报告降价的比例维持在29%不变。

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