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黄山市(休宁县、黟县、徽州区、屯溪区、歙县、黄山区、祁门县)  马鞍山市(雨山区、当涂县、博望区、花山区、含山县、和县)









临夏回族自治州(康乐县、东乡族自治县、广河县、临夏市、临夏县、和政县、积石山保安族东乡族撒拉族自治县、永靖县)









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舟山市(普陀区、嵊泗县、定海区、岱山县)









徐州市(泉山区、睢宁县、丰县、沛县、新沂市、鼓楼区、云龙区、铜山区、邳州市、贾汪区)









肇庆市(怀集县、封开县、四会市、广宁县、高要区、端州区、德庆县、鼎湖区)









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郑州市(二七区、惠济区、登封市、上街区、新郑市、中牟县、金水区、新密市、荥阳市、巩义市、中原区、管城回族区)

  来源:金十数据

  在英伟达发布巨额减值预警和欧洲巨头看衰科技板块后,市场正面临科技股领跌的弱势格局。BCAResearch宏观与地缘政治策略师马尔科·帕皮克(MarkoPapic)发布重磅预测:无论经济是否衰退,未来5-10年美国资产表现将全面落后。

  随着今年对美国经济的担忧升温,叠加对等关税冲突,“做空美国”观点盛行。华尔街机构已纷纷下调原本乐观的标普500指数2025年目标,企业也因关税不确定性调降盈利预期。帕皮克在与同事马修·萨瓦里(MathieuSavary)和马特·格特肯(MattGertken)的网络研讨中指出,2010-2020年美国的确表现卓越,这得益于低增长、低通胀环境对债券和科技股等长期资产的极度利好。

  但2020年后,美国投资逻辑已“建立在财政纸牌屋上”——2017至2024年间政府“倾泻式撒钱”刺激消费和经济,随后AI叙事进一步推高市场,尤其从2022年起支撑科技板块。

  然而帕皮克强调,AI恰恰是打破“美国例外论”的关键:“DeepSeek年初的突破表明,AI创新和产品化未必被美国科技巨头垄断”。他类比铁路工业发展史,巨额投资最终催生的是跨国界、跨行业的共享创新,而非一国独赢。

  帕皮克认为当前关税冲突仅是“旁枝末节”,但特朗普的激进策略正加速“美国例外时代”终结。他警告,全球其他经济体将因美国攻势被迫推出刺激与改革,最终反噬美国利益。

  萨瓦里提出令人信服的欧洲投资论据:尽管断言“持续50年的美欧表现差距终结”为时尚早,但欧洲资产“很可能正进入新一轮超额收益周期”。

  相较于美国超配科技和医疗等高估值板块,欧洲在金融、工业、材料和可选消费等领域的权重使其理应长期保持折价。但数据显示,即便考虑行业差异,欧洲估值折价仍处历史高位,“纯粹从估值看仍有约20%修复空间”。

  格特肯则持保留意见,认为欧洲难现持续优势,除非全球经济得到提振。

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