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热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  麦格理发布研报称,由于新东方-S(09901)盈利面临下滑,受收入势头放缓,以及海外业务、旅游业和旗下东方甄选(01797)拖累利润率等不利因素,故下调目标价19.4%,由31.9港元降至25.7港元,维持“跑输大市”评级。

  报告表示,新东方管理层将2025财政年度第四季的收入增长指引由16%降至10-13%,并预期2026财政年度的海外业务将会疲弱。同时,麦格理预计集团营业利润率在2026财政年度亦将受到压力,原因是不利的组合抵销了成本控制措施的贡献。

  金十数据

  特朗普内阁虎视眈眈,准备在马斯克退居幕后时重新掌权。白宫则称希望马斯克继续“投入大量时间”支持总统......

  据两名知情的政府消息人士透露,一旦马斯克退出美国政府效率部(DOGE),特朗普的内阁成员可能会采取行动,限制DOGE员工的影响力,并重新掌控预算和人员编制。

  该部门是在特朗普上任当天根据行政命令创建的,由亿万富翁马斯克掌舵,它带头通过大规模解雇、合同取消和减少联邦政府对美国人的服务来缩减联邦劳动力和削减赤字。

  但马斯克周二证实了他的计划,即将把在政府工作的时间减少到每周一两天,以便专注于他陷入困境的电动汽车公司特斯拉(TSLA.O),这引发了人们对该机构未来工作的疑问。作为一名特殊政府雇员,马斯克的任期似乎将于5月底到期。

  在DOGE推行削减成本的行动期间,这位亿万富翁为白宫提供了政治掩护,而该行动在职业员工中极其不受欢迎。内阁部长们认为DOGE的员工侵犯了他们传统的人事任免权,一些人也不愿意听从该部门的指令。

  最近几周,围绕授予马斯克的权力问题,特朗普政府内部的紧张局势有所升级。据知情人士透露,在3月的一次内阁会议上,国务卿马尔科・鲁比奥(MarcoRubio)与马斯克发生了冲突,指责他破坏了美国国际开发署(USAID);交通部长肖恩・达菲(SeanDuffy)则因航空安全问题,就拟议的空中交通管制员裁员一事与马斯克对峙。

  要求匿名的知情人士称,内阁部长们一直推动对预算决策拥有更大控制权,而且如果没有马斯克的高调存在作为制衡,他们实施有针对性的削减开支(而非全面削减)的努力可能会遇到更少的障碍。

  最重大的转变将是内阁自身权力的增加。各机构负责人现在将对哪些提案能够推进拥有最终决定权,这巩固了他们在联邦政府效率和支出战略核心的地位。

  其中一位知情人士表示,内阁将拥有更多自主权,不再需要马斯克对每一项决策进行批准。

  DOGE内部领导动态的变化,也将导致对最初由马斯克雇佣来为该部门工作的年轻工程师的角色和职责进行重新评估。

  该知情人士称,这些工程师的影响力可能会减弱,并且将受到更严格的审查。该知情人士表示,这些几乎没有政府工作经验的年轻工程师小团体的资质和权力将受到质疑。

  白宫发言人哈里森・菲尔兹(HarrisonFields)反驳了马斯克退出其职位意味着DOGE的行动方向或影响力发生转变的观点。

  菲尔兹表示:“DOGE的设计初衷是,内阁在削减开支方面已经拥有自主权。DOGE只是该体系中的一个元素。不会有任何改变。该部门运行得很顺利。从某种程度上说,它几乎是在自动驾驶状态,并且在联邦政府内部很好地执行着总统的议程。”

  此外,一名白宫官员周三告诉《市场观察》(MarketWatch),他们仍然期望马斯克会花大量时间来支持特朗普的议程。

  他说:“埃隆并没有说他会完全退出‘DOGE’。他仍然会在这里工作,投入大量时间来确保总统的计划取得成功。所以埃隆哪儿也不会去,‘DOGE’也不会消失。”

  从学者到支持或反对DOGE工作的人士都认为,尽管马斯克转为兼职工作,但削减预算的努力仍会快速推进,他们提到了已经启动的行政命令以及支持总统议程的特朗普内阁官员。

  明尼苏达大学法学院(UniversityofMinnesotaLawSchool)的副教授尼克・贝德纳尔(NickBednar)一直在跟踪政府裁员情况,他认为政府机构不太可能撤销DOGE已经做出的削减措施。他说:“DOGE所做的很多事情已经被许多这些机构内化,而且它会继续向前推进。”

  贝德纳尔说:“这就像一列已经离站的火车,很难停下来。”

  “工作基本完成”

  马斯克是特朗普在2024年大选中的主要支持者之一,同时也是特斯拉、SpaceX的首席执行官以及X的执行董事长,他是政府改革背后的意识形态驱动力。他在关键政府机构安插了得力助手,同时派遣X和SpaceX的前员工到众多联邦机构监督大幅裁员。

  马斯克参与了一系列白宫的举措,从冻结联邦招聘,到几轮政府范围内的买断工龄提议,以及指示各机构制定重组计划以减少员工数量。他要求联邦工作人员通过耗时的每周电子邮件说明自己的工作成果,这一要求最初得到了大多数内阁部长的执行,但现在大多已经停止。

  马斯克周二表示:“让DOGE团队就位并在政府中开展工作以使财务状况井然有序,所需完成的大量工作已基本完成。”

  随着马斯克转向他的商业事务,DOGE将需要找到另一位领导者。一种可能性是艾米・格里森(AmyGleason),白宫在2月任命她为代理行政官。她在3月19日的一份法庭文件中表示,马斯克不在DOGE工作。但特朗普本人多次表示马斯克是负责人,这与她的说法相矛盾。

  然而,马斯克在该部门的日常角色一直都不明确,而在他离开之前,澄清这一点将变得更加重要。

  汤姆・沙茨(TomSchatz)是DOGE使命的支持者,也是监督组织“公民反对政府浪费”(CitizensAgainstGovernmentWaste)的主席,他表示,马斯克的退出可能会使DOGE更有效。

  他说,马斯克“是一个显眼包”,“无论他做什么都会引起关注”。随着马斯克的角色变小,“可能会更有效,因为对他的关注减少了”。

热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  德康农牧(02419)盘中涨超11%,截至发稿,股价上涨8.87%,现报41.35港元,成交额7899.12万港元。

  德康农牧此前发布公告,2025年3月,公司销售生猪90.065万头(其中商品肉猪85.426万头),销售收入人民币17.69亿元。2025年3月,公司商品肉猪销售均价人民币14.93元/公斤,较2025年1月下降2.61%。

  华源证券指出,从行业与周期视角看,猪价预测的难度越来越大,而不同企业的经营效率差异仍十分明显,投资应从“周期思维”向“优质优价”转化。招商证券此前指出,德康农牧生猪养殖成本居于行业第一梯队,头均盈利行业领先;2025年生猪养殖业或有微利,公司有望凭借成本优势获取超额利润。

  4月24日,截止午盘,A50ETF华宝(159596)放量涨0.09%,半日成交额7217.03万元。

  湘财证券表示,长维度来看,目前A股市场处于新“国九条”行情+类“四万亿”投资的重叠趋势中,2025年A股市场大概率以“慢牛”方式运行。

  中维度来看,2025年政府工作报告中提到的科技、绿色、消费以及基建等领域将是未来市场关注的主要方向:科技领域侧重战略性新兴产业,尤其是商业航天、低空经济,以及生物制造、量子科技、6G,重点培育具身智能等前沿领域;绿色经济与碳中和方面,新能源、储能技术、智能电网、碳捕集与交易都有较大发展空间;提振消费,既延续“扩大内需”战略,又强调“消费升级与结构优化”,除消费品以旧换新外,还将推动智能、绿色消费场景创新等;基建领域,重点关注“十四五”规划重大工程的收官状况,具体涉及交通、能源、水利等领域。

  短维度来看,4月份美国“对等关税”导致全球资本市场市场风险偏好下降,预期对我国出口的影响将在5、6月份逐步显现。建议5月份继续关注红利相关板块,银行、保险、港口交运等;以及预期将受益于推动国内消费政策的领域,饮料乳品、调味发酵品等。

  资料显示,A50ETF华宝(159596)及其场外联接基金(A类021216/C类021217)被动跟踪中证A50指数,该指数汇聚A股行业核心龙头,50只成份股分别来自50个中证三级行业,全面表征A股标杆型核心资产!做多中国,首选A50。

MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错!热点栏目自选股数据中心行情中心资金流向模拟交易客户端

  交银国际发布研报称,依沃西第二项头对头III期研究成功,首款自免产品获批,将康方生物(09926)2025至2027财年收入预测上调0%至6%,同时上调“依沃西”中国内地和海外经PoS调整销售高峰,分别至61亿元人民币及57亿美元。同时上调H股目标价至115港元,给予“买入”评级,继续列为行业重点推荐。

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