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  突出首创性、集成式探索!这份意见部署实施自由贸易试验区提升战略

  从目标来看,意见强调,经过5年左右的首创性、集成式探索,实现自由贸易试验区制度型开放水平、系统性改革成效、开放型经济质量全面提升,以贸易、投资、资金流动、交通运输、人员往来自由便利和数据安全有序流动为重点的政策体系更加完善,科技创新和产业创新深度融合,现代产业集群能级跃升,新质生产力加快发展,打造开放层次更高、营商环境更优、辐射作用更强的改革开放新高地。

  点评:意见还提出,要打造高能级科技创新生态,促进创新链产业链融合,扩大国际科技交流合作。要建设现代化产业体系,提升产业链现代化水平,推动建设先进产业集群,促进自由贸易试验区产业协同联动。鼓励自由贸易试验区开展全产业链集成创新等。

  频创新高!黄金暴涨,美元暴跌,资金正从美元资产流向黄金

  4月21日,美元指数持续走低,盘中先后跌破99、98整数位关口,创出三年新低;国际金价则持续攀升,黄金期货、现货价格双双续创历史新高。4月以来,美元指数累计跌超5.5%,今年以来累计跌幅超过9%。机构人士称,美国关税政策不确定性令市场无法达成一致预期,美国3月好于预期的零售数据并未打消市场对于美国经济下行的担忧,资金正从美元资产流向更加具备避险属性的黄金。

  点评:本轮美元走弱主要源于两大结构性因素:一是特朗普“对等关税”政策力度超预期并引发政策不确定性,加之政府内部对美元态度矛盾,导致市场难以形成一致预期;二是美元信用裂痕加剧,体现在美国经济与技术优势减弱、全球去美元化进程加速、避险功能弱化等方面,导致资金出逃美元资产。

  LPR连续6个月“原地踏步”二季度降准降息预期增强  

  业界普遍认为,4月份LPR继续“按兵不动”,符合预期。东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青对记者表示,4月份以来政策利率保持不变,这意味着本月LPR的定价基础未发生变化,已在很大程度上预示4月份LPR报价会保持不动。另外,当前银行净息差处于历史低位,报价行主动下调LPR报价加点的动力不足。

  点评:4月份流动性缺口较小,资金面相较于3月份更为宽松,而MLF(中期借贷便利)到期压力仅为1000亿元,商业银行负债端压力相对可控,逆回购利率下调的紧迫性不大。尽管面临外部不利因素影响,但股市情绪修复弹性较强,一季度经济数据超预期,总量宽货币工具快速落地稳定市场预期的必要性并不高。

  特朗普欲“罢免”鲍威尔引发市场恐慌,美国股汇债“三杀”

  美国资产周一重演股债汇三杀,黄金和避险性质的瑞郎等货币加速上涨,金价再创历史新高。截至收盘,道指跌2.48%,纳指跌2.55%,标普500指数跌2.36%。大型科技股普跌,其中特斯拉跌近6%,英伟达、甲骨文跌超4%。纳斯达克中国金龙指数逆势收涨0.2%,阿里巴巴涨逾1%,蔚来汽车涨超2%。

  点评:当天稍早前,美国总统特朗普在其社交媒体平台“真实社交”上发文,再次敦促美国联邦储备委员会作出降息决定。特朗普在帖文中宣称“美国实际上已不存在通胀,能源、食品及其他大多数商品价格下行趋势如此显著,几乎不可能引发通胀。但如果‘太迟先生’(指美联储主席鲍威尔)不立即降息,美国经济将面临放缓风险。”

  多家A股公司一季度业绩大增:广大特材净利同比增长近15倍日久光电净利润增346%大金重工净利润增336%

  4月21日晚间,A股公司2025年第一季度“成绩单”密集揭晓,一批A股公司实现业绩大幅增长。其中,广大特材第一季度净利润为7425.02万元,同比增幅达到1488.76%。此外,日久光电净利润同比增幅达到346.48%,大金重工净利润同比增幅达到335.91%。

  点评:除上述公司外,还有多家A股公司实现业绩翻番。

  救市前夜积极布局,“平准基金”汇金的一季度操作“棋局”

  而随着基金一季报的公布,汇金在今年一季度操作也“浮出水面”。最新季报数据显示,虽然不少大型ETF基金的总规模有所缩水,但汇金却成为“中流砥柱”,在一季度内持续出手,增持ETF。而且,其中的部分操作,颇能体现汇金的想法和意图。在公开“平准基金”身份的前夜,汇金究竟做了哪些操作?

  点评:而根据最新的基金一季报,汇金在今年前3月份,对于相关宽基产品予以了比较坚决的买入。两市规模最大的ETF——华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF的1季报显示,汇金资管在一季报中增持该ETF3.63亿份,期末持有份额增加到269.84亿份。这项信息并不是直接公布的,而是通过对比2024年报并比较相关机构信息后确定的。

  关税冲击供应链,美国多家零售巨头与特朗普会谈  

  周一据媒体报道,美国总统特朗普在白宫会见了美国主要零售商代表,包括沃尔玛、家得宝、劳氏公司和塔吉特等零售巨头,白宫没有立即就讨论内容做出回应。零售商面临业务放缓和股价下跌的挑战,企业高管试图寻求帮助。

  点评:报道指出,特朗普的关税政策在很大程度上造成的供应链中断,已经对作为美国经济主要驱动力的零售商构成挑战。美国企业警告称,随着进口税的实施,未来几个月业务可能会放缓。虽然企业多年来一直在关税下运营,但特朗普征税的规模和快速变化的性质已成为一个独特的问题。

  “借基”持有中国资产全球资金再布局大幕开启  

  在美国“对等关税”政策影响下,海外机构拉开全球资产再配置序幕,中国资产成为重要选项。多家头部私募获悉,外资机构提高了与中国私募机构的沟通频率,但并未出现净赎回情况,外资选择坚定持有或小幅加仓中国资产。在业内人士看来,伴随美债市场震荡加剧,全球市场不确定性增强,外资机构正在寻找替代的投资标的,中国市场有望成为全球资金再布局的“主要阵地”之一。从资金关注的投资机会来看,科技板块吸引全球投资者目光,多只科技股受到外资和私募的组团调研。

  点评:沪上某百亿级私募人士也称:“此前在面对较大的外部不确定因素时,外资机构倾向于先减仓中国资产观望,等待风险弱化后再择机进场。但是,此次美国‘对等关税’政策发布后,外资并未有撤出的迹象,近半个月来外资机构持有公司旗下产品的份额基本没变,对中国资产持相对乐观的预期。”

  【行业热点】

  “五一”假期催化消费板块配置吸引力提升 

  储能电池“催货潮”年中或迎拐点技术迭代与海外赛道重构增长逻辑   

  A股黄金矿企2024年业绩亮眼  

  智能体推进人工智能应用落地算力需求持续提升  

  险资调仓应对市场波动高股息板块成收益压舱石  

  【市场动态】

  A股:周二,昨天国光连锁6连板,安记食品、立方制药5连板,国芳集团12天11板,天保基建4连板,尤夫股份、保税科技、红墙股份3连板。市场全天低开后震荡反弹,创业板指领涨,沪指录得7连阳。沪深两市全天成交额1.04万亿,较上个交易日放量1267亿。盘面上,市场热点快速轮动,个股涨多跌少,全市场超4300只个股上涨。板块方面,黄金、电商、机器人、影视等板块涨幅居前。

  港股:港股周一休市。

  美股:美国股市当日收盘大幅下跌,道琼斯工业平均指数收跌971.82点,跌幅2.48%,标准普尔500指数收跌2.36%,纳斯达克综合指数收跌2.55%。美国总统特朗普在其社交媒体平台“真实社交”上发文,再次敦促美国联邦储备委员会作出降息决定。特朗普在帖文中宣称“美国实际上已不存在通胀,能源、食品及其他大多数商品价格下行趋势如此显著,几乎不可能引发通胀。但如果‘太迟先生’(指美联储主席鲍威尔)不立即降息,美国经济将面临放缓风险。”

  【机构策略】

  未来更有看点的应该是2025年2季度,随着4月汇金、诚通、国新、电科等国有大型金融控股集团和央企集团先后宣布参与稳定市场,以及上市公司、投资机构、保险机构纷纷积极公告利多消息,整个A股市场呈现众志成城、“百团大战”的动人局面。

  未来的2季度,当时中国国内机构的逢低加仓、布局方向,对市场的鼓励应该会更加直接和鲜明。中金公司研究报告认为,除中美外,其他国家的经济表现或取决于对美出口敞口的大小,以及美国加征关税幅度,部分国家对美出口依赖度高且顺差较大,在美国关税压力下,这些国家的经济可能存在较大下行风险。中信证券首席经济学家明明分析,一方面,随着国内地产价格的逐步企稳以及扩内需等稳增长政策持续发力,基本面稳中向好的趋势已经明确,一季度GDP数据的表现明显超预期,也证明了经济回升向好的可持续性;另一方面,新质生产力成为推动中国经济增长的重要抓手。“这些因素决定了中国资产的长期收益率中枢也可能随之抬升,对中国资产价格形成稳定支撑。”他说。

  【话题公司】

  300108,锁定退市!A股面值退市案例近期又增多  

  近期A股市场面值退市公司明显增多。4月21日,*ST吉药股价再度跌停,连续第18个交易日股票收盘价低于1元,或已提前锁定面值退市。

  刘强东亲自上阵还疯狂砸钱!7.8元京东外卖迟到免单骑手还赚8元  

  京东这次在外卖业务上的态度非常认真,除了刘强东亲自上阵送外卖,同时也在疯狂补贴骑手。据国内媒体报道称,京东外卖宣布即日起所有超时20分钟以上订单“全部免单”。有媒体记者三次在京东外卖下单,两次均超时20分钟,其中一次甚至等待近两小时。“我今天总共送超时了1单,扣了1块多。”而对于一单总价7.8元的外卖,骑手则表示,“你这单单价挺高的,我能赚8块钱”。

  【新股申购】

  本周暂无新股申购上周上市新股中签浮盈均超1.6万  

  【公告速递】

  投资并购

  领益智造(002600):拟发行可转债及支付现金购买江苏科达66.46%股权。

  新晨科技(300542):重组预案披露 股票复牌。

  回购

  京东方A:拟15亿元-20亿元回购股份。

  业绩

  歌尔股份(002241):2025年一季度净利润4.69亿元,同比增长23.53%。

  胜宏科技(300476):2025年第一季度净利润9.21亿元,同比增长339.22%。

  步步高(002251):2025年一季度净利润同比增长488.44%。

  永鼎股份(600105):2025年第一季度净利润2.9亿元,同比增长960.55%。

  汉得信息(300170):2024年净利润1.88亿元,同比增长842.28%。

  星光股份(002076):预计2024年度净利润为负且营业收入低于3亿元。

  日久光电(003015):2025年第一季度净利润2805.15万元,同比增长346.48%。

  科大讯飞(002230):2024年营业收入233.43亿元 同比增长18.79%。

  海光信息:2025年第一季度净利润5.06亿元,同比增长75.33%。

  亚联机械(001395):2025年一季度净利润5760.44万元 同比增长1088.67%。

  大金重工(002487):2025年一季度净利润2.31亿元,同比增长335.91%。

  立华股份(300761):2024年净利润15.21亿元,同比增长447.72%。

  金发科技(600143):2024年净利润同比增长160.36%。

  妙可蓝多(600882):2025年第一季度净利润同比增长114.88%。

  京东方A:2024年净利润53.23亿元,同比增长108.97%。

  震裕科技(300953):2024年净利润2.54亿元,同比增长493.77%。

  公告澄清

  中毅达(600610):股价严重脱离基本面,存在市场情绪过热情形及较高的炒作风险。

  传智教育(003032):股票交易将被实施退市风险警示。

  岩石股份(600696):股票将被实施退市风险警示。

  *ST中利(002309):申请撤销退市风险警示。

  青海华鼎(600243):公司股票将于2025年4月23日被实施退市风险警示。

  奥维通信(002231):公司股票交易可能被实施退市风险警示。

  6连板国光连锁(605188):股价短期连续上涨 存在极高炒作风险。

  绿地控股(600606):收到行政监管措施决定书 公司及张玉良等高管被责令改正、出具警示函。

  生产经营

  中贝通信(603220):签订4.41亿元算力服务合同。

  平治信息(300571):中标2.46亿元GPU算力建设项目。

  增减持

  三江购物(601116):阿里泽泰拟减持不超3%公司股份。 

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