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混在新唐朝 - 的未来发展展望
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混在新唐朝 - 的未来发展展望

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  21世纪经济报道记者叶麦穗广州报道

  从本周开始银行分红季正式开启。4月20日,中国银行发布公告显示,中国银行A股每股派发2024年末期现金红利0.1216元(税前,下同),股权登记日为4月24日,除权(息)日为4月25日,现金红利发放日为4月25日。

  根据Wind统计,截至4月23日,已经有36家银行披露了分红计划,分红总额为6161.26亿元,这其中包括去年超2300亿元的中期分红。

  分红大户

  值得注意的是,中国银行此次年度分红落地明显早于往年。同花顺数据显示,中国银行自2006年在A股上市以来,年度分红派息时间均在6月至7月。

  根据分配方案,中国银行2024年末期利润分配以方案实施前的该行普通股总股本2943.88亿股为基数,每股派发现金红利0.1216元,共计派发现金红利357.98亿元。其中,A股普通股股本2107.66亿股,派发A股现金红利256.29亿元。该行已派发2024年中期现金红利每股0.1208元,连同本次末期现金红利,2024年全年现金红利为每股0.2424元,全年普通股派息总额约为713.60亿元。

  根据Wind统计,截至4月23日,已经有36家银行披露了分红计划,分红总额为6161.26亿元,这其中包括去年超2300亿元的中期分红。

  国有大行成为分红大户。根据年报数据,六大国有银行全年累计分红金额(包括中期分红和拟发末期分红)合计超过4200亿元。六大行分红金额均较上年有所提高,总金额同比多出近100亿元。

  总体来看,2024年六大行分红情况呈现出分红总额创新高、分红比例稳定在30%及以上、分红频次均增加到一年两次等特点。

  从具体分红规模来看,工商银行以1097.73亿元的分红金额继续领跑,建设银行以1007.54亿元紧随其后,农业银行和中国银行分别派现846.61亿元和713.6亿元。交通银行和邮储银行分红规模分别为281.46亿元和259.41亿元。值得关注的是,六大行合计分红额占整个银行业分红总额的比重超过70%,展现了头部银行在盈利能力和分红力度上的显著优势。

  此外,部分银行在年报中也披露了年度股息率。如工商银行在年报中表示,按全年平均股价计,该行A股、H股股息率分别达到5.32%、7.49%。

  股份制银行方面,招商银行以504.4亿元的分红总额领跑。此外,招行银行董事会已审议通过了《关于2025年度中期利润分配计划的议案》,拟在2025年进行中期分红,这将是该行首次进行中期分红。

  在业绩发布会上,招商银行董事长缪建民表示,招商银行自2013年起就把保持30%以上的分红率写入了公司章程。去年现金分红比例达到了35.3%,每股现金分红两块钱,分红率相当不错。

  此外,兴业银行也首次将分行比例提升至30%以上,2025年该行将择机启动中期分红工作,增加分红频次。中信银行计划分红比例也超过30%。

  华福证券分析称,观察近3年不同类型上市银行现金分红情况,国有大行保持稳定的高现金分红比例,近3年现金分红比例均超30%;股份制商业银行近3年平均现金分红比例逐年提升,2023年达到29.4%;城商行近3年平均现金分红比例有所下滑,2023年平均现金分红比例为24.8%;农商行现金分红比例为各类银行中最低,2023年平均现金分红比例为22%。

  承诺高比例分红

  由于红利行情延续,分红已经成为银行业绩发布会上的“必答题”。

  浙商银行公布的《2024年度利润分配方案》显示,现金分红总额为42.84亿元(含税),占归属于普通股东净利润的‌30.12%‌。这一比例延续了该行近年来分红比例超30%的承诺,但较2022年的37%和2023年的31.98%略有下降。

  浙商银行副行长骆峰在业绩说明会上回应称,2021年为避免影响配股申报进程,该行并未进行分红,因此2022年提高了分红比例。自2016年浙商银行H股上市以来,除了个别年份未分红,其余年份的现金分红比例均超过30%。2016年至2023年,该行累计分红金额占净利润比重达到25.6%。

  杭州银行董事会秘书王晓莉在业绩说明会上答复投资者问题时表示,杭州银行上市以来,2024年度与2016年度相比较,净利润增长了3.26倍,每股分红增长了3.25倍,现金分红总额增长了4.07倍,同期现金分红的增长幅度是上市银行均值的3倍左右。上市后,包含拟派发的2024年末期分红,杭州银行将累计派发普通股现金分红超188亿元,超过IPO、定增、部分可转债转股的融资总额。

  华夏银行副行长兼财务负责人杨伟也在业绩说明会上表示,近两年华夏银行现金分红金额保持了持续增长,积极让投资者分享公司发展的成果。

  年报显示,华夏银行拟分配现金股利48.55亿元(含税),连同2024年中期已派发现金股利每10股1元(含税),分配现金股利15.91亿元(含税),全年共派发现金股利每10股4.05元(含税),分配现金股利64.46亿元(含税)。

  郑州银行去年实现营业总收入128.77亿元,净利润18.76亿元,同比增长1.39%,实现了近三年来净利润增速首次回正。郑州银行在年报中还公布了2024财年现金分红方案,计划分红1.82亿元,现金分红比例为9.69%,在上市银行中排名“垫底”,但这已经是该行时隔四年首次分红。

  不过对于分红,业内有分析认为需要量力而行。排排网财富研究员卜益力表示,上市银行增加分红频次,提高对投资者的回报,这不仅有助于增强投资者的信心,还能进一步稳定股价。投资者也需要认识到,分红次数只是一个衡量指标,更重要的是,公司需要基于其经营业绩来稳步提高分红比例,这样才能确保分红的可持续性和稳定性。当然,提高分红比例并非一蹴而就的事情。它需要基于良好的经营业绩,并要平衡好股东、员工、投资者和存款人等利益相关者的关切。同时,还需要充分考虑和妥善处理好短期分红与长远发展的关系。毕竟,只有稳健且持续的经营才能为股东带来更长远的回报。

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