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  中新社北京4月22日电题:中国推动自由贸易试验区建设迈上新台阶

  中新社记者刘亮

  中共中央、国务院近日印发《关于实施自由贸易试验区提升战略的意见》(以下简称《意见》),对自由贸易试验区建设工作作出系统部署。分析人士认为,此举展现中国对外开放的主动作为,将推动自由贸易试验区建设迈上新台阶。

  《意见》提出,实施自由贸易试验区提升战略是推进高水平对外开放、推动高质量发展的重要举措;目标是“将自由贸易试验区建设成为畅通国内国际双循环的重要枢纽、推动高质量发展的强劲引擎,在进一步全面深化改革、推进中国式现代化进程中更好发挥示范作用”。

  “‘提升’二字,意味着中国对自由贸易试验区提出新期待,对外开放的含金量将更高。”商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院学位委员会委员、研究员白明说。

  白明分析,所谓“试验区”,主要通过选取具有代表性的地区作为试点,先行先试对外开放的新政策、新举措,在可控范围内验证其可行性与效果,既能有效规避政策全面铺开可能带来的风险,又能为其他地区提供宝贵探索经验。

  “对于中国这样一个幅员辽阔、人口众多的国家而言,各地发展水平有差异,大规模推进对外开放政策时,各地的适应能力亦存在差异。因此,采取‘先试点后推广’的方法尤为重要。”白明说。

  中国建设自贸试验区已有十余年发展历程。2013年9月,中国首个自贸试验区在上海诞生。经过多年探索和发展,如今中国已拥有22个自贸试验区,形成了覆盖东西南北中的改革开放创新格局,以不到千分之四的国土面积,贡献了占全国约五分之一的外商投资和进出口总额。

  作为改革开放的重要“试验田”,自贸试验区在不同时期面临的形势和肩负的任务不同。

  辽宁大学特聘研究员陈波指出,近年来,全球经贸格局重构,对自贸试验区建设提出了更高要求。一方面,传统贸易模式面临合作困境,现有合作机制亟待创新;另一方面,数字化浪潮催生服务贸易、数字贸易等新业态,自贸试验区的开放创新任务需与时俱进。《意见》的出台,正是对这些新形势作出的积极回应。

  此次《意见》强调,“经过5年左右的首创性、集成式探索,实现自由贸易试验区制度型开放水平、系统性改革成效、开放型经济质量全面提升”。

  在陈波看来,“首创性、集成式探索”,是自贸试验区建设的核心特色。首创性,即鼓励自贸试验区探索实施诸多“首次”“首创”政策规则,首创性带来的创新,将成为改革开放和经济发展的重要推动力。集成式探索,强调不是碎片式发展,而是注重系统性发展,“没有明显短板,才能让木桶蓄起更多的水”。

  《意见》为自贸试验区部署清晰“施工图”,提出增强对外贸易综合竞争力、促进投资自由化便利化、打造高能级科技创新生态、推动数据高效便利安全流动等,以打造开放层次更高、营商环境更优、辐射作用更强的改革开放新高地。

  探索建立生物医药企业进口研发用物品“白名单”制度,允许免予办理进口药品通关单;允许液化天然气作为国际航行船舶燃料享受保税政策;扩大跨国公司本外币一体化资金池业务试点……《意见》具体措施充分展现自贸试验区开放和积极探索的姿态,向外界释放自贸试验区的政策红利。

  在陈波看来,一系列创新举措的提出,体现了中国在应对国际经贸新变局时的主动作为。这些利好经贸发展的开放措施,不仅为自贸试验区建设注入新动力,推动其迈向更高水平的发展,还在全球化进程遭遇逆流之际为世界经济发展增添了更多稳定性。(完)

  文/赵斌

  纽约黄金期货价格今日再度上演“心跳时刻”,截至北京时间4月21日18时,金价盘中冲破3400美元/盎司,较月初已涨逾8%,这还是在上月纽约金涨幅超过10%的基础上。

  这场席卷全球的黄金热背后,各方观点分歧加剧:多家知名国际金融机构看多黄金,大幅上调目标价格;也有经济学家发出预警:当前金价或已站上“悬崖边缘”,支撑与风险正在激烈博弈。

  黄金的“飞天”密码

  汇源信息研究院副院长赵庆明在接受中新社国是直通车采访时直指这波行情的核心驱动力:首当其冲是黄金美元“跷跷板”压出了黄金弹性。

  “美元指数跌破99点成为关键诱因”,赵庆明通过历史数据分析称,金价涨幅通常是美元跌幅的2—3倍。随着美联储加息周期落幕,美元吸引力下降,黄金作为传统避险资产的价值愈发凸显。

  另外,地缘冲突的“双引擎”正在轰鸣,俄乌战场的硝烟与巴以冲突的火星形成双重风险支撑。

  赵庆明警告:“当前或已处于临界状态,任何化解迹象都将削弱金价支撑。”

  贸易战阴霾笼罩全球,美国政府挥舞的关税大棒,让世界贸易体系伤痕累累。这种不确定性被视作持续推高避险情绪的核心变量。

  上海黄金交易所也在21日发布公告称,近期贵金属价格波动剧烈,请各会员增强风险防范意识,继续做好风险应急预案,维护市场平稳运行。同时,提示投资者做好风险防范工作,合理控制仓位,理性投资。

  多家国际机构认为,黄金价格或仍有上行空间,投资者对避险资产的配置意愿持续增强。在高盛的乐观情景假设下,若美国经济陷入衰退,黄金ETF的资金流入或将进一步提速。

  据了解,近期全球央行频频出手增持黄金,也导致黄金赛道“拥挤效应”进一步加剧。

  工信部信息通信经济专家委员会委员盘和林指出:“美元和美债因关税战风险遭抛售,黄金成为投资者唯一避险选择。”这种拥挤交易推动金价形成自我强化循环。

  风险暗藏

  在这波金价上涨中获利颇丰的投资者举杯相庆之际,有经济学家警告风险。

  赵庆明指出黄金价格潜在的暴跌诱因。

  首先是政策转向的风险。若美国政府展现关税政策纠偏诚意,金价可能迎来趋势性转折。尤其是6月G7峰会前的政策信号,若中美达成实质性贸易协议,黄金的避险光环将迅速褪色。

  其次是地缘风险“解压阀”将随时开启。俄乌和巴以冲突若出现具有公信力的停火协议,可能触发黄金多头集中平仓。这类事件往往引发金价单日超过50美元的跌幅。

  届时,投资者止损潮或将引起黄金价格下跌的多米诺骨牌效应。

  市场普遍建议设置动态止损线,当金价单日回调超2%时,可能引发程序化交易止损与散户恐慌抛售的叠加效应。

  盘和林也认为,黄金价格上涨趋势“保质期”取决于风险解除进度。黄金上涨趋势将持续到美元和美债风险解除,而解除风险需要先结束关税战。若全球经济稳定因素逐步显现,黄金需求可能遭遇断崖式下跌。

  综合来看,金价大跌需满足两大条件:

  一、估值泡沫破裂。当金价明显偏离全球货币定价水平时,机构投资者将率先调仓;

  二、风险事件消退。若地缘政治冲突缓和且贸易战熄火,黄金将失去核心支撑。

  “普通投资者应避免将黄金异化为投机工具”,赵庆明警示道,配置黄金资产需注意,是对冲而非投机。建议将黄金资产控制在总资产的15%以内,并关注信号组合,同时盯紧美元/美债收益率利差、VIX恐慌指数和中美PMI数据,设置动态止盈。 拳王创世纪2:感受每一帧的细腻与深度。的相关文章 河北承德隆化县一养老院发生火灾的相关文章
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