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刚刚,金价再次大幅拉升。

国际金价突破3300美元/盎司,再次创历史新高。COMEX黄金最新报价已达3324.7美元/盎司,国内沪金期货主力合约报收781.6元/克。

AI识股

此轮金价上涨主要得益于全球避险需求,因为美国反复无常的关税计划让投资者感到不安。同时,美元指数再次跌破100。疲软的美元,也为金价提供了支撑。

4月16日,在A股市场上,黄金股继续活跃。赤峰黄金、西部黄金、山东黄金等个股纷纷飘红。

AI识股

随着金价飙涨,高盛将年底金价预测上调至每盎司3700美元,此前预测为每盎司3300美元。

有券商分析师指出,若后续金价持续维持在3000美元/盎司以上,黄金公司未来的业绩中枢将会得到明显抬升,处于近10年估值底部的A股黄金股有望迎来价值重估。不过,也有市场人士提醒,近期金价涨速过快,短期应注意投资风险。

今晚,全球目光都将聚焦在美联储主席鲍威尔身上。他将于北京时间4月17日凌晨1点半出席芝加哥经济俱乐部活动并发表讲话。全球投资人、分析师以及市场参与者都在等待鲍威尔对近期的一系列经济动态做出回应。

鲍威尔此次演讲的场地,正是特朗普在2024年10月到访并大谈高关税与美联储主席更替的地方。美国所谓的“对等关税”计划反复,市场对美国经济衰退的担忧正在升温。

预计下次降息日期为2025年06月19日

解读

预计下次会议利率将保持不变,年内降息次数为4次,年底利率为3.25%-3.50%。

数据时间4.25%-4.50%(当前利率)

概率

79.9

05月08日

06月19日

07月31日

09月18日

10月30日

12月11日

01月29日

03月19日

04月30日

06月18日

07月30日

09月17日

10月29日

12月10日

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