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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

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Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82

Deprecated: strpos(): Non-string needles will be interpreted as strings in the future. Use an explicit chr() call to preserve the current behavior in /www/wwwroot/4-17ll.com/label.php on line 82
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  转自:北京商报

  4月21日,文化和旅游部(以下简称“文旅部”)举办2025年“5·19中国旅游日”新闻发布会。会上,文旅部市场管理司副司长李晓勇介绍,今年“5·19中国旅游日”将举办主题日、主题月等系列活动。5月19日主题日的主会场活动于宁波市宁海县举办。主题月从4月21日持续至5月31日,内容包括文化和旅游惠民活动、入境旅游推介活动、文明旅游活动、优化消费环境活动等,以美团、支付宝等为代表的合作单位拟投入惠民补贴超10亿元,各地计划出台的惠民举措超6000项。

  李晓勇表示,今年“5·19中国旅游日”活动主要有突出惠民乐民、社会广泛参与和加强入境旅游推介三个特点。

  其中,在突出惠民乐民方面,今年“5·19中国旅游日”主题月期间,各省(区、市)引导旅游景区、旅行社、酒店民宿、院团剧场等推出门票减免、折扣套餐、联票优惠等优惠促销活动,集中推出文化和旅游消费券包。

  李晓勇从“食、住、行、游、购、娱、学”七大场景分别介绍了今年的惠民措施。其中,在“食”和“住”场景,各地将开展美食展演、美食节等特色活动;生活服务类平台企业将推出“5·19百城千味”美食特惠活动,平台联合商家组织开展美食专题线上促销,消费者凭电子消费券可享餐饮企业折扣优惠。同时,行业协会还联动星级旅游饭店、精品民宿推出“连住折扣”“家庭套餐”等活动。

  在“行”场景,各地将持续优化公共服务,航空公司推出优惠券和特价机票,出行平台推出“5·19特惠出行卡”“5·19出行补贴福利包”,主题月期间消费者可享受减免优惠。会上,中国东方航空公司市场营销部总经理卢军进一步介绍,在“5·19中国旅游日”主题月期间,东航筹备了51.9万套特惠机票和10万套免费中转过境旅游产品,还计划在C919航线上推出“5·19中国旅游日”主题航班。

  在“游”场景,李晓勇透露,在主题日当天,宁波将举办旅游专列发车仪式,高铁车站、铁路12306App以及全国4000余列动车组列车开展旅游日主题宣传。

  中国旅游景区协会副理事长兼秘书长陈献春也在会上表示,中国旅游景区协会联动会员单位推出“景区欢乐消费季”,从景区惠民、旅游业态创新、宣传推广三个方面开展活动,预计触达4000万人次,累计优惠8000万元。

  在购物方面,李晓勇表示,文旅部将开展全国“五一”文化和旅游消费周、非遗焕新购物月,各地联动支持机构丰富消费惠民措施和优质产品,在合作平台发放旅游购物电子消费券包,在线旅游平台推出“5·19限时爆款”,电商平台推出“5·19带货专场”,金融平台推出“5·19线上旅游购物满减优惠”。

  此外,多地还将结合“5·19”主题深入文化广场、旅游景区等基层一线开展优秀民间艺术节目展演、特色文化体验活动。例如,贵阳市将开展民族联欢大巡游,营造热烈的节日氛围。多家合作单位将共同发起#跟着语文课本去旅行#话题,推出专属特惠年卡,开展云阅读会员卡优惠活动,面向广大消费者发放购书满减券。图书馆、文化馆、美术馆等公共文化单位丰富服务项目,提供延时服务,开展形式多样的群众文化游学活动。

  宁波市文化广电旅游局党组书记、局长应建勇也在会上介绍了主题日主会场的活动。宁波策划了“中国旅游,宁波开篇——跟着霞客游宁波”主题活动,推出主题日、主题周(5月18日—24日)、主题月(5月)、主题季(4—6月)四大系列近千场活动。除了主会场活动暨启动仪式外,在5月19日主题日,宁波还将举办中国旅游日情景剧、徐霞客主题展览、宁波市非遗文创展、“5·19”文旅大集等特色活动。

  北京商报记者关子辰牛清妍

  阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家斯托斯滕·斯洛克(TorstenSlok)认为,如果特朗普关税政策保持不变,美国今年几乎肯定会陷入衰退。

  斯洛克周一接受采访时表示:“这一切都取决于关税保持在目前的水平,如果关税保持在目前的水平,我们绝对会在2025年陷入衰退。”

  斯洛克说,如果本月早些时候实施的高关税继续生效,美国经济产出连续两个季度萎缩的概率将高达90%,国内生产总值(GDP)将下降4个百分点。

  斯洛克的经济衰退预测的核心是关税,他认为,这对美国小企业的损害尤其严重,因为小企业不太可能持有足够的现金来支付更高的进口商品税。

  “他们基本上没有钱和现金来支付额外的关税,”斯洛克说。“因此,如果这种情况继续下去,我们将会有大量零售商破产。”

  就业和情绪损害

  斯洛克曾在国际货币基金组织(IMF)和经济合作与发展组织(OECD)工作,之后在德意志银行和美国银行工作。他说,零售业的任何下滑最终都会损害劳动力市场和消费者信心,因为员工人数少于500人的小企业占美国总就业人数的80%。

  应特别关注每周申领失业救济人数报告,因为就业市场的疲软将首先在这些报告中显现出来。斯洛克说:“关税的影响仍然很大,尤其是对小企业的影响。我们还没有在申请失业救济的人数中看到这种情况,但我们应该会看到。”

  今年4月,华尔街衰退的呼声越来越高,尽管特朗普关税政策的频繁变化使得预测者几乎不可能衡量其全面影响。本月早些时候,摩根大通资产管理公司的大卫·凯利(DavidKelly)在特朗普4月2日的声明发布后立即表示,美国今年经济衰退的概率为60%,这取决于高关税是否继续存在。

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