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深圳贝特瑞,投资者如何把握这个新兴市场

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  【环球网报道记者赵建东】多家外媒20日曝光美国国防部长赫格塞思所涉另一桩“信号门”事件,指认他除在一名记者“误入”的美国国家安全高官群聊中分享打击也门胡塞武装方案外,还在一私人群聊中几乎同步分享了相同信息。群聊中有他的妻子、弟弟和私人律师。

  路透社报道称,针对上述消息,五角大楼发言人肖恩·帕内尔20日在社交媒体上毫无根据地指责媒体“热衷将心怀不满的前雇员抱怨作为文章唯一信源”,并称“仇恨特朗普的媒体,仍痴迷于去摧毁执行总统议程的人”。

  白宫副新闻秘书安娜·凯利也在同日发表声明,认为“信号门2.0”报道是“炒冷饭”。“传统媒体无论尝试多少次‘复活’同一个毫无新闻价值的故事,都无法改变没有保密信息被分享的事实。”

  路透社称,赫格塞斯再度卷入“信号门”事件,引发五角大楼人事震荡。上周,赫格塞思“核心圈”四人——其高级顾问考德威尔、国防部办公厅副主任塞尔尼克、副防长办公室主任科林·卡罗尔和国防部发言人约翰·尤利奥特——均因敏感或涉密信息外泄调查而去职。考德威尔事后在社交媒体控诉:“匿名五角大楼官员用毫无根据的指控来诋毁我们的人格。”

  报道称,事件曝光后,民主党议员要求赫格塞思离职。美国国会参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默20日在社交媒体上发帖称:“细节不断曝光。我们不断获悉赫格塞思如何危及(美国军人的)生命。但特朗普仍然懦弱,没有解雇他。赫格塞思必须被解雇。”参加过伊拉克战争的参议员塔米·达克沃斯也发帖要求赫格塞思“必须耻辱地辞职”。此外,五角大楼内部官员也质疑其继续任职的正当性。

  据率先披露此事的美国《纽约时报》报道,与“信号门”群聊由美国总统国家安全事务助理迈克尔·华尔兹创建不同,“信号门2.0”所涉群聊由赫格塞思于1月创建,当时他的防长提名尚未正式获国会参议院通过。赫格塞思几乎同时在两个聊天群分享相同信息,包括执行打击任务的“大黄蜂”F/A-18舰载战斗机的航程安排。

  “信号门2.0”所涉群聊名为“防务团队会”,成员包括赫格塞思的妻子詹妮弗、弟弟菲尔及私人律师蒂姆·帕拉托雷。赫格塞思用私人而非公务手机登录该群聊。詹妮弗曾是福克斯新闻制片人,并非美国国防部正式雇员,但官方公布的照片显示,她曾多次参与赫格塞思与别国防长的敏感会晤。菲尔与帕拉托雷虽然都在国防部供职,但按《纽约时报》说法,暂不清楚两人是否有必要获知对也门胡塞武装的军事行动信息。

  路透社周一进行的一项调查显示,参与调查的25位分析师均预计,俄罗斯央行在4月25日的董事会会议上会将基准利率维持在21%不变,因为全球经济动荡加剧了人们对俄罗斯经济状况的担忧。

  周一公布的一组新预测数据显示,俄罗斯政府维持2025年经济增长2.5%的预期不变。政府表示,认为出现全球经济衰退的风险不大,但将俄罗斯主要出口商品——石油的价格预期下调了17%。

  去年10月,俄罗斯央行为应对通货膨胀,将关键利率上调至21世纪初以来的最高水平。今年以来,卢布兑美元汇率已飙升40%,这对监管机构来说是个助力,因为这使得进口商品价格变得更低。

  然而,由于全球需求下降导致油价下跌,以及美国总统唐纳德・特朗普实施贸易关税后存在全球经济衰退的风险,到年中时卢布可能会回吐涨幅。

  艾吉尼斯投资公司的分析师表示:“迫在眉睫的经济衰退风险可能会迫使监管机构大幅放松货币政策,但就目前来看,从其言论判断,俄罗斯的经济状况并未引起它的担忧。”

  在此次会议上,俄罗斯央行还将对其经济预测进行评估。目前,央行预计2025年俄罗斯经济仅增长1%至2%,而分析师们将关注央行对贸易战以及全球经济衰退风险的任何评论。

  一些分析师认为,俄罗斯央行将下调其对油价的预期,使其更符合政府的预期。

  俄罗斯央行行长埃尔薇拉・纳比乌琳娜称贸易战是“一次结构性转变”,也是“重大风险”,并表示现在判断贸易战将如何影响全球经济还为时尚早。

  索利德经纪公司的分析师表示:“通胀因素依然存在,进口通胀加剧的风险使得央行不敢贸然降息。”

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