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安康市(宁陕县、汉阴县、平利县、旬阳市、汉滨区、石泉县、岚皋县、白河县、镇坪县、紫阳县)海东市(平安区、互助土族自治县、民和回族土族自治县、化隆回族自治县、乐都区、循化撒拉族自治县)








盐城市(大丰区、射阳县、滨海县、阜宁县、东台市、盐都区、建湖县、亭湖区、响水县)








上饶市(广信区、横峰县、鄱阳县、铅山县、德兴市、余干县、信州区、万年县、广丰区、玉山县、婺源县、弋阳县)








淮北市(烈山区、濉溪县、杜集区、相山区)








日照市(岚山区、五莲县、东港区、莒县)








锡林郭勒盟(多伦县、苏尼特左旗、西乌珠穆沁旗、二连浩特市、东乌珠穆沁旗、镶黄旗、正镶白旗、苏尼特右旗、正蓝旗、锡林浩特市、太仆寺旗、阿巴嘎旗)








揭阳市(榕城区、揭西县、普宁市、揭东区、惠来县)








三明市(尤溪县、泰宁县、三元区、永安市、沙县区、宁化县、建宁县、清流县、大田县、明溪县、将乐县)








常州市(金坛区、天宁区、钟楼区、溧阳市、新北区、武进区)








巴音郭楞蒙古自治州(若羌县、焉耆回族自治县、博湖县、且末县、库尔勒市、轮台县、尉犁县、和静县、和硕县)








百色市(隆林各族自治县、田林县、田东县、乐业县、靖西市、田阳区、右江区、德保县、那坡县、西林县、平果市、凌云县)








兰州市(永登县、西固区、安宁区、城关区、榆中县、七里河区、红古区、皋兰县)








鹤壁市(山城区、淇滨区、浚县、淇县、鹤山区)








三沙市(西沙区、南沙区)








鸡西市(虎林市、城子河区、滴道区、恒山区、麻山区、鸡东县、密山市、梨树区、鸡冠区)








临夏回族自治州(和政县、临夏县、康乐县、广河县、临夏市、积石山保安族东乡族撒拉族自治县、永靖县、东乡族自治县)








信阳市(平桥区、光山县、潢川县、新县、浉河区、淮滨县、固始县、商城县、罗山县、息县)

  市场回顾与分析

  一级市场回顾

  上周一级市场国债、地方债和政策性金融债发行规模分别为4350亿、2006亿和1406亿,净融资额为3800亿、1227亿和1406亿。金融债(不含政金债)共计发行规模302亿,净融资额-224亿。非金信用债共计发行规模4082亿,净融资额920亿。暂无可转债新券发行。

  二级市场回顾

  上周债市窄幅震荡,曲线整体走平。主要影响因素包括:资金面、经济金融数据、美国政策波动等。

  流动性跟踪

  上周央行净投放流动性,对冲MLF到期和税期,资金面表现均衡。最终R001和R007分别较前周上行3.8BP和上行1BP。

  政策与基本面

  3月经济金融数据表现超预期,但市场对二季度后经济走势仍有担忧。高频数据来看:高频生产指标分化中上游强下游弱,房地产、出口景气度下行,油价回升、金价上涨。

  海外市场

  美与多国贸易谈判开始,海外市场波动率有所回落。10年期美债收盘在4.34%,较前周下行14BP。

  权益市场

  上周上证指数周一至周四连阳,国家队托底意图明显,相比之下,创业板表现稍弱。具体看,上周万得全A上涨0.39%,上证50上涨1.45%,沪深300上涨0.59%,创业板指下跌0.64%。上周A股成交量大幅缩量,日均成交额1.11万亿,周度日均成交量大幅减少5023亿。截至2025年4月17日,全A融资余额18023.00亿,较4月10日减少85.99亿元。

  债市策略展望

  债市再度进入观察震荡期,等待海内外事件的进一步发酵。当前宏观面较为复杂,市场缺乏明确方向。二季度将持续跟踪两件重点事项,一是中美关税谈判的后续进展,随着双方关税上升至100%以上,关税进一步加码已无实际意义,市场更关心中美潜在的协商进程,中美双方已阶段性释放谈判善意;二是,国内政策潜在加码的力度和方向,4月政治局会议作为季初讨论经济的会议,将成为市场观察年中政策基调的重要窗口,相比于往年的货币先行财政后至,本次财政可能更为积极,而货币的宽松更多是配合和被动的。在市场等待期间,市场偏好趋于摇摆,债市或维持震荡运行。考虑到二季度资金松紧情况一般好于一季度,对于负债端稳定的机构可关注5Y及以上长久期信用债的配置机会,当前长久期信用利差仍有较高压缩空间,信用债行情有望从中短久期轮动到长久期。转债方面,短期消息面频繁出现,给市场带来扰动。在进入到基本面定价阶段之前,市场阶段性的定价可能集中在关税博弈的拉扯摇摆、国内货币和内需政策的期待上,关注政策演绎。

  风险提示:本材料的信息均来源于已公开的资料,对信息的准确性、完整性或可靠性不作任何保证。本材料中的观点、分析仅代表公司研究团队观点,在任何情况下本文中的信息或表达的意见并不构成实际投资结果,也不构成任何对投资人的投资建议和担保。任何媒体、网站、个人未经本公司授权不得转载。

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