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  汇通财经APP讯——美元受贸易政策与降息预期双重打压

  美元兑瑞士法郎在周四早盘延续跌势,目前交投于0.8300关口下方,跌幅约为0.25%。此前两日反弹未能延续,主要原因是市场对美国总统特朗普关税政策持续存疑,同时预期美联储将加快政策宽松步伐。

  这两大因素令美元人气不足,美元指数(DXY)维持在近年低位震荡,进而抑制了USD/CHF的上行空间。

  美国财长斯科特·贝森特周三表示,当前全球贸易不确定性短期内难以快速解决,但中长期有望缓和。

  这一表态打压了市场对贸易局势迅速改善的预期,并间接增加了对美联储可能降息以应对经济放缓的押注。

  瑞士法郎避险需求放缓限制美瑞跌幅

  尽管美元走软,但瑞士法郎作为传统避险货币的吸引力同样受到全球股市回暖影响。市场情绪偏向乐观,减少了对瑞郎的避险需求,从而在一定程度上限制了USD/CHF的下行空间。

  短线关注美国数据与贸易谈判进展

  市场将密切关注美国即将公布的初请失业金人数、耐用品订单与成屋销售数据。这些经济指标若出现进一步疲软,或强化市场对美联储降息预期,从而对美元构成额外压力。同时,特朗普政府对亚洲国家关税政策的进展将继续主导美元短期走势。

  编辑观点:

  在美元指数持续承压、政策前景不明的背景下,美元兑瑞郎走势缺乏持续动能。尽管风险偏好上升削弱瑞士法郎吸引力,但美联储潜在降息与特朗普政策风险共同构成市场不确定性主轴。若美国经济数据继续转弱,美元兑瑞郎或下探0.8250区域支撑位。关注即将公布的经济数据及贸易谈判消息,短期波动或加剧。

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