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  中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布,4月21日贷款市场报价利率(LPR)为:1年期LPR为3.10%,5年期以上LPR为3.60%,均与前期保持一致。值得注意的是,这是LPR连续六个月“按兵不动”。

  东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青接受界面新闻采访时指出,4月LPR报价继续“按兵不动”,符合市场预期,主要原因有两个,一是4月以来政策利率(央行7天期逆回购利率)保持不变。这意味着本月LPR报价的定价基础未发生变化,已在很大程度上预示4月LPR报价会保持不动。

  第二,王青表示,当前银行净息差处于历史低位,报价行主动下调LPR报价加点的动力不足。总体上看,年初以来LPR报价持续不动,根本上是一季度经济走势偏强,由此,尽管当然货币政策基调由稳健转为适度宽松,但下调LPR报价的迫切性不强。

  王青在采访中分析称,综合当外部经贸环境变化,国内房地产市场和物价走势,二季度“择机降准降息”时机已经成熟,不排除提前到4月的可能。

  “预计本次降息幅度可能达到30个基点,降幅与去年全年相当。这意味着下一步有力度的政策性降息将带动LPR报价下行,进而引导企业和居民货款利率下调,较大幅度降低实体经济融资成本。这是当前促消费、扩投资,大力提振内需,对冲潜在外需放缓,切实增强宏观经济韧性的有效措施之一。这也意味着今年超常规逆周期调即全面启动。”他说。

  他同时提到,未来LPR报价将给银行带来一定净息差收窄压力,将主要通过引导存款利率下行,全面降低银行资金成本等方式缓解。

  4月7日,《人民日报》发表评论员文章《集中精力办好自己的事》,其中提出:“未来根据形势需要,降准、降息等货币政策工具已留有充分调整余地,随时可以出台。

  财信金控首席经济学家伍超明也认为,从目前来看,央行的降准降息节奏或将加快。

  他进一步分析称,一方面,扩大内需的逆周期政策力度需要进一步加大;另一方面,部分外需转内需会进一步加大国内供给,对物价产生下行压力。促进物价合理回升是今年货币政策的重要考量,需要货币政策发力节奏适当靠前。此外,美国经济下行压力增加,衰退概率加大,美元或走弱,对国内政策约束减轻。

  近日,小红书重磅发布“优质服务合作伙伴榜单”,覆盖美妆个护、3C及电器和母婴三大行业。微盟营销荣登榜单,拿下“美妆个护”和“母婴”两大赛道。

  小红书优质服务合作伙伴榜单评选体系,综合考量代理商在营销策略能力、内容能力、投流能力、客户服务、组织投入及平台生态贡献等核心维度的表现,遴选出各行业兼具专业实力、引领行业发展的合作伙伴,以高质量服务驱动增长,助力品牌在小红书找到生意增长新方向。一直以来,微盟营销都在通过“媒体资源横拓、服务链路纵深、数字技术渠道”三位一体的全面升级,帮助企业在腾讯广告、小红书、快手、支付宝、Google、Meta等国内外主流媒体平台进行营销推广,助力品牌实现营销的品效协同,促成全链路高质量增长。

  微盟营销副总裁兼盟效业务中心总经理金文淼表示,小红书通过“种草-决策-转化”的闭环生态,正在重构品牌营销价值链,其独特的内容场域兼具高用户粘性与强购买导向双重优势。当流量红利转向存量博弈,如何借力平台精准触达目标客群、构建长效经营阵地,已成为品牌全域增长的核心命题。

  微盟营销助力品牌深耕小红书生态,构建全域增长新阵地。据微盟集团2024年财报披露,其营销服务体系内品牌客户在小红书平台的年度广告消耗同比增长82%,印证平台商业价值的加速释放。作为国内核心种草阵地,小红书当前月活跃用户已突破3亿量级,其中每月主动寻求消费决策建议的用户规模达1.7亿(占比近57%),形成独特的“需求激发-决策辅助-交易转化”商业闭环。面向未来,微盟营销将持续深化小红书平台运营方法论,通过“内容种草+效果转化”的品效协同模式,帮助品牌搭建从流量运营到用户资产沉淀的全链路营销解决方案,以数据驱动的精细化运营实现流量价值最大化,助力品牌实现生意新增量。

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