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 苏州市(张家港市、吴中区、昆山市、太仓市、相城区、虎丘区、常熟市、吴江区、姑苏区)





龙岩市(上杭县、永定区、新罗区、漳平市、连城县、武平县、长汀县)









辽阳市(辽阳县、宏伟区、灯塔市、白塔区、太子河区、弓长岭区、文圣区)









南充市(南部县、嘉陵区、顺庆区、西充县、高坪区、仪陇县、营山县、阆中市、蓬安县)  张家界市(桑植县、慈利县、武陵源区、永定区)









玉林市(陆川县、博白县、福绵区、北流市、兴业县、容县、玉州区)









防城港市(上思县、港口区、防城区、东兴市)









临沂市(沂水县、河东区、兰山区、临沭县、平邑县、费县、沂南县、郯城县、兰陵县、蒙阴县、莒南县、罗庄区)崇左市(江州区、宁明县、大新县、天等县、凭祥市、扶绥县、龙州县)









秦皇岛市(青龙满族自治县、卢龙县、海港区、昌黎县、山海关区、抚宁区、北戴河区)  吕梁市(交城县、临县、岚县、离石区、交口县、汾阳市、孝义市、柳林县、兴县、中阳县、文水县、石楼县、方山县)









鄂州市(梁子湖区、鄂城区、华容区)









锡林郭勒盟(正镶白旗、阿巴嘎旗、太仆寺旗、锡林浩特市、东乌珠穆沁旗、西乌珠穆沁旗、二连浩特市、正蓝旗、苏尼特左旗、镶黄旗、苏尼特右旗、多伦县)









铜川市(印台区、宜君县、耀州区、王益区)承德市(滦平县、平泉市、双滦区、隆化县、鹰手营子矿区、丰宁满族自治县、兴隆县、宽城满族自治县、承德县、围场满族蒙古族自治县、双桥区)









惠州市(龙门县、博罗县、惠阳区、惠东县、惠城区)









日照市(东港区、五莲县、岚山区、莒县)









楚雄彝族自治州(双柏县、楚雄市、禄丰市、大姚县、牟定县、元谋县、武定县、永仁县、姚安县、南华县)









株洲市(荷塘区、醴陵市、石峰区、攸县、炎陵县、渌口区、芦淞区、天元区、茶陵县)









澳门特别行政区









北海市(合浦县、海城区、铁山港区、银海区)

  市场回顾与分析

  一级市场回顾

  上周一级市场国债、地方债和政策性金融债发行规模分别为4350亿、2006亿和1406亿,净融资额为3800亿、1227亿和1406亿。金融债(不含政金债)共计发行规模302亿,净融资额-224亿。非金信用债共计发行规模4082亿,净融资额920亿。暂无可转债新券发行。

  二级市场回顾

  上周债市窄幅震荡,曲线整体走平。主要影响因素包括:资金面、经济金融数据、美国政策波动等。

  流动性跟踪

  上周央行净投放流动性,对冲MLF到期和税期,资金面表现均衡。最终R001和R007分别较前周上行3.8BP和上行1BP。

  政策与基本面

  3月经济金融数据表现超预期,但市场对二季度后经济走势仍有担忧。高频数据来看:高频生产指标分化中上游强下游弱,房地产、出口景气度下行,油价回升、金价上涨。

  海外市场

  美与多国贸易谈判开始,海外市场波动率有所回落。10年期美债收盘在4.34%,较前周下行14BP。

  权益市场

  上周上证指数周一至周四连阳,国家队托底意图明显,相比之下,创业板表现稍弱。具体看,上周万得全A上涨0.39%,上证50上涨1.45%,沪深300上涨0.59%,创业板指下跌0.64%。上周A股成交量大幅缩量,日均成交额1.11万亿,周度日均成交量大幅减少5023亿。截至2025年4月17日,全A融资余额18023.00亿,较4月10日减少85.99亿元。

  债市策略展望

  债市再度进入观察震荡期,等待海内外事件的进一步发酵。当前宏观面较为复杂,市场缺乏明确方向。二季度将持续跟踪两件重点事项,一是中美关税谈判的后续进展,随着双方关税上升至100%以上,关税进一步加码已无实际意义,市场更关心中美潜在的协商进程,中美双方已阶段性释放谈判善意;二是,国内政策潜在加码的力度和方向,4月政治局会议作为季初讨论经济的会议,将成为市场观察年中政策基调的重要窗口,相比于往年的货币先行财政后至,本次财政可能更为积极,而货币的宽松更多是配合和被动的。在市场等待期间,市场偏好趋于摇摆,债市或维持震荡运行。考虑到二季度资金松紧情况一般好于一季度,对于负债端稳定的机构可关注5Y及以上长久期信用债的配置机会,当前长久期信用利差仍有较高压缩空间,信用债行情有望从中短久期轮动到长久期。转债方面,短期消息面频繁出现,给市场带来扰动。在进入到基本面定价阶段之前,市场阶段性的定价可能集中在关税博弈的拉扯摇摆、国内货币和内需政策的期待上,关注政策演绎。

  风险提示:本材料的信息均来源于已公开的资料,对信息的准确性、完整性或可靠性不作任何保证。本材料中的观点、分析仅代表公司研究团队观点,在任何情况下本文中的信息或表达的意见并不构成实际投资结果,也不构成任何对投资人的投资建议和担保。任何媒体、网站、个人未经本公司授权不得转载。

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