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业绩持续承压,六氟磷酸锂出货稳步增长

点评

■事件:25年4月23日,公司发布2024年年报和25年一季报,24年全年实现营收82.07亿元,同比减少31.25%;实现归母净利润-3.08亿元,同比减少160.36%;扣非后归母净利润-4.04亿元,同比减少185.68%。25年一季度实现营收20.98亿元,同比减少2.09%;实现归母净利润0.65亿元,同比增长69.24%;扣非后归母净利润0.21亿元,同比增长190.55%。

■Q4业绩拆分。营收和净利:公司2024Q4营收13.31亿元,同比-57.78%;24年Q4归母净利润为-3.33亿元,23年Q4归母净利润0.47亿元,同比转亏;24年Q4扣非后归母净利润为-3.46亿元,同比转亏。毛利率:2024Q4毛利率为10.88%,同减0.23pct,环增3.90pcts。净利率:2024Q4净利率为-38.65%,同减40.00pcts,环减35.50pcts。费用率:公司2024Q4期间费用率为21.19%,同比13.63pcts,其中销售、管理、研发、财务费用率分别为-0.83%、11.04%、8.87%、2.10%,同比变动-1.72pcts、8.28pcts、4.36pcts和2.71pcts。

■ 四大业务版块协同发力,六氟磷酸锂出货稳步增长。2024年公司六氟磷酸锂销量达到4.33吨,营收25.93亿元,占比31.59%,毛利率12.60%;氟基新材料营收26.93亿元,占比32.81%,毛利率8.61%;电子信息材料营收9.35亿元,占比11.39%,毛利率17.10%;新能源电池营收16.11亿元,占比19.63%,毛利率2.07%。其中六氟磷酸锂是公司重点业务,公司目前具备六氟磷酸锂的规模化生产能力,拥有双氟磺酰亚胺锂(LiFSI)、六氟磷酸钠(NaPF6)等其他新型电解质的千吨级生产线,规模居行业前列。

■ 产能布局清晰,具有规模化优势。公司在多领域加快产能扩张,巩固规模效益,保持技术领先地位。24年,公司具备年产6万吨电子级氢氟酸的产能,其中半导体级2万吨,光伏级4万吨。此外,子公司浙江中宁硅业股份有限公司现具备年产4,000吨电子级硅烷的生产能力,正在建设年产5,000吨电子级硅烷系列产品项目,预计2025年中期投产。未来,随着公司新建产能逐渐落地,规模优势将会进一步显现。

■ 投资建议:我们预计公司2025-2027年实现营收107.42、134.08、161.90亿元,同比增长30.9%、24.8%、20.8%,实现归母净利润2.90、4.25、6.25亿元,同比增长194.0%、46.5%、47.2%,对应PE为47、32、22倍。考虑到目前处于周期底部,公司新型锂盐和新能源电池双重驱动,优势明显,维持“推荐”评级。

■风险提示:宏观经济与市场波动风险,公司规模扩大导致的管理风险,产品和技术更新风险,环保及安全生产风险等。

■盈利预测与财务指标:

公司财务报表数据预测汇总

研究报告信息

证券研究报告:多氟多(002407.SZ)2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:业绩持续承压,六氟磷酸锂出货稳步增长

对外发布时间:2025年4月24日

报告撰写:

邓永康SAC编号S0100521100006

李孝鹏SAC编号S0100524010003

席子屹SAC编号S0100122060007

赵丹SAC编号S0100524050002 

朱碧野SAC编号S0100522120001

王一如SAC编号S0100523050004

李佳SAC编号S0100523120002

  德国财政部长JoergKukies表示,在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普实施的90天关税缓冲期内解决与美方的贸易冲突是现实可行的。

  “我们认为90天是可行的,”Kukies在华盛顿举行的国际货币基金组织(IMF)与世界银行春季会议期间接受采访时表示。他补充说,贸易冲突的复杂程度尚不至于无法在这一时间框架内达成解决方案。

  特朗普发起的关税争端主导了在华盛顿参会的各国财长的讨论。特朗普在4月初宣布一系列关税措施引发市场动荡后,又迅速转向,表示暂缓关税举措直到7月初。

  预计不会进入德国下一届内阁的Kukies表示,他认为特朗普政府将受到近期全球增长预测下调的影响。

  “我们认为这里发生的事情将影响美国政府的想法,”Kukies说。他称与美国财长斯科特·贝森特的谈话富有成效,并补充说这让他相信达成解决方案指日可待。

本周早些时候,人们在柏林的一家苹果店外

  华尔街一位看多苹果公司的分析师今天对这家科技巨头的股票乐观程度有所降低。

  美国银行的分析师周四维持了对苹果公司(AAPL)股票的“买入”评级,但他们也将目标价下调了10美元,降至240美元。(根据VisibleAlpha的数据,这仍高于华尔街平均目标价234美元左右。)他们给出的理由是:与关税相关的成本可能会压缩利润率,同时人们担心人工智能功能的延迟推出可能会抑制设备需求。

  与此同时,随着大盘上涨,苹果股价也在小幅上升。苹果的股价最近上涨了0.6%,升至205美元以上。

  苹果公司即将加入“七巨头”科技公司的财报发布行列,其下一份财报将于下周四收盘后公布。美国银行预计,在最近一个季度,一些因关税而导致的“提前购买”行为可能有助于提升销售额,但他们正在下调长期销售预期,“以适应更复杂的供应链所带来的更高成本,以及支持人工智能的Siri推出时间的延迟”。

  今年到目前为止,苹果股价已下跌约18%,表现逊于标准普尔500指数这一基准指数。研究公司万得(Vanda)本周早些时候指出,即使在其他股票(如特斯拉(TSLA)和英伟达(NVDA)的股票)持续出现净买入的情况下,散户投资者近期仍在净卖出苹果股票。

  万得在周三的一份报告中写道:“个人投资者继续释放出轻度投降的信号,但全面抛售的情况在短期内仍不太可能出现。”

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