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  财联社4月16日讯(编辑马兰)美国总统特朗普“全力以赴”,通过关税等一系列激进政策试图吸引制造业回流美国,然而,一份在X上广为流传的调查让这个目标颇具戏剧性。

  民调专家FrankLuntz在X上分享了一份卡托研究所在去年完成的调查,其中,80%的美国受访者表示如果更多人从事制造业将对美国有利,但同时只有25%的人认为自己如果在工厂工作会过得更好。

  调查显示,80%的美国人认为制造业对美国有利,25%的人认为自己在工厂工作将过得更好,但73%的人认为不会过得更好,还有2%的人目前正在工厂工作。

  Luntz指出,这项民调就像是一次针对自由贸易的精神测试,结果显示,支持制造业(80%)的美国人实际上并不想从事工厂工作(73%),以及愿意到工厂工作(25%)的美国人有望增加10倍(2%)。

  卡托研究所赫伯特·A·施蒂费尔贸易政策研究中心副主任ColinGrabow则在调查发布时就曾表示,这份调查跨越了阶级、教育背景和种族界线,结果显示制造业工厂找不到足够多感兴趣的美国工人。

  美国人并不想拧螺丝

  皮尤研究中心的数据显示,美国制造业工人对工作的满意度明显低于其他行业,他们在薪酬、医疗保险、其他福利以及工作时间的灵活性上都反响平平。

  Grabow称,截至2024年5月,美国制造业约有60万个职位空缺,这表明美国制造业岗位并不短缺。但问题在于,美国人对制造业的看法普遍存在矛盾,这也是美国制造商协会和海军部长都在呼吁增加移民的原因之一。

  他补充称,问题的真正关键或许在于政客为什么频频强调制造业就业的重要性。

  特朗普政府目前的一大宣传是,重塑全球贸易秩序将帮助到美国“失落的中产阶级”。美国商务部长卢特尼克承诺,美国人将自己拧螺丝,自己制造iPhone。美国财政部长贝森特则声称,被裁掉的美国联邦政府雇员将填补制造业振兴所需的劳动力缺口。

  然而,经济学家们反复强调,即使美国制造业真的回流,这个过程需要数年的时间并耗资数亿美元,且过程中持续受到不确定性的影响。

  高盛还补充道,美国对进口的依赖程度远高于其他国家对美国的依赖程度,因为如果美国不进口原材料,工厂就无法开工。

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