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怀化市(会同县、靖州苗族侗族自治县、通道侗族自治县、中方县、沅陵县、麻阳苗族自治县、洪江市、芷江侗族自治县、溆浦县、辰溪县、新晃侗族自治县、鹤城区)








中卫市(沙坡头区、中宁县、海原县)








玉林市(玉州区、博白县、北流市、福绵区、容县、兴业县、陆川县)








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长春市(公主岭市、农安县、榆树市、南关区、绿园区、宽城区、双阳区、朝阳区、德惠市、二道区、九台区)








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惠州市(惠城区、博罗县、惠阳区、惠东县、龙门县)  宜宾市(筠连县、南溪区、叙州区、翠屏区、长宁县、兴文县、屏山县、珙县、江安县、高县)








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新疆维吾尔自治区








锦州市(凌海市、黑山县、凌河区、古塔区、北镇市、义县、太和区)








阿坝藏族羌族自治州(松潘县、黑水县、壤塘县、小金县、红原县、茂县、马尔康市、金川县、九寨沟县、理县、汶川县、阿坝县、若尔盖县)








牡丹江市(宁安市、穆棱市、林口县、东安区、东宁市、阳明区、爱民区、西安区、绥芬河市、海林市)








中山市








海东市(互助土族自治县、化隆回族自治县、平安区、乐都区、民和回族土族自治县、循化撒拉族自治县)








威海市(荣成市、乳山市、环翠区、文登区)








嘉峪关市








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青岛市(市南区、平度市、胶州市、莱西市、李沧区、城阳区、崂山区、即墨区、市北区、黄岛区)








德州市(平原县、乐陵市、宁津县、禹城市、武城县、德城区、庆云县、陵城区、夏津县、齐河县、临邑县)








大连市(中山区、普兰店区、甘井子区、长海县、金州区、沙河口区、西岗区、庄河市、旅顺口区、瓦房店市)








通化市(二道江区、集安市、通化县、东昌区、辉南县、梅河口市、柳河县)








恩施土家族苗族自治州(利川市、鹤峰县、建始县、恩施市、咸丰县、宣恩县、来凤县、巴东县)








滨州市(滨城区、无棣县、沾化区、博兴县、邹平市、阳信县、惠民县)








内江市(威远县、隆昌市、市中区、资中县、东兴区)
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武威市(凉州区、民勤县、天祝藏族自治县、古浪县)








漳州市(芗城区、南靖县、龙海区、平和县、龙文区、漳浦县、长泰区、华安县、诏安县、云霄县、东山县)








巴中市(南江县、巴州区、平昌县、通江县、恩阳区)








大同市(浑源县、云冈区、天镇县、灵丘县、云州区、平城区、左云县、阳高县、新荣区、广灵县)  酒泉市(肃州区、肃北蒙古族自治县、阿克塞哈萨克族自治县、玉门市、金塔县、敦煌市、瓜州县)








雅安市(天全县、汉源县、雨城区、芦山县、石棉县、名山区、荥经县、宝兴县)








崇左市(扶绥县、天等县、凭祥市、大新县、龙州县、宁明县、江州区)








庆阳市(合水县、宁县、华池县、环县、正宁县、西峰区、庆城县、镇原县)信阳市(潢川县、光山县、商城县、浉河区、息县、淮滨县、平桥区、固始县、新县、罗山县)








清远市(阳山县、连山壮族瑶族自治县、佛冈县、英德市、连南瑶族自治县、清新区、连州市、清城区)  扬州市(邗江区、江都区、仪征市、高邮市、广陵区、宝应县)








普洱市(墨江哈尼族自治县、江城哈尼族彝族自治县、澜沧拉祜族自治县、宁洱哈尼族彝族自治县、孟连傣族拉祜族佤族自治县、镇沅彝族哈尼族拉祜族自治县、西盟佤族自治县、景谷傣族彝族自治县、景东彝族自治县、思茅区)








赤峰市(克什克腾旗、喀喇沁旗、宁城县、阿鲁科尔沁旗、翁牛特旗、敖汉旗、巴林左旗、巴林右旗、元宝山区、红山区、松山区、林西县)








吕梁市(汾阳市、临县、离石区、文水县、交口县、中阳县、兴县、岚县、孝义市、方山县、交城县、石楼县、柳林县)西安市(新城区、长安区、莲湖区、蓝田县、未央区、雁塔区、周至县、阎良区、高陵区、鄠邑区、碑林区、临潼区、灞桥区)








茂名市(电白区、高州市、信宜市、化州市、茂南区)








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  4月22日午间,有媒体称其从知情人士处获悉,中国光伏行业协会将于今日下午举行行业会议,主题依旧为“控产”。

  对此,记者向该协会第一时间求证。协会方面独家回应称,下午召开的是部门例会,不信谣不传谣。协会未作进一步解释。(中证)

转自:金十数据

如果美国总统特朗普希望美元走软,威胁要解雇美联储主席鲍威尔是一个万无一失的办法。但是,在市场、经济和决策领域,“小心别许错了愿”这句话很少有如此贴切的时候。

特朗普对鲍威尔不降息的不满可以追溯到他在白宫的第一个任期,但他最近的口头攻击标志着事态升级,可能迅速将美元暴跌转变为潜在的灾难性溃败。

这并非夸大其词。今年以来,美元下跌了9%,仅本月就贬值了近6%,特朗普的“解放日”关税让市场陷入了不确定性和混乱的漩涡,加速了美元的下滑。

美元今年的跌势已经抹去了去年的所有涨幅,考虑到全球投资者在“美国例外论”的支撑下向华尔街投入数万亿美元的海啸式资本流入,这是一个相当了不起的成就。

以一篮子主要货币衡量,美元有望创下自2007-09年全球金融危机以来的最大单月跌幅,也是自50多年前引入自由浮动汇率时代以来的第八大单月跌幅。除全球金融危机外,美元上一次在一个日历月内下跌如此之多还是在1985年,就在那一年9月,五个国家同意通过著名的《广场协议》来削弱被合理高估的美元。

目前正在进行的美元抛售规模是历史性的,令决策者担忧的是,其根源似乎是对美国决策方向和可信度的担忧。

几乎没有什么比强行解除央行行长的职务更能破坏一个国家经济决策的公信力——以及其货币的公信力:即使是美国,即使是美元。或者说,尤其是在美国,尤其是在美元,因为两者在全球金融体系中都扮演着重要角色。

前波士顿联储主席埃里克-罗森格伦(EricRosengren)周一在社交媒体平台X上直言不讳地写道:“除非目标是让美国的贸易像第三世界国家一样,否则威胁美联储的独立性只会让美国对外国投资者的吸引力下降。”

当然,末日情景也可能避免。特朗普可能会退让或软化立场,鲍威尔可能会决定主动下台以限制损失,市场也可能认为接替他的人可能不会那么糟糕。

但现在,几乎没有迹象表明这些情况会发生。

在短期内,鲍威尔的退出可能会促使美联储立即对利率前景进行鸽派的重新定价。

交易员们目前预计美联储今年将降息100个基点至3.25%-3.50%,但这是鲍威尔试图在经济增长担忧与任何价格上涨压力之间取得平衡的结果。如果美联储与特朗普的想法更加一致,就会使这种平衡向更多宽松的方向倾斜。

但这只是故事的一部分,因为美元持续疲软不会受到其他国家的欢迎,这些国家的货币兑美元的汇率会上升。此外,对美元信心的动摇有可能引发震荡,以意想不到的方式席卷全球市场。官方干预一定会出现。

但这会成功吗?

经济学家菲尔-萨特尔(PhilSuttle)警告说:“抵御(对美元的)投机性攻击将是一项挑战,即使对美联储来说也是如此,因为在如此狂热的‘风险厌恶’环境下,美国利率很可能会下降。”

重新规划世界经济架构是特朗普的经济目标之一。对央行进行政治干预、解除通胀预期锚定和摧毁世界对美元的信心肯定会实现这一目标,但付出的代价很高。

在线预测市场Polymarket目前认为鲍威尔今年年底被解雇的可能性为19%,高于今年大部分时间徘徊在15%左右的水平,但低于上周高达23%的水平。

除非特朗普突然改变主意,否则这种可能性,以及对美元的压力,很可能会上升。

(本文观点仅代表作者本人——路透社专栏作家JamieMcGeever)

编辑:马萌伟

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