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财联社4月17日讯(编辑刘蕊)美东时间周三,摩根士丹利分析师下调了英伟达的营收预期,理由是担心美国对中国的最新芯片出口限制对英伟达的影响,将比预期的“更具破坏性”。

美国芯片限制将损害英伟达营收

美国时间4月15日,英伟达表示,公司日前收到美国政府通知,H20芯片和达到H20内存带宽、互连带宽等的芯片向中国等国家和地区出口需要获得许可证。

大摩分析师表示,受此影响,他们预计未来几个季度,英伟达的数据中心收入将下降8%至9%。

英伟达周二表示,由于美国政府的决定,预计第一季度业绩中,与H20产品相关的库存、采购承诺及相关准备金费用将高达约55亿美元,这“表明该公司对获得许可并不乐观”。而大摩分析师估计,今年4月,H20芯片占英伟达数据中心收入的12%至13%。

英伟达股价周三大跌近7%,并带领美股一众芯片股和科技股集体跳水,因市场担心出口限制收紧可能会对相关行业产生广泛影响。

英伟达成了特朗普手中的“牌”?

华尔街分析师们认为,除了中美贸易冲突持续升级的背景因素外,中国国产AI大模型DeepSeek的崛起可能也是促使美国方面收紧对华芯片出口限制的原因之一。

Wedbush分析师周三表示,DeepSeek的迅速崛起中美之间“让这场高风险的扑克游戏变得更加紧张”,并补充说,英伟达在人工智能领域的领导地位使其成为“特朗普桌上的一大筹码”。

摩根士丹利表示,尽管对新的出口限制感到担忧,但英伟达的股票仍是他们在美股市场上的“首选”。大摩维持对英伟达162美元的目标价,指出该公司仍将受益于对人工智能硬件不断增长的需求。

美国银行同样重申了英伟达160美元的目标价,称鉴于全球对英伟达芯片的强劲需求,该芯片制造商的股价估值“令人信服”。杰富瑞和瑞银更为乐观,均重申了185美元的目标位。

截至美东时间周三收盘,英伟达股价收报104.49美元。这意味着华尔街分析师们认为它还有约53%至78%的上涨空间。

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