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通篇车多肉香的短文 - 一次心灵成长与爱的教育之旅
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专题:第一届自动驾驶产业发展论坛

  “第一届自动驾驶产业发展论坛”2025年4月24日于上海举行。华为智能驾驶产品线总裁李文广介绍了自动驾驶落地节奏预判。

  他表示,2025年高速L3会在几个城市做试点商用。2026年,应该在高速上有L3的规模商用。城区方面,今年会做一些试点,明年会做试点商用,“2027年,我们的目标是要把城区的L4能够规模商用”。而无人干线物流方面,则希望2028年能够规模商用做好。

  要点

  欧洲官员表示,他们对与唐纳德・特朗普总统达成贸易协议持乐观态度,同时警告称,如果无法达成协议,将对欧洲和美国都造成重大经济损害。

  欧盟和美国正在进行紧张的谈判,试图达成一项贸易协议,以避免特朗普宣布的对欧盟商品征收的关税以及欧盟的反制措施。

  欧洲官员表示,他们对与美国总统唐纳德・特朗普达成贸易协议持乐观态度,并警告称,如果无法达成协议且全面征收关税,将对欧洲和美国都造成重大经济损害。

  “我确实相信能够达成协议,但与此同时,我也知道为了实现这一目标,我们还有很多工作要做。”欧元集团主席、爱尔兰财政部长帕斯卡尔・多诺霍周三对美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)表示。

  “如果我们明智地利用未来的时间,我们至少可以建立一个框架,在这个框架内,我们能够避免大西洋两岸采取可能损害我们自己、损害欧洲和损害美国的措施。”他在华盛顿举行的国际货币基金组织(IMF)和世界银行春季会议间隙说道。

  欧盟和美国正在进行紧张的谈判,以达成一项贸易协议,从而避免特朗普宣布的对欧盟商品征收的关税以及欧盟的反制措施。

  特朗普最初对所有来自欧盟的商品征收20%的“对等”关税,但为了进行谈判,将该措施暂停了90天,并在此期间将关税降至10%。对外国汽车以及钢铁和铝进口征收的25%关税仍然有效。

  欧盟委员会表示,欧盟暂停了对价值210亿欧元(241亿美元)的美国商品的报复性关税,“以便为欧盟与美国的谈判留出时间和空间”。

  欧洲官员表示,谈判尚未取得任何实质性的妥协或成果。而且在周三,欧盟因美国科技巨头苹果公司和元(Meta)公司违反欧盟的数字竞争法,分别对它们处以数亿欧元的罚款后,谈判的背景可能进一步恶化。

  欧盟坚称其与美国的商品和服务贸易基本平衡。欧盟执行机构欧盟委员会的数据显示,2023年,欧盟对美国的商品贸易顺差为1558亿欧元(1767亿美元),但服务贸易逆差为1040亿欧元。据欧盟称,2023年,欧盟与美国的商品和服务贸易总额为1.6万亿欧元。

  按产品类别划分,机械和车辆是欧盟对美国出口的最大组成部分,其次是化学品、其他制成品以及医药和制药产品。

  西班牙财政部长卡洛斯・库尔波告诉美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC),任何未能达成协议的情况都将对欧洲和美国造成损害,每天有超过40亿欧元(51亿美元)的商品和服务贸易面临风险。

  “我们需要在大西洋两岸展开公开坦诚的对话,因为如果我们不能达成一项公平且平衡的协议,将会有很多损失。”库尔波在华盛顿对CNBC的卡罗琳・罗斯说道。

  “有这样一个具体的数据,每天跨大西洋的商品和服务贸易额为45亿欧元——这是一笔我们需要保护的财富。”他指出。

  “从欧盟的角度来看,我们如何以开放的姿态面对这些谈判以达成协议是很重要的。但这必须是一项公平的协议。不要忘记,在当前情况下,美国政府实施的大多数关税已经生效,并正在影响我们的企业。”

  荷兰财政部长埃尔科・海内恩抨击关税是对商品征税,“对消费者非常不利”,并且会导致企业暂停投资。

  重大逆风因素

  周二,国际货币基金组织(IMF)曾警告称,美国总统唐纳德・特朗普宣布的贸易关税是2025年美国和全球经济面临的重大逆风因素。

  在其2025年4月发布的《世界经济展望》中,国际货币基金组织预测美国2025年的经济增长预期为1.8%,比1月份的预测下降了0.9个百分点。该组织还将今年的全球经济增长预测下调至2.8%,比此前的估计下降了0.5个百分点。

  该组织预计欧元区经济将略有下滑,预测2025年欧元区国内生产总值(GDP)将达到0.8%,然后在2026年适度回升至1.2%。

  它特别指出西班牙是该地区的一个亮点,称其增长势头“与其他地方的低迷态势形成鲜明对比”。在将1月份的预测上调0.2个百分点后,预计这个地中海国家今年的经济将增长2.5%。

  “这反映了2024年好于预期的经济表现带来的大量延续效应,以及洪灾后的重建活动。”国际货币基金组织表示。

  这些是该组织对全球经济增长和通货膨胀的“参考预测”,其依据是截至4月4日的现有数据——包括美国的“对等”关税,但不包括随后的一些发展情况,比如对提高关税措施暂停90天的情况。

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