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妖孽特种兵护花狂龙:了解各自的优势与适用场景
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  4月17日金融一线消息,杭州银行今日发布公告称,本次非公开发行的限售股将于2025年4月23日上市流通,上市股数为5.04亿股,占公司总股本的7.93%。此次限售股的解禁主要涉及杭州市财开投资集团有限公司和红狮控股集团有限公司的股份,其中杭州市财开集团持有1.16亿股,红狮控股持有3.88亿股。

  文丨尚扬 

  今日,市场热点全面开花,消费类板块全线爆发,其中旅游酒店、休闲食品、预制菜、养老产业、冰雪产业甚至宠物经济等均涨幅居前。业内人士表示,消费板块一直在走牛市,年内还会有一批同行者走出来,准则就是寻找选择具备护城河,且极致性价比的公司。

  政策频出

  消费股全面上行

  近日,商务部等9部门联合印发《服务消费提质惠民行动2025年工作方案》,围绕加强政策支持、开展促进活动、搭建平台载体、扩大对外开放、强化标准引领、优化消费环境等6个方面,提出48条具体任务举措,既涵盖了餐饮、住宿、健康、文化娱乐、旅游休闲、体育赛事等主要行业领域,也包括了旅游列车、空中游览、跳伞飞行、超高清电视、微短剧等新业态、新场景。

  在此前,商务部、国家卫生健康委等12部门还印发了《促进健康消费专项行动方案》,提出了提升健康饮食消费水平、大力发展体育旅游产业、增强银发市场服务能力、组织健康消费促进活动等10方面重点任务。

  4月17日,消费类板块涨势不俗,旅游酒店、休闲食品、预制菜、养老产业、冰雪产业甚至宠物经济均涨幅居前。个股中,华天酒店、桂发祥、五芳斋、南京商旅、益佰制药(维权)等公司纷纷冲上涨停。

  旅游股爆发

  宠物食品股长期走牛

  在消费板块中,旅游股集体爆发,除华天酒店、南京商旅涨停外,金陵饭店等同样涨停,君亭酒店、天润科技、宋城演艺等跟涨(见图1)。

  随着“五一”黄金周的临近,旅游市场迎来新一轮爆发期。4月16日,铁路12306系统开始发售4月30日,即五一假期前一日车票,用户访问量随即激增,“12306崩了”登上热搜。

  且此前经文化和旅游部数据中心测算,2025年3天清明假期,全国国内出游1.26亿人次,国内游客出游总花费575.49亿元,同比分别增长6.3%、6.7%,较2019年同期分别增长19%、20%。计算客单价为457元/人次,同比2024年微增0.4%,较2019年有1%增长。

  业内人士表示,随着各目的地还在持续收客中,2025年五一黄金周市场热度有望创下历史新高。国内游及出境游“双向增长”特征明显,深度游、度假游成为旅游市场新引擎。

  同程旅行之前发布的假期预测报告显示,今年五一假期的旅行热度或将达到2023年以来的峰值,出行高峰预计出现在假期前两日。

  目前旅游板块中已有25家公司发布了正式的2024年年报,其中17家公司去年全年实现盈利,同时实现营业收入、净利润同比增长的公司有5家(见表1)。增势最好的岭南控股,公司涵盖了旅行社、酒店、餐饮、会展、景区等业态的产业链布局。年报显示,公司营业总收入实现43.09亿元,同比增长25.43%;实现归母净利润1.5亿元,同比增长116.08%。

  但长期来看,消费板块中的细分赛道宠物食品公司的走势更是一骑绝尘。今日盘中,乖宝宠物再次刷新历史高点(见图2),自2023年8月登陆创业板以来,累计涨幅已近70%。路斯股份自去年三季度末以来,股价也是持续震荡走高,今日盘中21.87元/股的最高价,较2024年12月3日创出的22元/股的历史高点仅一步之遥。类似的还有中宠股份,最新股价也创出了近3年新高。

  机构近期积极调研

  目前,上市公司2025年一季报披露尚只是冰山一角,机构投资者一季度末的持仓图谱还需等待时日。但结合今年以来的机构调研情况可以看到,部分旅游酒店、宠物食品类公司得到了机构投资者们的积极关注,期间机构投资者们纷纷对其发起调研。

  如参与调研机构家数最多的君亭酒店,机构们对其与希尔顿战略合作高端酒店有哪些进展,未来与希尔顿是否有进一步合作等问题极为关注。公司表示,去年11月,君亭酒店集团与希尔顿集团签署了战略合作意向书,标志着双方将在高端酒店领域展开深入合作。此次合作得到了希尔顿集团高层的高度重视,全球CEO克里斯托弗·纳塞塔、亚太区总裁以及中国区总裁均出席了签约仪式。希尔顿选择与君亭合作,一方面是因为君亭作为一家本土成长起来的中国公司,在中国市场具有强大的运营能力和品牌影响力;另一方面,希尔顿在中国市场深耕多年,拥有丰富的经验和资源。双方的合作将聚焦于高端酒店的品牌、管理和会员服务等方面。

  再比如一家宠物食品龙头公司,得到了15家机构的关注调研。

  针对公司作为国货头部宠物食品品牌,如何强化品牌势能的问题。公司给出的解答是,结合宠物行业变化的趋势洞察,较早即确定了品牌战略,持续做大做强核心品牌,发力高端品牌,当前已进一步验证公司高端化品牌塑造能力。展望未来,在产品基础上,公司将继续以品质领先战略为核心,以技术创新为基础,进一步聚焦研发,强化产品全链路设计的严谨性与科学性,以用户思维来进行产品全生命周期视角下的场景化表达;在品牌塑造上,公司将继续以满足中国市场消费需求为目标,推动公司产品的品牌力和品牌体验升级,公司还将进一步优化公司品牌架构,聚焦细分市场扩大品牌份额;在运营策略上,以打造超级大单品为主,线上线下协同推广,数据牵引优化运营效率。

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